ENDED: CA Platense vs Fluminense RJ

Copa Libertadores

4 weeks ago ENDED

Venue Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López · Vicente López, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Round Quarter-finals

CA Platense

2 · 1

ENDED

Fluminense RJ

Possession

56%–44%

Cards

🟥 0 🟨 4

Shots

On target

Corners

Recap Read full match recap

1 expert tip on this match

AltBetsAI (2.35x)

Tips for this match 1

AltBetsAI

+0u

TIP

Over 2.5

Analysis

Simulator projects 58.3% probability for Over 2.5 goals, with combined expected goals of 3.03 total (1.75 home + 1.28 away).

Both teams show 70% BTTS rate in recent form, indicating high-scoring tendency across both sides.

Fluminense's away defense concedes 1.8 goals per game while Platense scores 1.2 at home; combined with Fluminense's 1.4 away goals, expected output supports Over 2.5.

Market odds of 2.35 imply 42.6% probability; simulator's 58.3% represents 15.7 percentage point edge.

Additional confluence: Double chance : draw or Fluminense

RISK FACTORS
- Platense's home record is draw-heavy (6 draws in 10 games) with only 40% Over 2.5 rate, suggesting defensive solidity may suppress scoring.
- Fluminense's recent 2-0 away win at Platense on 2026-09-08 demonstrates they can control the match and limit goals, contradicting high-scoring projection.
- Fluminense has injury concerns (Samuel Xavier, Hércules suspension, Matheus Reis, John Kennedy) that could reduce attacking output.

Odds

2.35

Units

1.1

Outcome

WIN

Returns

+1.49u

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Match timeline

🟨 Yellow Card

95'

Yellow card for Juan Carlos Gauto of CA Platense.

⚠️ Foul

95'

Foul by Juan Carlos Gauto for CA Platense.

⚠️ Foul

94'

Foul by Guilherme Arana for Fluminense RJ.

🛡️ Tackle

94'

Tackle by Ignacio Vázquez for CA Platense.

🧤 Goal Kick

94'

Goal kick for CA Platense.

🥅 Shot

93'

Hércules takes a shot for Fluminense RJ.

🛡️ Tackle

92'

Tackle by CA Platense.

↩️ Throw In

92'

Throw in for CA Platense.

🛡️ Tackle

91'

Tackle by Rene for Fluminense RJ.

🛡️ Tackle

91'

Tackle by Ignacio Vázquez for CA Platense.

🛡️ Tackle

90'

Tackle by Agustin Lagos for CA Platense.

🚩 Corner

89'

Corner for CA Platense.

🚩 Corner

89'

Corner for CA Platense.

🥅 Shot

89'

Agustin Lagos takes a shot for CA Platense.

🚩 Corner

89'

Corner for CA Platense.

🚩 Corner

88'

Corner for CA Platense.

🛡️ Tackle

87'

Tackle by Juan Ignacio Saborido for CA Platense.

↩️ Throw In

87'

Throw in for Fluminense RJ.

⚠️ Foul

87'

Foul by Kevin Nicolás Retamar for CA Platense.

🛡️ Tackle

86'

Tackle by Martín Barrios for CA Platense.

🛡️ Tackle

85'

Tackle by Martín Barrios for CA Platense.

🧤 Goal Kick

85'

Goal kick for Fluminense RJ.

🛡️ Tackle

84'

Tackle by Juan Ignacio Saborido for CA Platense.

🛡️ Tackle

84'

Tackle by Hércules for Fluminense RJ.

🧤 Goal Kick

84'

Goal kick for Fluminense RJ.

🥅 Shot

83'

Agustin Lagos takes a shot for CA Platense.

↩️ Throw In

83'

Throw in for CA Platense.

🎯 Shot On Target

82'

Mateo Mendia has a shot on target for CA Platense.

🥅 Shot

82'

Mateo Mendia takes a shot for CA Platense.

🎯 Shot On Target

82'

Ignacio Vázquez has a shot on target for CA Platense.

🥅 Shot

82'

Ignacio Vázquez takes a shot for CA Platense.

🚩 Corner

82'

Corner for CA Platense.

🚩 Corner

81'

Corner for CA Platense.

🥅 Shot

81'

Franco Zapiola takes a shot for CA Platense.

↩️ Throw In

81'

Throw in for CA Platense.

↩️ Throw In

80'

Throw in for Fluminense RJ.

⚠️ Foul

80'

Foul by Luciano Acosta for Fluminense RJ.

🧤 Goal Kick

79'

Goal kick for CA Platense.

🥅 Shot

78'

Hulk takes a shot for Fluminense RJ.

↩️ Throw In

78'

Throw in for Fluminense RJ.

🧤 Goal Kick

78'

Goal kick for Fluminense RJ.

🛡️ Tackle

77'

Tackle by Hércules for Fluminense RJ.

⚠️ Foul

76'

Foul by Agustin Lagos for CA Platense.

⚠️ Foul

75'

Foul by Mateo Mendia for CA Platense.

↩️ Throw In

75'

Throw in for CA Platense.

🛡️ Tackle

75'

Tackle by Claudio Guga for Fluminense RJ.

🎯 Shot On Target

74'

Hulk has a shot on target for Fluminense RJ.

🥅 Shot

74'

Hulk takes a shot for Fluminense RJ.

⚠️ Foul

73'

Foul by Claudio Guga for Fluminense RJ.

🧤 Goal Kick

72'

Goal kick for Fluminense RJ.

↩️ Throw In

71'

Throw in for CA Platense.

⚠️ Foul

70'

Foul by CA Platense.

↩️ Throw In

69'

Throw in for Fluminense RJ.

🛡️ Tackle

66'

Tackle by Martín Barrios for CA Platense.

↩️ Throw In

66'

Throw in for Fluminense RJ.

🛡️ Tackle

66'

Tackle by Paulo Henrique Ganso for Fluminense RJ.

🛡️ Tackle

65'

Tackle by Agustin Lagos for CA Platense.

🛡️ Tackle

65'

Tackle by Hércules for Fluminense RJ.

↩️ Throw In

65'

Throw in for Fluminense RJ.

↩️ Throw In

65'

Throw in for CA Platense.

🧤 Goal Kick

65'

Goal kick for Fluminense RJ.

🥅 Shot

64'

Mateo Mendia takes a shot for CA Platense.

🟨 Yellow Card

Yellow Card

63'

Yellow card for Paulo Henrique Chagas de Lima of Fluminense.

⚠️ Foul

63'

Foul by Paulo Henrique Ganso for Fluminense RJ.

⚠️ Foul

63'

Foul by Juan Ignacio Saborido for CA Platense.

⚠️ Foul

61'

Foul by Agustin Lagos for CA Platense.

🟨 Yellow Card

Yellow Card

61'

Yellow card for Agustin Lagos of Platense.

🛡️ Tackle

61'

Tackle by Matheus Martinelli for Fluminense RJ.

🚩 Corner

61'

Corner for CA Platense.

🚩 Corner

61'

Corner for CA Platense.

↩️ Throw In

59'

Throw in for CA Platense.

↩️ Throw In

59'

Throw in for CA Platense.

🛡️ Tackle

59'

Tackle by Agustín Canobbio for Fluminense RJ.

🛡️ Tackle

58'

Tackle by Paulo Henrique Ganso for Fluminense RJ.

🎯 Shot On Target

57'

Agustín Canobbio has a shot on target for Fluminense RJ.

🥅 Shot

57'

Agustín Canobbio takes a shot for Fluminense RJ.

⚽ Goal

Normal Goal

57'

Goal for Fluminense! Scored by Agustín Canobbio.

↩️ Throw In

56'

Throw in for CA Platense.

↩️ Throw In

54'

Throw in for Fluminense RJ.

↩️ Throw In

54'

Throw in for CA Platense.

↩️ Throw In

54'

Throw in for Fluminense RJ.

⚠️ Foul

52'

Foul by Mateo Mendia for CA Platense.

🚩 Offside

51'

Yeferson Soteldo is caught offside for Fluminense RJ.

🧤 Goal Kick

51'

Goal kick for Fluminense RJ.

🧤 Goal Kick

50'

Goal kick for Fluminense RJ.

⚠️ Foul

49'

Foul by Agustín Canobbio for Fluminense RJ.

⚠️ Foul

48'

Foul by Guido Mainero for CA Platense.

⚠️ Foul

48'

Foul by Juan Ignacio Saborido for CA Platense.

↩️ Throw In

48'

Throw in for CA Platense.

↩️ Throw In

47'

Throw in for Fluminense RJ.

⚠️ Foul

46'

Foul by Pablo Ferreira for CA Platense.

🛡️ Tackle

46'

Tackle by Rene for Fluminense RJ.

↩️ Throw In

46'

Throw in for CA Platense.

🛡️ Tackle

46'

Tackle by Agustín Canobbio for Fluminense RJ.

▶️ Second Half Started

The second half has started.

🎯 Shot On Target

47'

Shot on target for CA Platense.

⏸️ Half Time

Half time. Score: 2-0.

🎯 Shot On Target

47'

Shot on target for CA Platense.

🥅 Shot

47'

Shot for CA Platense.

⚽ Goal

Normal Goal

47'

Goal for Platense! Scored by Bruno Christian Sepulveda.

⚠️ Foul

47'

Foul by CA Platense.

⚠️ Foul

47'

Foul by CA Platense.

↩️ Throw In

47'

Throw in for CA Platense.

🚩 Corner

46'

Corner for CA Platense.

🛡️ Tackle

46'

Tackle by Matheus Martinelli for Fluminense RJ.

🛡️ Tackle

46'

Tackle by Paulo Henrique Ganso for Fluminense RJ.

↩️ Throw In

46'

Throw in for CA Platense.

↩️ Throw In

45'

Throw in for CA Platense.

⚠️ Foul

44'

Foul by Ignacio Vázquez for CA Platense.

⚠️ Foul

44'

Foul by Ignacio Vázquez for CA Platense.

🛡️ Tackle

43'

Tackle by Matheus Martinelli for Fluminense RJ.

⚠️ Foul

43'

Foul by Matheus Martinelli for Fluminense RJ.

↩️ Throw In

43'

Throw in for Fluminense RJ.

↩️ Throw In

42'

Throw in for Fluminense RJ.

⚠️ Foul

41'

Foul by Paulo Henrique Ganso for Fluminense RJ.

↩️ Throw In

41'

Throw in for Fluminense RJ.

↩️ Throw In

41'

Throw in for CA Platense.

↩️ Throw In

41'

Throw in for CA Platense.

↩️ Throw In

40'

Throw in for CA Platense.

🧤 Goal Kick

40'

Goal kick for Fluminense RJ.

🥅 Shot

39'

Kevin Nicolás Retamar takes a shot for CA Platense.

⚠️ Foul

39'

Foul by Matheus Martinelli for Fluminense RJ.

↩️ Throw In

38'

Throw in for Fluminense RJ.

🛡️ Tackle

38'

Tackle by Juan Ignacio Saborido for CA Platense.

🛡️ Tackle

37'

Tackle by Pablo Ferreira for CA Platense.

↩️ Throw In

37'

Throw in for Fluminense RJ.

🥅 Shot

36'

Shot for CA Platense.

🛡️ Tackle

36'

Tackle by Pablo Ferreira for CA Platense.

🚩 Corner

35'

Corner for CA Platense.

🛡️ Tackle

35'

Tackle by Yeferson Soteldo for Fluminense RJ.

🧤 Goal Kick

34'

Goal kick for CA Platense.

🥅 Shot

33'

Hércules takes a shot for Fluminense RJ.

⚠️ Foul

32'

Foul by Guido Mainero for CA Platense.

↩️ Throw In

32'

Throw in for Fluminense RJ.

🛡️ Tackle

32'

Tackle by Martín Barrios for CA Platense.

🛡️ Tackle

32'

Tackle by Rene for Fluminense RJ.

↩️ Throw In

32'

Throw in for Fluminense RJ.

🛡️ Tackle

31'

Tackle by Juan Ignacio Saborido for CA Platense.

🎯 Shot On Target

30'

Guido Mainero has a shot on target for CA Platense.

🥅 Shot

30'

Guido Mainero takes a shot for CA Platense.

⚽ Goal

Normal Goal

30'

Goal for Platense! Scored by Guido Mainero.

🚩 Offside

25'

Guido Mainero is caught offside for CA Platense.

🎯 Shot On Target

25'

Ignacio Vázquez has a shot on target for CA Platense.

🥅 Shot

25'

Ignacio Vázquez takes a shot for CA Platense.

🚩 Corner

25'

Corner for CA Platense.

🧤 Goal Kick

22'

Goal kick for CA Platense.

🥅 Shot

22'

Paulo Henrique Ganso takes a shot for Fluminense RJ.

🚩 Corner

20'

Corner for CA Platense.

🎯 Shot On Target

19'

Juan Ignacio Saborido has a shot on target for CA Platense.

🥅 Shot

19'

Juan Ignacio Saborido takes a shot for CA Platense.

🧤 Goal Kick

19'

Goal kick for Fluminense RJ.

🥅 Shot

18'

Mateo Mendia takes a shot for CA Platense.

🛡️ Tackle

17'

Tackle by Juan Ignacio Saborido for CA Platense.

⚠️ Foul

17'

Foul by CA Platense.

🥅 Shot

16'

Kevin Nicolás Retamar takes a shot for CA Platense.

⚠️ Foul

16'

Foul by Juan Ignacio Saborido for CA Platense.

↩️ Throw In

15'

Throw in for CA Platense.

↩️ Throw In

15'

Throw in for Fluminense RJ.

⚠️ Foul

13'

Foul by Ignacio Vázquez for CA Platense.

⚠️ Foul

12'

Foul by CA Platense.

🛡️ Tackle

12'

Tackle by Juan Ignacio Saborido for CA Platense.

↩️ Throw In

12'

Throw in for CA Platense.

🟨 Yellow Card

Yellow Card

11'

Yellow card for Julian Millan of Fluminense.

⚠️ Foul

11'

Foul by Fluminense RJ.

🛡️ Tackle

11'

Tackle by Martín Barrios for CA Platense.

↩️ Throw In

10'

Throw in for Fluminense RJ.

🛡️ Tackle

10'

Tackle by Juan Ignacio Saborido for CA Platense.

🧤 Goal Kick

Goal kick for CA Platense.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Fluminense RJ.

🧤 Goal Kick

Goal kick for Fluminense RJ.

🧤 Goal Kick

Goal kick for Fluminense RJ.

🧤 Goal Kick

Goal kick for Fluminense RJ.

⚠️ Foul

Foul by Claudio Guga for Fluminense RJ.

🛡️ Tackle

Tackle by Kevin Nicolás Retamar for CA Platense.

⚠️ Foul

Foul by Agustin Lagos for CA Platense.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for CA Platense.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for CA Platense.

🛡️ Tackle

Tackle by Matheus Martinelli for Fluminense RJ.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Fluminense RJ.

🛡️ Tackle

Tackle by CA Platense.

🛡️ Tackle

Tackle by Rene for Fluminense RJ.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for CA Platense.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Fluminense RJ.

🟢 Match Started

CA Platense vs Fluminense RJ has started.

Platense

M. Palermo

4-2-3-1

30 30 Cozzani

4 4 Lagos

34 34 Mendia

13 13 Vázquez

25 25 Saborido

24 24 Barrios

26 26 Ferreira

43 43 Retamar

18 18 Merlini

7 7 Mainero

79 79 Sepúlveda

Fluminense

Marcão

4-2-3-1

1 1 Fábio

6 6 Renê

29 29 Millán

3 3 Silva

23 23 Guga

8 8 Martinelli

35 35 Hércules

30 30 Soteldo

10 10 Ganso

17 17 Canobbio

7 7 Hulk

Home

Platense

4-2-3-1

Coach M. Palermo

Starting XI

30 J. Cozzani G
25 J. Saborido D
13 I. Vázquez D
34 M. Mendia D
4 A. Lagos D
26 P. Ferreira M
24 M. Barrios M
7 G. Mainero M
18 B. Merlini M
43 N. