ENDED: Arsenal vs Chelsea

England · Premier League

1 month ago ENDED

Venue Emirates Stadium · London

Ref C. Kavanagh

Round Regular Season - 3

Arsenal

2 · 1

ENDED

Chelsea

Possession

55%–45%

Cards

🟥 0 🟨 5

Shots

On target

Corners

Recap Read full match recap

5 expert tips on this match

AltBetsAI (1.73x) · ItzJade (1.77x) +3 more

Tips for this match 5

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AltBetsAI

+0u

FREE PICK

TIP

Arsenal

Analysis

Arsenal's 60% home win rate (6 of 10) crushes Chelsea's 30% away win rate (3 of 10).

Arsenal average 1.7 goals at home and concede just 0.7; Chelsea average 1.9 away but leak 2.4 per game.

Simulator projects 76.4% Arsenal win probability versus bookmaker odds implying 57.8%, a 18.6 percentage point edge.

Arsenal unbeaten vs Chelsea in last 4 H2H meetings (3 wins, 1 draw), including a 2-1 home victory most recently.

Arsenal keep clean sheets at home 70% of the time; Chelsea have zero clean sheets away.

Additional confluence: Combo Double chance : Arsenal or draw and +1.5 goals

RISK FACTORS
- Arsenal without Timber and Saliba reduces defensive depth, potentially opening doors for Chelsea's attack.
- Chelsea showed attacking teeth with a 3-2 away win vs Fulham, proving occasional scoring capability on the road.
- Only 4 H2H meetings limit sample size; squad composition has shifted since the last encounter.

Odds

1.73

Units

2.7

Outcome

WIN

Returns

+1.97u

ItzJade

+0u

TIP

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Analysis

Chelsea's attacking form makes them capable of getting on the scoresheet despite Arsenal's excellent defensive start.

Odds

1.77

Units

2.0

Outcome

WIN

Returns

+1.54u

ItzJade

+0u

TIP

Under Over: Over 2.5

Analysis

Chelsea have been involved in high-scoring games to start the season, while both sides have plenty of attacking quality.

Odds

1.82

Units

1.0

Outcome

WIN

Returns

+0.82u

ItzJade

+0u

TIP

Match Result: Chelsea

Analysis

Chelsea to win because they’ve started the season strongly, winning both of their opening league games and scoring seven goals. Their attacking approach under Xabi Alonso could cause problems for Arsenal, although it’s a higher-risk pick given Arsenal’s strong defensive record and home advantage!

Odds

4.90

Units

1.0

Outcome

LOST

Returns

-1.00

silentbets

+0u

TIP

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Analysis

Arsenal and chelsea re in a good form atleast 1 goal both 100%

Odds

1.71

Units

1.0

Outcome

WIN

Returns

+0.71u

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Match timeline

⏱️ Normal Time Ended

Normal time ended. Score: 2-1.

🟨 Yellow Card

95'

Yellow card for Mikel Merino of Arsenal.

⚠️ Foul

94'

Foul by Martin Zubimendi for Arsenal.

↩️ Throw In

94'

Throw in for Chelsea.

↩️ Throw In

94'

Throw in for Chelsea.

🛡️ Tackle

93'

Tackle by Wesley Fofana for Chelsea.

🧤 Goal Kick

93'

Goal kick for Arsenal.

🧤 Goal Kick

92'

Goal kick for Chelsea.

↩️ Throw In

91'

Throw in for Chelsea.

↩️ Throw In

90'

Throw in for Chelsea.

🎯 Shot On Target

89'

Estevão has a shot on target for Chelsea.

🥅 Shot

89'

Estevão takes a shot for Chelsea.

🚩 Corner

89'

Corner for Chelsea.

🥅 Shot

88'

Reece James takes a shot for Chelsea.

⚠️ Foul

87'

Foul by Martin Zubimendi for Arsenal.

↩️ Throw In

85'

Throw in for Arsenal.

🛡️ Tackle

84'

Tackle by Pep Chavarría for Chelsea.

🧤 Goal Kick

84'

Goal kick for Arsenal.

🟨 Yellow Card

Yellow Card

83'

Yellow card for Morgan Rogers of Chelsea.

🥅 Shot

83'

Cole Palmer takes a shot for Chelsea.

⚠️ Foul

82'

Foul by Viktor Gyokeres for Arsenal.

⚠️ Foul

80'

Foul by Martin Zubimendi for Arsenal.

🛡️ Tackle

80'

Tackle by Ben White for Arsenal.

🚩 Corner

80'

Corner for Chelsea.

🛡️ Tackle

79'

Tackle by Christos Tzolis for Arsenal.

