ENDED: Brentford vs Chelsea

England · Premier League

4 weeks ago ENDED

Venue Brentford Community Stadium · London

Round Regular Season - 5

Brentford

3 · 0

ENDED

Chelsea

Possession

40%–60%

Cards

🟥 0 🟨 2

Shots

On target

Corners

Recap Read full match recap

3 expert tips on this match

AltBetsAI (2.25x) · ItzJade (1.45x) +1 more

Tips for this match 3

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AltBetsAI

+0u

TIP

Over 3.5

Analysis

Our simulation prices Over 3.5 at 69% probability with expected total 4.72 goals (3.48 home, 1.24 away).

Brentford score Over 2.5 in 60% of home games; Chelsea hit Over 2.5 in 90% of away games over last 10.

BTTS probability 69.09% signals both teams likely to find the net, driving higher goal totals.

Bookmaker odds 2.25 imply just 44.44% Over 3.5 probability—we see 24.56 percentage points of edge.

Additional confluence: Double chance : draw or Chelsea

RISK FACTORS
- |Brentford's miserly home defence (1.0 avg goals conceded) could clamp down on Chelsea's attacking output if they maintain organization.
- |Chelsea's recent away form shows three heavy losses (2-1 vs Arsenal 6 Sep, 3-0 vs Brighton 21 Apr, 3-0 vs Everton 21 Mar), suggesting defensive vulnerability under pressure.

Odds

2.25

Units

1.7

Outcome

LOST

Returns

-1.70

ItzJade

+0u

TIP

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Analysis

Chelsea have conceded 9 goals in their first four league games and haven't kept a clean sheet, while Brentford have scored in all six competitive games this season.

Odds

1.45

Units

1.0

Outcome

LOST

Returns

-1.00

ItzJade

+0u

TIP

Under Over: Over 3.5

Analysis

Chelsea have been involved in several high-scoring games this season, while both sides have shown they can create plenty of chances. Brentford have also been scoring consistently, so this has the potential to become an open game with 4+ goals.

Odds

2.25

Units

1.0

Outcome

LOST

Returns

-1.00

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🟨 Yellow Card (83')

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Match timeline

🚩 Corner

97'

Corner for Chelsea.

🎯 Shot On Target

94'

Fabio Carvalho has a shot on target for Brentford.

🥅 Shot

94'

Fabio Carvalho takes a shot for Brentford.

⚽ Goal

94'

Goal for Brentford!

↩️ Throw In

94'

Throw in for Brentford.

🛡️ Tackle

94'

Tackle by Mahdi Nicoll-Jazuli for Chelsea.

🛡️ Tackle

93'

Tackle by Kevin Schade for Brentford.

🧤 Goal Kick

93'

Goal kick for Brentford.

🥅 Shot

93'

Maxence Lacroix takes a shot for Chelsea.

⚠️ Foul

91'

Foul by Jannik Schuster for Brentford.

↩️ Throw In

89'

Throw in for Chelsea.

🛡️ Tackle

88'

Tackle by Jannik Schuster for Brentford.

🚩 Corner

87'

Corner for Brentford.

🧤 Goal Kick

87'

Goal kick for Brentford.

⚠️ Foul

85'

Foul by Dango Ouattara for Brentford.

🟨 Yellow Card

85'

Yellow card for Mamadou Sangare of Brentford.

🟨 Yellow Card

Yellow Card

85'

Yellow card for Mamadou Sangare of Brentford.

⚠️ Foul

85'

Foul by Mamadou Sangare for Brentford.

🟨 Yellow Card

Yellow Card

84'

Yellow card for Igor Thiago of Brentford.

🎯 Shot On Target

83'

Kevin Schade has a shot on target for Brentford.

🥅 Shot

83'

Kevin Schade takes a shot for Brentford.

🎯 Shot On Target

83'

Igor Thiago has a shot on target for Brentford.

🥅 Shot

83'

Igor Thiago takes a shot for Brentford.

