ENDED: Bournemouth vs Sunderland

England · Premier League

2 hours ago ENDED

Venue Vitality Stadium · Bournemouth, Dorset

Ref Craig Pawson

Round Regular Season - 7

Bournemouth

2 · 0

ENDED

Sunderland

Cards

🟥 1 🟨 5

Shots

On target

Corners

Recap Read full match recap

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Over 2.5

Analysis

Simulator projects 76.39% Over 2.5 probability versus market-implied 53.76%, a 22.63 percentage-point edge.

Bournemouth home: 2.2 goals scored, 1.0 conceded per game; 70% Over 2.5 rate across last 10 home matches.

Sunderland away: 2.0 goals scored, 1.7 conceded per game; 60% Over 2.5 rate across last 10 away matches.

Simulation-derived expected goals: Bournemouth 2.73, Sunderland 1.29.

Head-to-head: both prior meetings produced 3+ goals; 100% Over 2.5 conversion in 2 meetings.

RISK FACTORS
- Bournemouth's 0-1 home loss to Liverpool (2026-09-20) demonstrates defensive solidity is achievable.
- Sunderland's away record (4W-2D-4L, 1.4 ppg) signals inconsistent scoring threat on the road.
- Small H2H sample (2 games) limits predictive reliability; squad composition has shifted.

Odds

1.86

Units

2.3

Outcome

PENDING

Returns

+1.98u

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Match timeline

🛡️ Tackle

95'

Tackle by Enzo Le Fee for Sunderland.

🚩 Offside

94'

Alvaro Rodriguez is caught offside for Bournemouth.

🧤 Goal Kick

93'

Goal kick for Sunderland.

🥅 Shot

92'

Justin Kluivert takes a shot for Bournemouth.

🧤 Goal Kick

91'

Goal kick for Sunderland.

🥅 Shot

91'

Justin Kluivert takes a shot for Bournemouth.

🥅 Shot

90'

Justin Kluivert takes a shot for Bournemouth.

🛡️ Tackle

90'

Tackle by Reinildo Mandava for Sunderland.

↩️ Throw In

90'

Throw in for Bournemouth.

🛡️ Tackle

88'

Tackle by Ryan Christie for Bournemouth.

🧤 Goal Kick

88'

Goal kick for Sunderland.

🥅 Shot

86'

Rayan takes a shot for Bournemouth.

↩️ Throw In

85'

Throw in for Sunderland.

⚠️ Foul

84'

Foul by Adrien Truffert for Bournemouth.

🥅 Shot

82'

Amine Adli takes a shot for Bournemouth.

🧤 Goal Kick

80'

Goal kick for Bournemouth.

🥅 Shot

80'

Trai Hume takes a shot for Sunderland.

🟨 Yellow Card

79'

Yellow card for Ryan Christie of Bournemouth.

⚠️ Foul

79'

Foul by Ryan Christie for Bournemouth.

🛡️ Tackle

78'

Tackle by Francisco Evanilson for Bournemouth.

↩️ Throw In

77'

Throw in for Sunderland.

⚠️ Foul

76'

Foul by Adam Smith for Bournemouth.

↩️ Throw In

76'

Throw in for Sunderland.

↩️ Throw In

75'

Throw in for Sunderland.

↩️ Throw In

75'

Throw in for Sunderland.

🚩 Corner

74'

Corner for Sunderland.

🛡️ Tackle

74'

Tackle by Antonio Silva for Bournemouth.

↩️ Throw In

74'

Throw in for Sunderland.

🧤 Goal Kick

73'

Goal kick for Bournemouth.

🥅 Shot

73'

Enzo Le Fee takes a shot for Sunderland.

🧤 Goal Kick

73'

Goal kick for Sunderland.

⚠️ Foul

71'

Foul by Reinildo Mandava for Sunderland.

⚠️ Foul

70'

Foul by Jules Ahoka for Sunderland.

🧤 Goal Kick

69'

Goal kick for Sunderland.

🥅 Shot

69'

Francisco Evanilson takes a shot for Bournemouth.

↩️ Throw In

69'

Throw in for Bournemouth.

🛡️ Tackle

68'

Tackle by Luke O'Nien for Sunderland.

🧤 Goal Kick

67'

Goal kick for Sunderland.

🛡️ Tackle

67'

Tackle by Justin Kluivert for Bournemouth.

