ENDED: Brighton vs FK Kauno Zalgiris

Conference League · Liga Conferência

1 day ago ENDED

Venue Amex Stadium · Brighton

Round League Stage - 1

Brighton

4 · 0

ENDED

FK Kauno Zalgiris

Cards

🟥 0 🟨 1

Shots

On target

Corners

Recap Read full match recap

1 expert tip on this match

AltBetsAI (1.91x)

Tips for this match 1

AltBetsAI

+0u

TIP

Under 4.5

Analysis

Simulator projects 83.98% probability for Under 4.5 versus 52.36% implied by 1.91 odds, yielding 31.6 percentage point edge.

Brighton averages 2.4 goals at home with only 0.5 conceded; just 10% of home games exceed 4.5 goals despite 80% Over 2.5 rate.

Kauno Zalgiris averages 0.9 goals away with 1.3 conceded; only 40% of away games go Over 2.5.

Expected total goals of 2.855 (Brighton 2.39 + Kauno 0.465) sits well below the 4.5 threshold per simulation.

Brighton missing Ferguson, Tzimas, Mitoma, and Minteh limits offensive ceiling despite home advantage.

RISK FACTORS
- Brighton's 8 wins in last 10 home games could trigger early goal avalanche if Kauno's defense crumbles, though simulator already factors this into 2.39 xG projection.
- Kauno may park the bus and limit Brighton's efficiency despite territorial dominance; Brighton's 70% home clean sheet rate suggests defensive solidity over high-scoring affairs.
- Conference League variance is less predictable than Premier League, though 10-game form sample per team provides reasonable stability.

Odds

1.91

Units

3.0

Outcome

PENDING

Returns

+2.73u

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Match timeline

⚠️ Foul

92'

Foul by Michael Svoboda for Brighton.

🎯 Shot On Target

90'

Leon Kreković has a shot on target for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

🥅 Shot

90'

Leon Kreković takes a shot for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

🧤 Goal Kick

90'

Goal kick for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

🥅 Shot

90'

Yasin Ayari takes a shot for Brighton.

🥅 Shot

90'

Yasin Ayari takes a shot for Brighton.

⚠️ Foul

89'

Foul by Michael Svoboda for Brighton.

🛡️ Tackle

89'

Tackle by Aldayr Hernandez for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

🧤 Goal Kick

87'

Goal kick for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

🥅 Shot

86'

David Promise takes a shot for Brighton.

⚠️ Foul

86'

Foul by Gabriel Debeljuh for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

🛡️ Tackle

85'

Tackle by Rokas Lekiatas for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

🚩 Corner

84'

Corner for Brighton.

🛡️ Tackle

85'

Tackle by Rokas Lekiatas for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

🚩 Corner

84'

Corner for Brighton.

🚩 Corner

84'

Corner for Brighton.

🛡️ Tackle

84'

Tackle by Loureiro Costinha for Brighton.

↩️ Throw In

83'

Throw in for Brighton.

🧤 Goal Kick

83'

Goal kick for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

🥅 Shot

82'

David Promise takes a shot for Brighton.

↩️ Throw In

81'

Throw in for Brighton.

🧤 Goal Kick

79'

Goal kick for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

🧤 Goal Kick

79'

Goal kick for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

🥅 Shot

79'

Loureiro Costinha takes a shot for Brighton.

🥅 Shot

79'

Loureiro Costinha takes a shot for Brighton.

🎯 Shot On Target

79'

Loureiro Costinha has a shot on target for Brighton.

🥅 Shot

79'

Loureiro Costinha takes a shot for Brighton.

🚩 Corner

79'

Corner for Brighton.

↩️ Throw In

78'

Throw in for Brighton.

🧤 Goal Kick

78'

Goal kick for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

🥅 Shot

77'

Yasin Ayari takes a shot for Brighton.

↩️ Throw In

77'

Throw in for Brighton.

🧤 Goal Kick

77'

Goal kick for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

⚠️ Foul

72'

Foul by Michael Svoboda for Brighton.

⚠️ Foul

72'

Foul by Michael Svoboda for Brighton.

↩️ Throw In

72'

Throw in for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

↩️ Throw In

70'

Throw in for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

⚠️ Foul

69'

Foul by Leon Kreković for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

⚠️ Foul

69'

Foul by Anthony Kalik for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

🎯 Shot On Target

67'

Matt O'Riley has a shot on target for Brighton.

🥅 Shot

67'

Matt O'Riley takes a shot for Brighton.

🥅 Shot

67'

Matt O'Riley takes a shot for Brighton.

🥅 Shot Off The Woodwork

67'

Matt O'Riley hits the woodwork for Brighton.

⚽ Goal

67'

Goal for Brighton! Scored by Matt O'Riley.

⚠️ Foul

66'

Foul by Rokas Lekiatas for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

🛡️ Tackle

66'

Tackle by Gabriel Debeljuh for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

🛡️ Tackle

65'

Tackle by Vykintas Slivka for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

↩️ Throw In

65'

Throw in for Brighton.

⚠️ Foul

65'

Foul by Brighton.

⚠️ Foul

64'

Foul by Gabriel Debeljuh for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

↩️ Throw In

63'

Throw in for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

🛡️ Tackle

62'

Tackle by Yukiyoshi Karashima for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

⚠️ Foul

59'

Foul by Maxim De Cuyper for Brighton.

🥅 Shot

58'

David Promise takes a shot for Brighton.

🚩 Corner

58'

Corner for Brighton.

🧤 Goal Kick

56'

Goal kick for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

🛡️ Tackle

55'

Tackle by Ibrahim Osman for Brighton.

🎯 Shot On Target

53'

Georginio Rutter has a shot on target for Brighton.

🥅 Shot

53'

Georginio Rutter takes a shot for Brighton.

🧤 Goal Kick

53'

Goal kick for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

⚽ Goal

53'

Goal for Brighton! Scored by Georginio Rutter.

🥅 Shot

53'

Ibrahim Osman takes a shot for Brighton.

🛡️ Tackle

52'

Tackle by Franco Baldassarra for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

⚠️ Foul

51'

Foul by Ibrahim Osman for Brighton.

🛡️ Tackle

51'

Tackle by Maxim De Cuyper for Brighton.

↩️ Throw In

50'

Throw in for Brighton.

🥅 Shot

49'

Malick Yalcouyé takes a shot for Brighton.

🎯 Shot On Target

49'

Jack Hinshelwood has a shot on target for Brighton.

🥅 Shot

49'

Jack Hinshelwood takes a shot for Brighton.

🚩 Corner

49'

Corner for Brighton.

🚩 Corner

49'

Corner for Brighton.

⚠️ Foul

48'

Foul by Rokas Lekiatas for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

🛡️ Tackle

48'

Tackle by Anton Tolordava for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

🧤 Goal Kick

48'

Goal kick for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

🥅 Shot

47'

Luka Vuskovic takes a shot for Brighton.

🥅 Shot

47'

Malick Yalcouyé takes a shot for Brighton.

🚩 Corner

47'

Corner for Brighton.

↩️ Throw In

46'

Throw in for Brighton.

▶️ Second Half Started

The second half has started.

⏸️ Half Time

Half time. Score: 2-0.

🎯 Shot On Target

47'

Jack Hinshelwood has a shot on target for Brighton.

🥅 Shot

47'

Jack Hinshelwood takes a shot for Brighton.

↩️ Throw In

47'

Throw in for Brighton.

🛡️ Tackle

47'

Tackle by Anton Tolordava for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

🧤 Goal Kick

47'

Goal kick for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

⚽ Goal

47'

Goal for Brighton! Scored by Jack Hinshelwood.

↩️ Throw In

45'

Throw in for Brighton.

🧤 Goal Kick

45'

Goal kick for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

🥅 Shot

44'

Jack Hinshelwood takes a shot for Brighton.

🧤 Goal Kick

43'

Goal kick for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

🎯 Shot On Target

41'

Georginio Rutter has a shot on target for Brighton.

🥅 Shot

41'

Georginio Rutter takes a shot for Brighton.

🛡️ Tackle

41'

Tackle by Franco Baldassarra for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

⚽ Goal

41'

Goal for Brighton! Scored by Georginio Rutter.

🥅 Shot

40'

Loureiro Costinha takes a shot for Brighton.

🧤 Goal Kick

40'

Goal kick for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

↩️ Throw In

40'

Throw in for Brighton.

🛡️ Tackle

39'

Tackle by Anton Tolordava for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

🧤 Goal Kick

39'

Goal kick for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

🥅 Shot

39'

Ibrahim Osman takes a shot for Brighton.

🥅 Shot

39'

Ibrahim Osman takes a shot for Brighton.