⚽ Goal

Normal Goal

83'

Goal for Brentford! Scored by Igor Thiago.

🥅 Shot

80'

Geovany Quenda takes a shot for Chelsea.

⚠️ Foul

80'

Foul by Josh Acheampong for Chelsea.

⚠️ Foul

80'

Foul by Josh Acheampong for Chelsea.

🚩 Corner

80'

Corner for Chelsea.

🚩 Corner

80'

Corner for Chelsea.

🚩 Corner

79'

Corner for Chelsea.

🚩 Corner

79'

Corner for Chelsea.

🛡️ Tackle

78'

Tackle by Mamadou Sangare for Brentford.

🥅 Shot

78'

Cole Palmer takes a shot for Chelsea.

↩️ Throw In

78'

Throw in for Chelsea.

🥅 Shot

76'

Valentin Barco takes a shot for Chelsea.

🛡️ Tackle

76'

Tackle by Vitaly Janelt for Brentford.

🚩 Corner

76'

Corner for Chelsea.

🛡️ Tackle

74'

Tackle by Valentin Barco for Chelsea.

🧤 Goal Kick

74'

Goal kick for Brentford.

↩️ Throw In

72'

Throw in for Chelsea.

🚩 Offside

69'

Mikkel Damsgaard is caught offside for Brentford.

🛡️ Tackle

69'

Tackle by Igor Thiago for Brentford.

🛡️ Tackle

69'

Tackle by Igor Thiago for Brentford.

🚩 Corner

68'

Corner for Chelsea.

🛡️ Tackle

67'

Tackle by Michael Kayode for Brentford.

🥅 Shot

66'

Pedro Neto takes a shot for Chelsea.

🛡️ Tackle

66'

Tackle by Jordan Henderson for Chelsea.

↩️ Throw In

66'

Throw in for Brentford.

↩️ Throw In

65'

Throw in for Chelsea.

🥅 Shot

64'

Kevin Schade takes a shot for Brentford.

🛡️ Tackle

64'

Tackle by Maxence Lacroix for Chelsea.

🛡️ Tackle

63'

Tackle by Pep Chavarría for Chelsea.

🧤 Goal Kick

63'

Goal kick for Brentford.

🥅 Shot

61'

Jannik Schuster takes a shot for Brentford.

🎯 Shot On Target

61'

Jaidon Anthony has a shot on target for Brentford.

🥅 Shot

61'

Jaidon Anthony takes a shot for Brentford.

⚽ Goal

Normal Goal

61'

Goal for Brentford! Scored by Jaidon Anthony. Assist: Jannik Schuster.

Assist Jannik Schuster

🚩 Corner

61'

Corner for Brentford.

🚩 Corner

60'

Corner for Brentford.

🛡️ Tackle

60'

Tackle by Pedro Neto for Chelsea.

🧤 Goal Kick

60'

Goal kick for Brentford.

🥅 Shot

59'

Pep Chavarría takes a shot for Chelsea.

🧤 Goal Kick

59'

Goal kick for Chelsea.

🥅 Shot

59'

Igor Thiago takes a shot for Brentford.

🧤 Goal Kick

56'

Goal kick for Chelsea.

↩️ Throw In

55'

Throw in for Chelsea.

🧤 Goal Kick

54'

Goal kick for Chelsea.

↩️ Throw In

53'

Throw in for Chelsea.

↩️ Throw In

53'

Throw in for Chelsea.

↩️ Throw In

52'

Throw in for Chelsea.

🛡️ Tackle

52'

Tackle by Mikkel Damsgaard for Brentford.

🥅 Shot

52'

Morgan Rogers takes a shot for Chelsea.

🚩 Corner

52'

Corner for Chelsea.

🚩 Offside

51'

Jaidon Anthony is caught offside for Brentford.

🚩 Offside

50'

Danny Welbeck is caught offside for Chelsea.

🛡️ Tackle

49'

Tackle by Valentin Barco for Chelsea.