🟨 Yellow Card

65'

Yellow card for Sunderland.

⚠️ Foul

64'

Foul by Chris Rigg for Sunderland.

⚠️ Foul

64'

Foul by Marcus Tavernier for Bournemouth.

⚠️ Foul

63'

Foul by Justin Kluivert for Bournemouth.

🧤 Goal Kick

63'

Goal kick for Sunderland.

🥅 Shot

62'

Ryan Christie takes a shot for Bournemouth.

🥅 Shot

61'

Rayan takes a shot for Bournemouth.

🎯 Shot On Target

61'

Marcus Tavernier has a shot on target for Bournemouth.

🥅 Shot

61'

Marcus Tavernier takes a shot for Bournemouth.

🚩 Corner

61'

Corner for Bournemouth.

🧤 Goal Kick

61'

Goal kick for Bournemouth.

🚩 Corner

60'

Corner for Sunderland.

⚠️ Foul

59'

Foul by Adrien Truffert for Bournemouth.

↩️ Throw In

58'

Throw in for Bournemouth.

🧤 Goal Kick

58'

Goal kick for Sunderland.

↩️ Throw In

58'

Throw in for Bournemouth.

🥅 Shot

57'

Ryan Christie takes a shot for Bournemouth.

🧤 Goal Kick

56'

Goal kick for Bournemouth.

↩️ Throw In

55'

Throw in for Sunderland.

🥅 Shot

53'

Lewis Cook takes a shot for Bournemouth.

⚠️ Foul

53'

Foul by Adrien Truffert for Bournemouth.

🥅 Shot

52'

Francisco Evanilson takes a shot for Bournemouth.

🥅 Shot

52'

Ryan Christie takes a shot for Bournemouth.

⚠️ Foul

51'

Foul by Enzo Le Fee for Sunderland.

⚠️ Foul

50'

Foul by Ryan Christie for Bournemouth.

🎯 Shot On Target

48'

Francisco Evanilson has a shot on target for Bournemouth.

🥅 Shot

48'

Francisco Evanilson takes a shot for Bournemouth.

⚽ Goal

48'

Goal for Bournemouth! Scored by Francisco Evanilson.

🛡️ Tackle

48'

Tackle by Nordi Mukiele for Sunderland.

🥅 Shot

46'

Rayan takes a shot for Bournemouth.

▶️ Second Half Started

The second half has started.

⏸️ Half Time

Half time. Score: 1-0.

🟨 Yellow Card

51'

Yellow card for Lewis Cook of Bournemouth.

⚠️ Foul

51'

Foul by Lewis Cook for Bournemouth.

↩️ Throw In

50'

Throw in for Bournemouth.

⚠️ Foul

49'

Foul by Rayan for Bournemouth.

↩️ Throw In

49'

Throw in for Sunderland.

↩️ Throw In

48'

Throw in for Bournemouth.

↩️ Throw In

47'

Throw in for Bournemouth.

↩️ Throw In

47'

Throw in for Bournemouth.

↩️ Throw In

47'

Throw in for Bournemouth.

🧤 Goal Kick

47'

Goal kick for Sunderland.

🥅 Shot

46'

Francisco Evanilson takes a shot for Bournemouth.

🎯 Shot On Target

46'

Rayan has a shot on target for Bournemouth.

🥅 Shot

46'

Rayan takes a shot for Bournemouth.

🛡️ Tackle

45'

Tackle by Granit Xhaka for Sunderland.

🚩 Corner

45'

Corner for Bournemouth.

🛡️ Tackle

44'

Tackle by Rayan for Bournemouth.

🚩 Corner

44'

Corner for Sunderland.

🧤 Goal Kick

43'

Goal kick for Sunderland.

🥅 Shot

43'

Rayan takes a shot for Bournemouth.

🟨 Yellow Card

40'

Yellow card for Omar Alderete of Sunderland.

↩️ Throw In

40'

Throw in for Bournemouth.

⚠️ Foul

40'

Foul by Omar Alderete for Sunderland.

↩️ Throw In

40'

Throw in for Bournemouth.

↩️ Throw In

40'

Throw in for Sunderland.

↩️ Throw In

39'

Throw in for Sunderland.

🚩 Corner

38'

Corner for Bournemouth.

