ENDED: AS Roma vs Atalanta

Italy · Serie A

17 hours ago ENDED

Venue Stadio Olimpico · Rome

Ref A. Colombo

Round Regular Season - 3

AS Roma

2 · 1

ENDED

Atalanta

Possession

68%–32%

Cards

🟥 0 🟨 1

Shots

On target

Corners

Recap Read full match recap

1 expert tip on this match

AltBetsAI (1.90x)

Tips for this match 1

AltBetsAI

-9.24u

TIP

Over 2.5

Analysis

Simulation shows 71.78% Over 2.5 probability versus 52.63% market implied (1/1.9), a 19.15 percentage point edge.

Roma averages 2.6 goals at home with 60% Over 2.5 rate; Atalanta 1.8 away with matching 60% Over 2.5 rate.

Expected goals total 3.723 (Roma 2.704 + Atalanta 1.019), well above the 2.5 threshold.

Both teams unbeaten 2-0 to start: Roma 8 goals for in 2 games, Atalanta 3 goals for in 2 games.

Additional confluence: Winner : AS Roma

RISK FACTORS
- H2H Over 2.5 rate just 0% across 2 meetings (small sample); last clash finished 1-1 with 2 goals total.
- Roma's 70% clean sheet rate at home reflects defensive solidity that could limit Atalanta's away output.
- Atalanta's 1.4 avg goals conceded away shows vulnerability, but Roma missing Dovbyk and Dybala could cap their scoring.

Odds

1.90

Units

1.9

Outcome

WIN

Returns

+1.71u

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Match timeline

🚩 Offside

96'

Charles De Ketelaere is caught offside for Atalanta.

↩️ Throw In

96'

Throw in for Atalanta.

🎯 Shot On Target

93'

Matias Soule has a shot on target for AS Roma.

🥅 Shot

93'

Matias Soule takes a shot for AS Roma.

⚽ Goal

93'

Goal for AS Roma!

🧤 Goal Kick

93'

Goal kick for Atalanta.

🥅 Shot

92'

Santiago Castro takes a shot for AS Roma.

🧤 Goal Kick

91'

Goal kick for Atalanta.

🥅 Shot

91'

Matias Soule takes a shot for AS Roma.

🥅 Shot

91'

Paulo Dybala takes a shot for AS Roma.

🛡️ Tackle

91'

Tackle by Nicola Zalewski for Atalanta.

⚽ Goal

Normal Goal

90'

Goal for AS Roma! Scored by Matias Soule. Assist: Paulo Dybala.

Assist Paulo Dybala

🎯 Shot On Target

89'

Mario Hermoso has a shot on target for AS Roma.

⚽ Goal

Normal Goal

90'

Goal for AS Roma! Scored by Mario Hermoso.

🎯 Shot On Target

89'

Paulo Dybala has a shot on target for AS Roma.

🥅 Shot

89'

Paulo Dybala takes a shot for AS Roma.

🚩 Corner

89'

Corner for AS Roma.

🧤 Goal Kick

89'

Goal kick for Atalanta.

🥅 Shot

88'

Santiago Castro takes a shot for AS Roma.

🥅 Shot Off The Woodwork

88'

Santiago Castro hits the woodwork for AS Roma.

↩️ Throw In

88'

Throw in for AS Roma.

🧤 Goal Kick

88'

Goal kick for Atalanta.

🥅 Shot

87'

Matias Soule takes a shot for AS Roma.

🧤 Goal Kick

87'

Goal kick for Atalanta.

🥅 Shot

87'

Paulo Dybala takes a shot for AS Roma.

⚠️ Foul

86'

Foul by Franck Kessie for Atalanta.

↩️ Throw In

85'

Throw in for AS Roma.

🛡️ Tackle

85'

Tackle by Giorgio Scalvini for Atalanta.

↩️ Throw In

85'

Throw in for Atalanta.

🧤 Goal Kick

85'

Goal kick for Atalanta.

🧤 Goal Kick

84'

Goal kick for AS Roma.