🛡️ Tackle

38'

Tackle by Georginio Rutter for Brighton.

🥅 Shot

38'

Loureiro Costinha takes a shot for Brighton.

🥅 Shot

35'

Matt O'Riley takes a shot for Brighton.

🎯 Shot On Target

34'

Jack Hinshelwood has a shot on target for Brighton.

🥅 Shot

34'

Jack Hinshelwood takes a shot for Brighton.

🚩 Corner

34'

Corner for Brighton.

⚠️ Foul

34'

Foul by Franco Baldassarra for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

↩️ Throw In

33'

Throw in for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

↩️ Throw In

33'

Throw in for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

⚠️ Foul

32'

Foul by Ibrahim Osman for Brighton.

🛡️ Tackle

32'

Tackle by Fabien Ourega for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

🧤 Goal Kick

32'

Goal kick for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

🥅 Shot

31'

Lewis Dunk takes a shot for Brighton.

↩️ Throw In

28'

Throw in for Brighton.

🛡️ Tackle

28'

Tackle by Yukiyoshi Karashima for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

🛡️ Tackle

27'

Tackle by Malick Yalcouyé for Brighton.

🛡️ Tackle

27'

Tackle by Franco Baldassarra for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

🛡️ Tackle

27'

Tackle by Malick Yalcouyé for Brighton.

🛡️ Tackle

27'

Tackle by Franco Baldassarra for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

🧤 Goal Kick

26'

Goal kick for Brighton.

🥅 Shot

25'

Franco Baldassarra takes a shot for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

🛡️ Tackle

25'

Tackle by Franco Baldassarra for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

⚠️ Foul

25'

Foul by Malick Yalcouyé for Brighton.

🧤 Goal Kick

25'

Goal kick for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

🛡️ Tackle

24'

Tackle by Leo Ribeiro for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

🧤 Goal Kick

23'

Goal kick for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

🥅 Shot

23'

Michael Svoboda takes a shot for Brighton.

🚩 Corner

23'

Corner for Brighton.

🚩 Corner

22'

Corner for Brighton.

🛡️ Tackle

21'

Tackle by Lewis Dunk for Brighton.

⚠️ Foul

19'

Foul by Malick Yalcouyé for Brighton.

🛡️ Tackle

18'

Tackle by Joris Moutachy for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

🛡️ Tackle

17'

Tackle by Michael Svoboda for Brighton.

🛡️ Tackle

17'

Tackle by Georginio Rutter for Brighton.

🥅 Shot

16'

Aldayr Hernandez takes a shot for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

⚠️ Foul

16'

Foul by Jack Hinshelwood for Brighton.

↩️ Throw In

16'

Throw in for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

⚠️ Foul

15'

Foul by Ibrahim Osman for Brighton.

↩️ Throw In

15'

Throw in for Brighton.

🛡️ Tackle

14'

Tackle by Fabien Ourega for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

🎯 Shot On Target

14'

Pascal Gross has a shot on target for Brighton.

🥅 Shot

14'

Pascal Gross takes a shot for Brighton.

🚩 Corner

14'

Corner for Brighton.

⚠️ Foul

12'

Foul by Fabien Ourega for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

⚠️ Foul

12'

Foul by Fabien Ourega for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

↩️ Throw In

12'

Throw in for Brighton.

🟨 Yellow Card

12'

Yellow card for Fabien Ourega of FK Kauno Zalgiris.

🥅 Shot

11'

Matt O'Riley takes a shot for Brighton.

🥅 Shot

11'

Olivier Boscagli takes a shot for Brighton.

🚩 Corner

11'

Corner for Brighton.

↩️ Throw In

10'

Throw in for Brighton.

🚩 Corner

10'

Corner for Brighton.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

🛡️ Tackle

Tackle by Fabien Ourega for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

🛡️ Tackle

Tackle by Anton Tolordava for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Brighton.

🧤 Goal Kick

Goal kick for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

🚩 Corner

Corner for Brighton.

🛡️ Tackle

Tackle by Aldayr Hernandez for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Brighton.

🧤 Goal Kick

Goal kick for FK Kauno Zalgiris.

🥅 Shot

Loureiro Costinha takes a shot for Brighton.

🟢 Match Started

Brighton vs FK Kauno Zalgiris has started.

AltBetsAI

+0u

TIP

Under 4.5

Analysis

Odds

1.91

Units

3.0

Outcome

PENDING

Returns

+2.73u

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