🎯 Shot On Target

37'

Rayan has a shot on target for Bournemouth.

🥅 Shot

37'

Rayan takes a shot for Bournemouth.

⚠️ Foul

37'

Foul by Enzo Le Fee for Sunderland.

🚩 Corner

37'

Corner for Bournemouth.

🚩 Offside

35'

Noah Sadiki is caught offside for Sunderland.

↩️ Throw In

34'

Throw in for Bournemouth.

↩️ Throw In

34'

Throw in for Bournemouth.

🛡️ Tackle

34'

Tackle by Enzo Le Fee for Sunderland.

↩️ Throw In

33'

Throw in for Sunderland.

🥅 Shot

33'

Francisco Evanilson takes a shot for Bournemouth.

🧤 Goal Kick

32'

Goal kick for Sunderland.

🎯 Shot On Target

32'

Rayan has a shot on target for Bournemouth.

🥅 Shot

32'

Rayan takes a shot for Bournemouth.

🥅 Shot

32'

Adam Smith takes a shot for Bournemouth.

🛡️ Tackle

31'

Tackle by Lewis Cook for Bournemouth.

🛡️ Tackle

31'

Tackle by Sunderland.

⚠️ Foul

31'

Foul by Francisco Evanilson for Bournemouth.

⚠️ Foul

26'

Foul by Antonio Silva for Bournemouth.

🟨 Yellow Card

26'

Yellow card for Antonio Silva of Bournemouth.

↩️ Throw In

25'

Throw in for Sunderland.

🧤 Goal Kick

25'

Goal kick for Bournemouth.

⚠️ Foul

24'

Foul by Rayan for Bournemouth.

↩️ Throw In

24'

Throw in for Sunderland.

⚠️ Foul

23'

Foul by Rayan for Bournemouth.

🧤 Goal Kick

23'

Goal kick for Sunderland.

🥅 Shot

22'

James Hill takes a shot for Bournemouth.

🥅 Shot

22'

James Hill takes a shot for Bournemouth.

🛡️ Tackle

21'

Tackle by Chris Rigg for Sunderland.

🧤 Goal Kick

20'

Goal kick for Sunderland.

🥅 Shot

20'

Marcus Tavernier takes a shot for Bournemouth.

⚠️ Foul

17'

Foul by Kevin Danso for Sunderland.

🟥 Red Card

17'

Red card for Kevin Danso of Sunderland.

🛡️ Tackle

17'

Tackle by Tyler Adams for Bournemouth.

🛡️ Tackle

17'

Tackle by James Hill for Bournemouth.

⚠️ Foul

16'

Foul by Lewis Cook for Bournemouth.

↩️ Throw In

16'

Throw in for Sunderland.

🛡️ Tackle

15'

Tackle by James Hill for Bournemouth.

🛡️ Tackle

14'

Tackle by Enzo Le Fee for Sunderland.

🛡️ Tackle

13'

Tackle by Chris Rigg for Sunderland.

🛡️ Tackle

13'

Tackle by Francisco Evanilson for Bournemouth.

🧤 Goal Kick

13'

Goal kick for Sunderland.

🧤 Goal Kick

11'

Goal kick for Bournemouth.

🧤 Goal Kick

11'

Goal kick for Bournemouth.

🥅 Shot

10'

Kevin Danso takes a shot for Sunderland.

⚠️ Foul

Foul by Tyler Adams for Bournemouth.

🚩 Offside

Trai Hume is caught offside for Sunderland.

🎯 Shot On Target

Marcus Tavernier has a shot on target for Bournemouth.

🥅 Shot

Marcus Tavernier takes a shot for Bournemouth.

⚽ Goal

Goal for Bournemouth! Scored by Marcus Tavernier.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Sunderland.

🛡️ Tackle

Tackle by Granit Xhaka for Sunderland.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Sunderland.

🚩 Corner

Corner for Bournemouth.

🥅 Shot

Tyler Adams takes a shot for Bournemouth.

🥅 Shot

Francisco Evanilson takes a shot for Bournemouth.

🛡️ Tackle

Tackle by Lewis Cook for Bournemouth.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Bournemouth.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Bournemouth.

🟢 Match Started

Bournemouth vs Sunderland has started.

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Over 2.5

Analysis

Odds

1.86

Units

2.3

Outcome

PENDING

Returns

+1.98u

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