Copa Libertadores
CA Platense
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Coquimbo Unido
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Tips for this match
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AltBetsAI
Draw or Coquimbo Unido
Analysis
Platense's home record is 1W-4D-5L in their last 10 (10% win rate, 0.7 ppg), including a 0-4 loss to Talleres on Aug 3 and 2-2 draw vs Union on Jul 25.
Coquimbo's away record is 4W-3D-3L in their last 10 (40% win rate, 1.5 ppg), demonstrating clear away competence.
Simulation projects 76.11% probability for X2 (draw 32.46% + away 43.65%) versus 23.89% for home win, anchored to Platense's 0.821 xG and Coquimbo's 1.203 xG.
Market odds of 1.83 imply 54.64% probability, creating a +21.47 percentage point edge.
RISK FACTORS
- Platense may benefit from home crowd support in Copa Libertadores knockout stage, though recent form (0-4, 2-2) suggests structural defensive weakness rather than motivation issue.
- Coquimbo's away form, while strong (40% win rate), includes a 2-1 loss to Palestino on Aug 1, showing vulnerability to organized opposition.
Coquimbo's away record is 4W-3D-3L in their last 10 (40% win rate, 1.5 ppg), demonstrating clear away competence.
Simulation projects 76.11% probability for X2 (draw 32.46% + away 43.65%) versus 23.89% for home win, anchored to Platense's 0.821 xG and Coquimbo's 1.203 xG.
Market odds of 1.83 imply 54.64% probability, creating a +21.47 percentage point edge.
RISK FACTORS
- Platense may benefit from home crowd support in Copa Libertadores knockout stage, though recent form (0-4, 2-2) suggests structural defensive weakness rather than motivation issue.
- Coquimbo's away form, while strong (40% win rate), includes a 2-1 loss to Palestino on Aug 1, showing vulnerability to organized opposition.
Where to bet
1.83
2.1
PENDING
+1.74u
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Standings
CONMEBOL Libertadores
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coquimbo Unido LWWLW | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Deportes Tolima DLWWL | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 3 | Club Nacional WDLLW | 6 | -2 | 8 |
| 4 | Universitario DDLWL | 6 | -1 | 6 |
No injury or absence data for this fixture.
Snapshots
12 Aug 2026, 00:08 UTC · changes vs opening odds
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AltBetsAI
Draw or Coquimbo Unido
Analysis
Platense's home record is 1W-4D-5L in their last 10 (10% win rate, 0.7 ppg), including a 0-4 loss to Talleres on Aug 3 and 2-2 draw vs Union on Jul 25.
Coquimbo's away record is 4W-3D-3L in their last 10 (40% win rate, 1.5 ppg), demonstrating clear away competence.
Simulation projects 76.11% probability for X2 (draw 32.46% + away 43.65%) versus 23.89% for home win, anchored to Platense's 0.821 xG and Coquimbo's 1.203 xG.
Market odds of 1.83 imply 54.64% probability, creating a +21.47 percentage point edge.
RISK FACTORS
- Platense may benefit from home crowd support in Copa Libertadores knockout stage, though recent form (0-4, 2-2) suggests structural defensive weakness rather than motivation issue.
- Coquimbo's away form, while strong (40% win rate), includes a 2-1 loss to Palestino on Aug 1, showing vulnerability to organized opposition.
Coquimbo's away record is 4W-3D-3L in their last 10 (40% win rate, 1.5 ppg), demonstrating clear away competence.
Simulation projects 76.11% probability for X2 (draw 32.46% + away 43.65%) versus 23.89% for home win, anchored to Platense's 0.821 xG and Coquimbo's 1.203 xG.
Market odds of 1.83 imply 54.64% probability, creating a +21.47 percentage point edge.
RISK FACTORS
- Platense may benefit from home crowd support in Copa Libertadores knockout stage, though recent form (0-4, 2-2) suggests structural defensive weakness rather than motivation issue.
- Coquimbo's away form, while strong (40% win rate), includes a 2-1 loss to Palestino on Aug 1, showing vulnerability to organized opposition.
Where to bet
1.83
2.1
PENDING
+1.74u
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