🧤 Goal Kick

84'

Goal kick for AS Roma.

🟨 Yellow Card

Yellow Card

84'

Yellow card for Raoul Bellanova of Atalanta.

↩️ Throw In

83'

Throw in for Atalanta.

↩️ Throw In

82'

Throw in for AS Roma.

⚠️ Foul

81'

Foul by Santiago Castro for AS Roma.

🥅 Shot

81'

Bryan Cristante takes a shot for AS Roma.

🚩 Corner

81'

Corner for AS Roma.

🚩 Corner

81'

Corner for AS Roma.

↩️ Throw In

80'

Throw in for AS Roma.

↩️ Throw In

80'

Throw in for Atalanta.

🛡️ Tackle

79'

Tackle by Nahuel Molina for AS Roma.

🛡️ Tackle

79'

Tackle by Nahuel Molina for AS Roma.

🛡️ Tackle

78'

Tackle by Daniele Ghilardi for AS Roma.

🛡️ Tackle

77'

Tackle by AS Roma.

↩️ Throw In

76'

Throw in for AS Roma.

🧤 Goal Kick

75'

Goal kick for Atalanta.

🥅 Shot

75'

Bryan Cristante takes a shot for AS Roma.

↩️ Throw In

74'

Throw in for Atalanta.

⚠️ Foul

72'

Foul by Charles De Ketelaere for Atalanta.

🧤 Goal Kick

72'

Goal kick for Atalanta.

🥅 Shot

72'

Paulo Dybala takes a shot for AS Roma.

🥅 Shot

72'

Paulo Dybala takes a shot for AS Roma.

🥅 Shot

71'

Santiago Castro takes a shot for AS Roma.

🎯 Shot On Target

71'

Matias Soule has a shot on target for AS Roma.

🥅 Shot

71'

Matias Soule takes a shot for AS Roma.

⚠️ Foul

70'

Foul by Ederson Silva for Atalanta.

🛡️ Tackle

70'

Tackle by Daniele Ghilardi for AS Roma.

↩️ Throw In

70'

Throw in for Atalanta.

↩️ Throw In

70'

Throw in for AS Roma.

🛡️ Tackle

70'

Tackle by Mario Hermoso for AS Roma.

🧤 Goal Kick

69'

Goal kick for Atalanta.

🚩 Corner

69'

Corner for AS Roma.

🥅 Shot

68'

Mario Hermoso takes a shot for AS Roma.

🛡️ Tackle

68'

Tackle by Odilon Kossounou for Atalanta.

↩️ Throw In

68'

Throw in for AS Roma.

⚠️ Foul

67'

Foul by Gianluca Gaetano for Atalanta.

⚠️ Foul

67'

Foul by Gianluca Gaetano for Atalanta.

⚠️ Foul

66'

Foul by Evan Ndicka for AS Roma.

🛡️ Tackle

65'

Tackle by Paulo Dybala for AS Roma.

🧤 Goal Kick

65'

Goal kick for Atalanta.

🛡️ Tackle

65'

Tackle by Sead Kolasinac for Atalanta.

🥅 Shot

64'

Santiago Castro takes a shot for AS Roma.

🥅 Shot Off The Woodwork

64'

Santiago Castro hits the woodwork for AS Roma.

🛡️ Tackle

64'

Tackle by Manu Koné for AS Roma.

↩️ Throw In

63'

Throw in for Atalanta.

↩️ Throw In

63'

Throw in for AS Roma.

🎯 Shot On Target

62'

Matias Soule has a shot on target for AS Roma.

🥅 Shot

62'

Matias Soule takes a shot for AS Roma.

🥅 Shot

62'

Bryan Cristante takes a shot for AS Roma.

🛡️ Tackle

61'

Tackle by Matias Soule for AS Roma.

↩️ Throw In

61'

Throw in for Atalanta.

🥅 Shot

60'

Charles De Ketelaere takes a shot for Atalanta.

🧤 Goal Kick

59'

Goal kick for AS Roma.