🛡️ Tackle

49'

Tackle by Igor Thiago for Brentford.

🛡️ Tackle

49'

Tackle by Pedro Neto for Chelsea.

🧤 Goal Kick

48'

Goal kick for Brentford.

🚩 Corner

48'

Corner for Chelsea.

↩️ Throw In

47'

Throw in for Brentford.

⚠️ Foul

46'

Foul by Igor Thiago for Brentford.

↩️ Throw In

46'

Throw in for Brentford.

▶️ Second Half Started

The second half has started.

⏸️ Half Time

Half time. Score: 0-0.

↩️ Throw In

46'

Throw in for Chelsea.

↩️ Throw In

45'

Throw in for Brentford.

🛡️ Tackle

45'

Tackle by Cole Palmer for Chelsea.

🛡️ Tackle

45'

Tackle by Cole Palmer for Chelsea.

🧤 Goal Kick

44'

Goal kick for Brentford.

↩️ Throw In

43'

Throw in for Brentford.

🥅 Shot

43'

Vitaly Janelt takes a shot for Brentford.

🥅 Shot

43'

Kevin Schade takes a shot for Brentford.

🎯 Shot On Target

43'

Keane Lewis-Potter has a shot on target for Brentford.

🥅 Shot

43'

Keane Lewis-Potter takes a shot for Brentford.

🛡️ Tackle

41'

Tackle by Pedro Neto for Chelsea.

🥅 Shot

41'

Morgan Rogers takes a shot for Chelsea.

🚩 Corner

41'

Corner for Chelsea.

⚠️ Foul

41'

Foul by Pedro Neto for Chelsea.

↩️ Throw In

40'

Throw in for Brentford.

↩️ Throw In

40'

Throw in for Chelsea.

🧤 Goal Kick

40'

Goal kick for Chelsea.

🥅 Shot

39'

Mikkel Damsgaard takes a shot for Brentford.

🛡️ Tackle

38'

Tackle by Yegor Yarmolyuk for Brentford.

🎯 Shot On Target

37'

Yegor Yarmolyuk has a shot on target for Brentford.

⚠️ Foul

35'

Foul by Cole Palmer for Chelsea.

🛡️ Tackle

35'

Tackle by Cole Palmer for Chelsea.

🚩 Offside

35'

Morgan Rogers is caught offside for Chelsea.

⚠️ Foul

34'

Foul by Keane Lewis-Potter for Brentford.

↩️ Throw In

34'

Throw in for Brentford.

🛡️ Tackle

33'

Tackle by Wesley Fofana for Chelsea.

↩️ Throw In

33'

Throw in for Brentford.

↩️ Throw In

32'

Throw in for Chelsea.

🛡️ Tackle

32'

Tackle by Cole Palmer for Chelsea.

🧤 Goal Kick

32'

Goal kick for Brentford.

↩️ Throw In

32'

Throw in for Chelsea.

↩️ Throw In

31'

Throw in for Chelsea.

↩️ Throw In

31'

Throw in for Chelsea.

🎯 Shot On Target

30'

Morgan Rogers has a shot on target for Chelsea.

🛡️ Tackle

29'

Tackle by Mikkel Damsgaard for Brentford.

⚠️ Foul

29'

Foul by Mikkel Damsgaard for Brentford.

↩️ Throw In

28'

Throw in for Chelsea.

🥅 Shot

28'

Morgan Rogers takes a shot for Chelsea.

🚩 Corner

28'

Corner for Chelsea.

🛡️ Tackle

26'

Tackle by Valentin Barco for Chelsea.

🛡️ Tackle

26'

Tackle by Mikkel Damsgaard for Brentford.

⚠️ Foul

25'

Foul by Igor Thiago for Brentford.

↩️ Throw In

25'

Throw in for Brentford.

🧤 Goal Kick

25'

Goal kick for Chelsea.

↩️ Throw In

24'

Throw in for Chelsea.