↩️ Throw In

79'

Throw in for Chelsea.

🛡️ Tackle

79'

Tackle by Piero Hincapié for Arsenal.

🛡️ Tackle

78'

Tackle by Pedro Neto for Chelsea.

⚠️ Foul

77'

Foul by Reece James for Chelsea.

↩️ Throw In

76'

Throw in for Arsenal.

🥅 Shot

76'

Reece James takes a shot for Chelsea.

🚩 Corner

75'

Corner for Chelsea.

🛡️ Tackle

74'

Tackle by Maxence Lacroix for Chelsea.

🛡️ Tackle

73'

Tackle by Malo Gusto for Chelsea.

🚩 Offside

72'

Kai Havertz is caught offside for Arsenal.

🚩 Corner

72'

Corner for Arsenal.

🚩 Corner

71'

Corner for Arsenal.

🥅 Shot

70'

Kai Havertz takes a shot for Arsenal.

🎯 Shot On Target

69'

Bukayo Saka has a shot on target for Arsenal.

🥅 Shot

69'

Bukayo Saka takes a shot for Arsenal.

🚩 Corner

69'

Corner for Arsenal.

🥅 Shot

69'

Martin Zubimendi takes a shot for Arsenal.

⚠️ Foul

66'

Foul by Pep Chavarría for Chelsea.

🧤 Goal Kick

66'

Goal kick for Arsenal.

🥅 Shot

65'

Morgan Rogers takes a shot for Chelsea.

🛡️ Tackle

65'

Tackle by Wesley Fofana for Chelsea.

⚠️ Foul

65'

Foul by Bukayo Saka for Arsenal.

↩️ Throw In

64'

Throw in for Chelsea.

🎯 Shot On Target

63'

Cole Palmer has a shot on target for Chelsea.

🥅 Shot

63'

Cole Palmer takes a shot for Chelsea.

↩️ Throw In

62'

Throw in for Chelsea.

↩️ Throw In

62'

Throw in for Chelsea.

🧤 Goal Kick

61'

Goal kick for Arsenal.

🥅 Shot

61'

Malo Gusto takes a shot for Chelsea.

🧤 Goal Kick

61'

Goal kick for Chelsea.

↩️ Throw In

60'

Throw in for Arsenal.

🟨 Yellow Card

Yellow Card

58'

Yellow card for Christos Tzolis of Arsenal.

🟨 Yellow Card

Yellow Card

58'

Yellow card for Maxence Lacroix of Chelsea.

⚠️ Foul

58'

Foul by Maxence Lacroix for Chelsea.

🛡️ Tackle

58'

Tackle by Romeo Lavia for Chelsea.

🛡️ Tackle

57'

Tackle by Ezri Konsa for Arsenal.

⚠️ Foul

57'

Foul by Myles Lewis-Skelly for Arsenal.

🎯 Shot On Target

56'

Bukayo Saka has a shot on target for Arsenal.

🥅 Shot

56'

Bukayo Saka takes a shot for Arsenal.

🛡️ Tackle

56'

Tackle by Ezri Konsa for Arsenal.

🥅 Shot

56'

Declan Rice takes a shot for Arsenal.

⚠️ Foul

55'

Foul by Myles Lewis-Skelly for Arsenal.

⚠️ Foul

53'

Foul by Pedro Neto for Chelsea.

↩️ Throw In

53'

Throw in for Arsenal.

⚠️ Foul

52'

Foul by Morgan Rogers for Chelsea.

🎯 Shot On Target

50'

Martin Odegaard has a shot on target for Arsenal.

🥅 Shot

50'

Martin Odegaard takes a shot for Arsenal.

⚽ Goal

Normal Goal

50'

Goal for Arsenal! Scored by Martin Odegaard.

🧤 Goal Kick

50'

Goal kick for Chelsea.

🥅 Shot

49'

Bukayo Saka takes a shot for Arsenal.

⚠️ Foul

48'

Foul by Reece James for Chelsea.

↩️ Throw In

48'

Throw in for Arsenal.

🧤 Goal Kick

46'

Goal kick for Chelsea.

⚠️ Foul

46'

Foul by Josh Acheampong for Chelsea.

▶️ Second Half Started

The second half has started.

⏸️ Half Time

Half time. Score: 1-1.

⚠️ Foul

49'

Foul by João Pedro for Chelsea.

🧤 Goal Kick

49'

Goal kick for Arsenal.

🥅 Shot

48'

Pedro Neto takes a shot for Chelsea.

🥅 Shot Off The Woodwork

48'

Pedro Neto hits the woodwork for Chelsea.