🥅 Shot

59'

Nikola Krstovic takes a shot for Atalanta.

🚩 Offside

58'

Donyell Malen is caught offside for AS Roma.

↩️ Throw In

58'

Throw in for AS Roma.

🧤 Goal Kick

56'

Goal kick for AS Roma.

🥅 Shot

56'

Lazar Samardzic takes a shot for Atalanta.

↩️ Throw In

55'

Throw in for AS Roma.

🧤 Goal Kick

55'

Goal kick for Atalanta.

🎯 Shot On Target

54'

Manu Koné has a shot on target for AS Roma.

🥅 Shot

54'

Manu Koné takes a shot for AS Roma.

🚩 Corner

54'

Corner for AS Roma.

🚩 Corner

54'

Corner for AS Roma.

🛡️ Tackle

52'

Tackle by Charles De Ketelaere for Atalanta.

🚩 Corner

52'

Corner for AS Roma.

🧤 Goal Kick

51'

Goal kick for AS Roma.

🥅 Shot

51'

Odilon Kossounou takes a shot for Atalanta.

🛡️ Tackle

49'

Tackle by Wesley for AS Roma.

🚩 Corner

49'

Corner for Atalanta.

🛡️ Tackle

48'

Tackle by Elif Elmas for Atalanta.

🎯 Shot On Target

47'

Ederson Silva has a shot on target for Atalanta.

🥅 Shot

47'

Ederson Silva takes a shot for Atalanta.

⚽ Goal

Normal Goal

47'

Goal for Atalanta! Scored by Éderson José dos Santos.

▶️ Second Half Started

The second half has started.

⏸️ Half Time

Half time. Score: 0-0.

🧤 Goal Kick

46'

Goal kick for Atalanta.

🛡️ Tackle

45'

Tackle by Odilon Kossounou for Atalanta.

🧤 Goal Kick

44'

Goal kick for Atalanta.

🥅 Shot

44'

Evan Ndicka takes a shot for AS Roma.

🚩 Corner

44'

Corner for AS Roma.

🥅 Shot

43'

Rodrigo Mora takes a shot for AS Roma.

🚩 Corner

43'

Corner for AS Roma.

🥅 Shot

42'

Manu Koné takes a shot for AS Roma.

⚠️ Foul

42'

Foul by Odilon Kossounou for Atalanta.

↩️ Throw In

41'

Throw in for AS Roma.

🧤 Goal Kick

41'

Goal kick for Atalanta.

🥅 Shot

41'

Rodrigo Mora takes a shot for AS Roma.

🎯 Shot On Target

40'

Donyell Malen has a shot on target for AS Roma.

🥅 Shot

40'

Donyell Malen takes a shot for AS Roma.

🚩 Offside

39'

Gianluca Scamacca is caught offside for Atalanta.

↩️ Throw In

39'

Throw in for Atalanta.

🧤 Goal Kick

39'

Goal kick for Atalanta.

🥅 Shot

38'

Rodrigo Mora takes a shot for AS Roma.

↩️ Throw In

38'

Throw in for Atalanta.

⚠️ Foul

37'

Foul by Elif Elmas for Atalanta.

🧤 Goal Kick

37'

Goal kick for Atalanta.

↩️ Throw In

36'

Throw in for AS Roma.

🛡️ Tackle

36'

Tackle by Raoul Bellanova for Atalanta.

🛡️ Tackle

36'

Tackle by Gianluca Gaetano for Atalanta.

↩️ Throw In

36'

Throw in for AS Roma.

🎯 Shot On Target

34'

Paulo Dybala has a shot on target for AS Roma.

🥅 Shot

34'

Paulo Dybala takes a shot for AS Roma.

↩️ Throw In

34'

Throw in for AS Roma.

🚩 Corner

33'

Corner for AS Roma.

⚠️ Foul

32'

Foul by Manu Koné for AS Roma.

🛡️ Tackle

32'

Tackle by Giorgio Scalvini for Atalanta.

🎯 Shot On Target

32'

Gianluca Scamacca has a shot on target for Atalanta.

🥅 Shot

32'

Gianluca Scamacca takes a shot for Atalanta.

↩️ Throw In

30'

Throw in for AS Roma.

🧤 Goal Kick

30'

Goal kick for Atalanta.

🥅 Shot

29'

Rodrigo Mora takes a shot for AS Roma.

🛡️ Tackle

29'

Tackle by Manu Koné for AS Roma.

🧤 Goal Kick

29'

Goal kick for Atalanta.

🛡️ Tackle

28'

Tackle by Evan Ndicka for AS Roma.

🛡️ Tackle

28'

Tackle by Lazar Samardzic for Atalanta.

🛡️ Tackle

28'

Tackle by Lazar Samardzic for Atalanta.

🧤 Goal Kick

27'

Goal kick for Atalanta.

🥅 Shot

27'

Rodrigo Mora takes a shot for AS Roma.

🚩 Corner

27'

Corner for AS Roma.

🛡️ Tackle

26'

Tackle by Charles De Ketelaere for Atalanta.

↩️ Throw In

26'

Throw in for Atalanta.

🛡️ Tackle

25'

Tackle by Wesley for AS Roma.

↩️ Throw In

25'

Throw in for Atalanta.

🧤 Goal Kick

25'

Goal kick for Atalanta.

🥅 Shot

24'

Rodrigo Mora takes a shot for AS Roma.

🚩 Offside

23'

Wesley is caught offside for AS Roma.

↩️ Throw In

23'

Throw in for AS Roma.

🛡️ Tackle

22'

Tackle by Bryan Cristante for AS Roma.

🥅 Shot

21'

Gianluca Mancini takes a shot for AS Roma.

🚩 Offside

21'

Evan Ndicka is caught offside for AS Roma.

🎯 Shot On Target

21'

Bryan Cristante has a shot on target for AS Roma.

🥅 Shot

21'

Bryan Cristante takes a shot for AS Roma.

🚩 Corner

21'

Corner for AS Roma.

⚠️ Foul

20'

Foul by Gianluca Scamacca for Atalanta.

⚠️ Foul

20'

Foul by Evan Ndicka for AS Roma.

🧤 Goal Kick

18'

Goal kick for Atalanta.

🥅 Shot

18'

Donyell Malen takes a shot for AS Roma.

🚩 Corner

18'

Corner for AS Roma.

🛡️ Tackle

17'

Tackle by Giorgio Scalvini for Atalanta.

🧤 Goal Kick

17'

Goal kick for Atalanta.

🥅 Shot

17'

Manu Koné takes a shot for AS Roma.

↩️ Throw In

16'

Throw in for AS Roma.

↩️ Throw In

16'

Throw in for AS Roma.

🥅 Shot

15'

Donyell Malen takes a shot for AS Roma.

🚩 Corner

15'

Corner for AS Roma.

⚠️ Foul

14'

Foul by Gianluca Gaetano for Atalanta.

🎯 Shot On Target

14'

Gianluca Mancini has a shot on target for AS Roma.

🥅 Shot

14'

Gianluca Mancini takes a shot for AS Roma.

⚠️ Foul

13'

Foul by Elif Elmas for Atalanta.

⚠️ Foul

12'

Foul by Bryan Cristante for AS Roma.

🚩 Offside

10'

Gianluca Scamacca is caught offside for Atalanta.

🛡️ Tackle

Tackle by Paulo Dybala for AS Roma.

🚩 Offside

Gianluca Scamacca is caught offside for Atalanta.

🛡️ Tackle

Tackle by Bryan Cristante for AS Roma.

⚠️ Foul

Foul by Gianluca Mancini for AS Roma.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Atalanta.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Atalanta.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for AS Roma.

⚠️ Foul

Foul by Evan Ndicka for AS Roma.

⚠️ Foul

Foul by Manu Koné for AS Roma.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for AS Roma.

⚠️ Foul

Foul by Evan Ndicka for AS Roma.

⚠️ Foul

Foul by Paulo Dybala for AS Roma.

