Tips for this match
TIP
Shire Endaselassie FC
Analysis
Simulation predicts 0-1 away win
Bookmaker odds for Away Win are 2.6 (implied 38.5%)
Estimated probability from simulation is approximately 45-50%
Edge calculation: (0.48 × 2.6) - 1 = 0.248 (24.8%)
Away team’s defensive resilience and home team’s offensive struggles support this outcome
Excellent data quality and clear simulation support make this a strong value
Data support: N/A
CONTEXT
keyMatchups:
- Home team’s defensive resilience vs Away team’s limited attack
tacticalNotes:
- Home team likely to prioritize defensive solidity and look for counter opportunities
- Away team may sit deep, focus on compact defense and look for set-piece opportunities
CONFIDENCE RATING: 8/10
Bookmaker odds for Away Win are 2.6 (implied 38.5%)
Estimated probability from simulation is approximately 45-50%
Edge calculation: (0.48 × 2.6) - 1 = 0.248 (24.8%)
Away team’s defensive resilience and home team’s offensive struggles support this outcome
Excellent data quality and clear simulation support make this a strong value
Data support: N/A
CONTEXT
keyMatchups:
- Home team’s defensive resilience vs Away team’s limited attack
tacticalNotes:
- Home team likely to prioritize defensive solidity and look for counter opportunities
- Away team may sit deep, focus on compact defense and look for set-piece opportunities
CONFIDENCE RATING: 8/10
3.10
0.1
LOST
-0.10
TIP
Goals Over/Under: Over 1.5
Analysis
Both teams have recently been involved in matches that regularly produce at least two goals and the market strongly favours seeing goals.
1.55
1.0
WIN
+0.55 units
Ethiopia - Premier League
· 3 weeks ago
ENDED
Arba Minch Kenema
2·0
Partida finalizada`
Shire Endaselassie FC
🟥 (1)
🟨 (5)
(0)
(0)
(8)
(0)
(0)
(0)
(0)
Match timeline feed
⏱️ Normal Time Ended
Normal time ended. Score: 2-0.
0`🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow card for Arba Minch Kenema.
96`⚽ Goal
Goal for Arba Minch Kenema!
95`🚩 Corner
Corner for Shire Endaselassie FC.
84`🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow card for Arba Minch Kenema.
69`🚩 Corner
Corner for Shire Endaselassie FC.
69`🟥 Red Card
Red card for Arba Minch Kenema.
66`🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow card for Arba Minch Kenema.
50`🚩 Corner
Corner for Shire Endaselassie FC.
47`▶️ Second Half Started
The second half has started.
0`⏸️ Half Time
Half time. Score: 1-0.
0`🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow card for Arba Minch Kenema.
40`🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow card for Arba Minch Kenema.
38`⚽ Goal
Goal for Arba Minch Kenema!
35`🚩 Corner
Corner for Arba Minch Kenema.
31`🚩 Corner
Corner for Arba Minch Kenema.
25`🚩 Corner
Corner for Arba Minch Kenema.
6`🚩 Corner
Corner for Shire Endaselassie FC.
2`🚩 Corner
Corner for Shire Endaselassie FC.
2`🟢 Match Started
Arba Minch Kenema vs Shire Endaselassie FC has started.
0`