🛡️ Tackle

48'

Tackle by Wesley Fofana for Chelsea.

🧤 Goal Kick

48'

Goal kick for Chelsea.

🟨 Yellow Card

Yellow Card

45'

Yellow card for Cole Palmer of Chelsea.

⚠️ Foul

45'

Foul by Cole Palmer for Chelsea.

⚠️ Foul

44'

Foul by Myles Lewis-Skelly for Arsenal.

🧤 Goal Kick

44'

Goal kick for Arsenal.

⚠️ Foul

43'

Foul by Declan Rice for Arsenal.

⚠️ Foul

43'

Foul by Myles Lewis-Skelly for Arsenal.

↩️ Throw In

43'

Throw in for Chelsea.

↩️ Throw In

39'

Throw in for Chelsea.

🧤 Goal Kick

38'

Goal kick for Chelsea.

🧤 Goal Kick

37'

Goal kick for Arsenal.

🥅 Shot

36'

João Pedro takes a shot for Chelsea.

🧤 Goal Kick

35'

Goal kick for Arsenal.

⚠️ Foul

35'

Foul by Cole Palmer for Chelsea.

🛡️ Tackle

35'

Tackle by Jorrel Hato for Chelsea.

🧤 Goal Kick

34'

Goal kick for Chelsea.

🥅 Shot

34'

Myles Lewis-Skelly takes a shot for Arsenal.

⚠️ Foul

32'

Foul by Wesley Fofana for Chelsea.

🧤 Goal Kick

31'

Goal kick for Arsenal.

🥅 Shot

31'

Morgan Rogers takes a shot for Chelsea.

⚠️ Foul

30'

Foul by Riccardo Calafiori for Arsenal.

⚠️ Foul

29'

Foul by Romeo Lavia for Chelsea.

🛡️ Tackle

29'

Tackle by Wesley Fofana for Chelsea.

↩️ Throw In

28'

Throw in for Chelsea.

🛡️ Tackle

26'

Tackle by Wesley Fofana for Chelsea.

🛡️ Tackle

26'

Tackle by Wesley Fofana for Chelsea.

🎯 Shot On Target

25'

Kai Havertz has a shot on target for Arsenal.

🥅 Shot

25'

Kai Havertz takes a shot for Arsenal.

⚽ Goal

Normal Goal

25'

Goal for Arsenal! Scored by Kai Havertz.

🥅 Shot

24'

Riccardo Calafiori takes a shot for Arsenal.

🧤 Goal Kick

24'

Goal kick for Arsenal.

🥅 Shot

23'

João Pedro takes a shot for Chelsea.

🥅 Shot

23'

Martin Odegaard takes a shot for Arsenal.

🎯 Shot On Target

23'

Reece James has a shot on target for Chelsea.

🥅 Shot

23'

Reece James takes a shot for Chelsea.

🎯 Shot On Target

21'

Cole Palmer has a shot on target for Chelsea.

🥅 Shot

21'

Cole Palmer takes a shot for Chelsea.

🥅 Shot

20'

Kai Havertz takes a shot for Arsenal.

🚩 Corner

20'

Corner for Arsenal.

↩️ Throw In

20'

Throw in for Chelsea.

🛡️ Tackle

19'

Tackle by Ben White for Arsenal.

↩️ Throw In

18'

Throw in for Arsenal.

🎯 Shot On Target

18'

Bukayo Saka has a shot on target for Arsenal.

🥅 Shot

18'

Bukayo Saka takes a shot for Arsenal.

🛡️ Tackle

17'

Tackle by Ezri Konsa for Arsenal.

⚠️ Foul

16'

Foul by Morgan Rogers for Chelsea.

🎯 Shot On Target

15'

Kai Havertz has a shot on target for Arsenal.

⚠️ Foul

16'

Foul by Morgan Rogers for Chelsea.

🎯 Shot On Target

15'

Kai Havertz has a shot on target for Arsenal.

🥅 Shot

15'

Kai Havertz takes a shot for Arsenal.

🎯 Shot On Target

12'

Riccardo Calafiori has a shot on target for Arsenal.

🥅 Shot

12'

Riccardo Calafiori takes a shot for Arsenal.

🎯 Shot On Target

12'

Gabriel Magalhães has a shot on target for Arsenal.

🥅 Shot

12'

Gabriel Magalhães takes a shot for Arsenal.

⚽ Goal

Normal Goal

12'

Goal for Arsenal! Scored by Riccardo Calafiori.

⚠️ Foul

10'

Foul by Jorrel Hato for Chelsea.

↩️ Throw In

10'

Throw in for Arsenal.

⚠️ Foul

10'

Foul by Myles Lewis-Skelly for Arsenal.

🚩 Offside

Bukayo Saka is caught offside for Arsenal.

🚩 Corner

Corner for Arsenal.

🧤 Goal Kick

Goal kick for Chelsea.

🎯 Shot On Target

Riccardo Calafiori has a shot on target for Arsenal.

🥅 Shot

Riccardo Calafiori takes a shot for Arsenal.

⚠️ Foul

Foul by Wesley Fofana for Chelsea.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Arsenal.

🎯 Shot On Target

Morgan Rogers has a shot on target for Chelsea.

🥅 Shot

Morgan Rogers takes a shot for Chelsea.

⚽ Goal

Normal Goal

Goal for Chelsea! Scored by Morgan Rogers. Assist: Jorrel Hato.

Assist Jorrel Hato

⚠️ Foul

Foul by Arsenal.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Arsenal.

🟢 Match Started

Arsenal vs Chelsea has started.

Arsenal

Mikel Arteta

4-2-3-1

1 1 Raya

33 33 Calafiori

6 6 Magalhães

15 15 Konsa

4 4 White

49 49 Lewis-Skel…

41 41 Rice

17 17 Tzolis

8 8 Ødegaard

7 7 Saka

29 29 Havertz

Chelsea

Xabi Alonso

3-4-2-1

1 1 Martínez

5 5 Lacroix

34 34 Acheampong

3 3 Fofana

21 21 Hato

45 45 Lavia

24 24 James

7 7 Neto

17 17 Rogers

10 10 Palmer

9 9 Pedro

Home

Arsenal

4-2-3-1

Coach Mikel Arteta

Starting XI

1 David Raya G
4 B. White D
15 E. Konsa D
6 Gabriel Magalhães D
33 R. Calafiori D
41 D. Rice M
49 M. Lewis-Skelly M
7 B. Saka M
8 M. Ødegaard M
17 C. Tzolis M
29 K. Havertz F

Substitutes

13 Kepa
5 P. Hincapié
10 E. Eze
23 Mikel Merino
36 Martín Zubimendi
39 Bruno Guimarães
56 M. Dowman
14 V. Gyökeres
20 N. Madueke

Away

Chelsea

3-4-2-1

Coach Xabi Alonso

Starting XI

1 E. Martínez G
3 W. Fofana D
34 Joshua Kofi Acheampong D
5 M. Lacroix D
7 Pedro Neto M
24 R. James M
45 R. Lavia M
21 J. Hato M
10 C. Palmer M
17 M. Rogers M
9 João Pedro F

Substitutes

41 Estêvão
18 D. Welbeck
4 V. Barco
23 Geovany Tcherno Quenda
29 Pep Chavarría
11 J. Bynoe-Gittens
27 M. Gusto
6 L. Colwill
39 M. Penders

Chelsea

Player	Min	G	A	Rating
João Pedro 🟨	–	–	–	–
M. Lacroix 🟨	–	–	–	–
Joshua Kofi Acheampong	–	–	–	–
Pedro Neto	–	–	–	–
R. James	–	–	–	–
R. Lavia	–	–	–	–
J. Hato	–	–	1	–
C. Palmer 🟨	–	–	–	–
M. Rogers 🟨	–	1	–	–
E. Martínez	–	–	–	–
M. Penders	–	–	–	–
L. Colwill	–	–	–	–
M. Gusto	–	–	–	–
Pep Chavarría	–	–	–	–
Geovany Tcherno Quenda	–	–	–	–
V. Barco	–	–	–	–
J. Bynoe-Gittens	–	–	–	–
Estêvão	–	–	–	–
D. Welbeck	–	–	–	–
W. Fofana	–	–	–	–

Arsenal

Player	Min	G	A	Rating
K. Havertz	–	1	–	–
B. White	–	–	–	–
E. Konsa	–	–	–	–
Gabriel Magalhães	–	–	–	–
R. Calafiori	–	–	–	–
M. Lewis-Skelly	–	–	–	–
D. Rice	–	–	1	–
B. Saka	–	–	–	–
M. Ødegaard	–	1	–	–
C. Tzolis 🟨	–	–	1	–
David Raya	–	–	–	–
Kepa	–	–	–	–
P. Hincapié	–	–	–	–
E. Eze	–	–	–	–
Mikel Merino	–	–	–	–
Martín Zubimendi	–	–	–	–
Bruno Guimarães	–	–	–	–
M. Dowman	–	–	–	–
V. Gyökeres	–	–	–	–
N. Madueke	–	–	–	–