🟢 Match Started

AS Roma vs Atalanta has started.

AS Roma

G. Gasperini

3-4-1-2

99 99 Svilar

22 22 Hermoso

5 5 Ndicka

23 23 Mancini

43 43 Wesley

86 86 Mora

17 17 Koné

4 4 Cristante

77 77 Lulli

21 21 Dybala

14 14 Malen

Atalanta

M. Sarri

4-3-3

29 29 Carnesecchi

23 23 Kolašinac

42 42 Scalvini

3 3 Kossounou

16 16 Bellanova

13 13 Éderson

70 70 Gaetano

10 10 Samardžić

99 99 Elmas

9 9 Scamacca

17 17 Ketelaere

Home

AS Roma

3-4-1-2

Coach G. Gasperini

Starting XI

99 M. Svilar G
23 G. Mancini D
5 E. Ndicka D
22 Hermoso D
77 E. Lulli M
4 B. Cristante M
17 M. Koné M
43 Wesley M
86 Rodrigo Mora M
14 D. Malen F
21 P. Dybala F

Substitutes

18 M. Soulé
2 D. Rensch
20 N. Molina
3 K. Koulierakis
95 P. Gollini
87 D. Ghilardi
15 M. de Roon
70 G. De Marzi
9 S. Castro
26 L. Balerdi
68 A. Arena
61 N. Pisilli

Away

Atalanta

4-3-3

Coach M. Sarri

Starting XI

29 M. Carnesecchi G
16 R. Bellanova D
3 O. Kossounou D
42 G. Scalvini D
23 S. Kolašinac D
10 L. Samardžić M
70 G. Gaetano M
13 Éderson M
17 C. De Ketelaere F
9 G. Scamacca F
99 E. Elmas F

Substitutes

19 F. Kessié
77 D. Zappacosta
31 T. Kristensen
90 N. Krstović
40 R. ObriÄ
8 Mario Pasalic
18 G. Raspadori
11 J. Rowe
57 M. Sportiello
59 N. Zalewski
47 L. Bernasconi
22 Thomas Pompei

AS Roma

Player	Min	G	A	Rating
B. Cristante	–	–	–	–
P. Dybala	–	–	–	–
Hermoso	–	–	–	–
M. Koné	–	–	–	–
E. Lulli	–	–	–	–
D. Malen	–	–	–	–
G. Mancini	–	–	–	–
E. Ndicka	–	–	–	–
Wesley	–	–	–	–
M. Svilar	–	–	–	–
M. Soulé	–	–	–	–
D. Rensch	–	–	–	–
N. Pisilli	–	–	–	–
N. Molina	–	–	–	–
K. Koulierakis	–	–	–	–
P. Gollini	–	–	–	–
D. Ghilardi	–	–	–	–
M. de Roon	–	–	–	–
G. De Marzi	–	–	–	–
S. Castro	–	–	–	–
L. Balerdi	–	–	–	–
A. Arena	–	–	–	–
Rodrigo Mora	–	–	–	–

Atalanta

Player	Min	G	A	Rating
G. Scamacca	–	–	–	–
G. Scalvini	–	–	–	–
L. Samardžić	–	–	–	–
O. Kossounou	–	–	–	–
S. Kolašinac	–	–	–	–
G. Gaetano	–	–	–	–
E. Elmas	–	–	–	–
Éderson	–	1	–	–
C. De Ketelaere	–	–	–	–
R. Bellanova 🟨	–	–	–	–
M. Carnesecchi	–	–	–	–
F. Kessié	–	–	–	–
D. Zappacosta	–	–	–	–
T. Kristensen	–	–	–	–
N. Krstović	–	–	–	–
R. ObriÄ	–	–	–	–
Mario Pasalic	–	–	–	–
G. Raspadori	–	–	–	–
J. Rowe	–	–	–	–
M. Sportiello	–	–	–	–
N. Zalewski	–	–	–	–
L. Bernasconi	–	–	–	–
Thomas Pompei	–	–	–	–