🥅 Shot

23'

Keane Lewis-Potter takes a shot for Brentford.

↩️ Throw In

23'

Throw in for Brentford.

🛡️ Tackle

22'

Tackle by Pep Chavarría for Chelsea.

🚩 Corner

22'

Corner for Brentford.

🚩 Corner

21'

Corner for Brentford.

⚠️ Foul

20'

Foul by Pep Chavarría for Chelsea.

↩️ Throw In

19'

Throw in for Brentford.

🧤 Goal Kick

18'

Goal kick for Brentford.

🧤 Goal Kick

16'

Goal kick for Chelsea.

🛡️ Tackle

16'

Tackle by Danny Welbeck for Chelsea.

↩️ Throw In

15'

Throw in for Brentford.

⚠️ Foul

15'

Foul by Pep Chavarría for Chelsea.

↩️ Throw In

14'

Throw in for Chelsea.

↩️ Throw In

14'

Throw in for Chelsea.

🚩 Corner

12'

Corner for Chelsea.

⚠️ Foul

11'

Foul by Igor Thiago for Brentford.

🥅 Shot

10'

Morgan Rogers takes a shot for Chelsea.

🎯 Shot On Target

10'

Pedro Neto has a shot on target for Chelsea.

🥅 Shot

10'

Pedro Neto takes a shot for Chelsea.

⚠️ Foul

Foul by Kevin Schade for Brentford.

⚠️ Foul

Foul by Pedro Neto for Chelsea.

🛡️ Tackle

Tackle by Kevin Schade for Brentford.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Brentford.

🛡️ Tackle

Tackle by Yegor Yarmolyuk for Brentford.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Chelsea.

🛡️ Tackle

Tackle by Keane Lewis-Potter for Brentford.

🥅 Shot

Igor Thiago takes a shot for Brentford.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Brentford.

🛡️ Tackle

Tackle by Valentin Barco for Chelsea.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Brentford.

⚠️ Foul

Foul by Igor Thiago for Brentford.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Brentford.

🟢 Match Started

Brentford vs Chelsea has started.

Brentford

Keith Andrews

4-2-3-1

1 1 Kelleher

23 23 Lewis-Pott…

20 20 Ajer

44 44 Schuster

33 33 Kayode

27 27 Janelt

6 6 Yarmolyuk

7 7 Schade

24 24 Damsgaard

19 19 Anthony

9 9 Thiago

Chelsea

Xabi Alonso

3-4-2-1

1 1 Martínez

6 6 Colwill

5 5 Lacroix

3 3 Fofana

29 29 Chavarría

4 4 Barco

14 14 Henderson

7 7 Neto

17 17 Rogers

10 10 Palmer

18 18 Welbeck

Home

Brentford

4-2-3-1

Coach Keith Andrews

Starting XI

1 C. Kelleher G
33 M. Kayode D
44 Jannik Schuster D
20 K. Ajer D
23 K. Lewis-Potter D
6 Y. Yarmolyuk M
27 V. Janelt M
19 J. Anthony M
24 M. Damsgaard M
7 K. Schade M
9 Thiago F

Substitutes

31 E. Balcombe
14 Fábio Carvalho
25 E. Diouf
48 B. Fredrick
3 R. Henry
2 A. Hickey
11 D. Ouattara
18 M. Sangaré
13 C. Wilson

Away

Chelsea

3-4-2-1

Coach Xabi Alonso

Starting XI

1 E. Martínez G
3 W. Fofana D
5 M. Lacroix D
6 L. Colwill D
7 Pedro Neto M
14 J. Henderson M
4 V. Barco M
29 Pep Chavarría M
10 C. Palmer M
17 M. Rogers M
18 D. Welbeck F

Substitutes

23 Geovany Tcherno Quenda
39 M. Penders
32 M. Nicoll-Jazuli
45 R. Lavia
21 J. Hato
27 M. Gusto
11 J. Bynoe-Gittens
41 Estêvão
34 Joshua Kofi Acheampong

Chelsea

Player	Min	G	A	Rating
D. Welbeck	–	–	–	–
V. Barco	–	–	–	–
Pep Chavarría	–	–	–	–
L. Colwill	–	–	–	–
W. Fofana	–	–	–	–
J. Henderson	–	–	–	–
M. Lacroix	–	–	–	–
Pedro Neto	–	–	–	–
C. Palmer	–	–	–	–
M. Rogers	–	–	–	–
E. Martínez	–	–	–	–
Joshua Kofi Acheampong	–	–	–	–
Estêvão	–	–	–	–
J. Bynoe-Gittens	–	–	–	–
M. Gusto	–	–	–	–
J. Hato	–	–	–	–
R. Lavia	–	–	–	–
M. Nicoll-Jazuli	–	–	–	–
M. Penders	–	–	–	–
Geovany Tcherno Quenda	–	–	–	–

Brentford

Player	Min	G	A	Rating
Y. Yarmolyuk	–	–	–	–
K. Ajer	–	–	–	–
J. Anthony	–	1	–	–
M. Damsgaard	–	–	–	–
V. Janelt	–	–	–	–
M. Kayode	–	–	–	–
K. Lewis-Potter	–	–	–	–
K. Schade	–	–	–	–
Jannik Schuster	–	–	1	–
Thiago 🟨	–	1	–	–
C. Kelleher	–	–	–	–
E. Balcombe	–	–	–	–
Fábio Carvalho	–	–	–	–
E. Diouf	–	–	–	–
B. Fredrick	–	–	–	–
R. Henry	–	–	–	–
A. Hickey	–	–	–	–
D. Ouattara	–	–	–	–
M. Sangaré 🟨	–	–	–	–
C. Wilson	–	–	–	–

Standings Premier League

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
4	Hull City DDWW	4	3	8
5	Brighton WDLW	4	8	7
6	Chelsea DLWW	4	1	7
7	Brentford DDDW	4	3	6
8	Liverpool DWDD	4	2	6
9	Everton DDDW	4	2	6

Head to head

2026-01-17 Chelsea 2–0 Brentford Premier League
2025-09-13 Brentford 2–2 Chelsea Premier League
2025-04-06 Brentford 0–0 Chelsea Premier League
2024-12-15 Chelsea 2–1 Brentford Premier League
2024-03-02 Brentford 2–2 Chelsea Premier League
2023-10-28 Chelsea 0–2 Brentford Premier League
2023-04-26 Chelsea 0–2 Brentford Premier League
2022-10-19 Brentford 0–0 Chelsea Premier League
2022-04-02 Chelsea 1–4 Brentford Premier League
2021-12-22 Brentford 0–2 Chelsea League Cup

Team news

Brentford

N. Collins — Injury
J. Dasilva — Injury
K. Furo — Surgery
M. Jensen — Muscle Injury
S. van den Berg — Injury
N. Collins — Injury
J. Dasilva — Injury
K. Furo — Surgery
M. Jensen — Muscle Injury
S. van den Berg — Injury

Chelsea

Joao Pedro — Injury
M. Caicedo — Injury
E. Emegha — Injury
J. Henderson — Wrist Injury
M. Palestra — Injury
Joao Pedro — Injury
M. Caicedo — Injury
E. Emegha — Injury
J. Henderson — Wrist Injury
M. Palestra — Injury

AltBetsAI

+0u

TIP

Over 3.5

Analysis

Odds

2.25

Units

1.7

Outcome

LOST

Returns

-1.70

ItzJade

+0u

TIP

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Analysis

Chelsea have conceded 9 goals in their first four league games and haven't kept a clean sheet, while Brentford have scored in all six competitive games this season.

Odds

1.45

Units

1.0

Outcome

LOST

Returns

-1.00

ItzJade

+0u

TIP

Under Over: Over 3.5

Analysis

Odds

2.25

Units

1.0

Outcome

LOST

Returns

-1.00

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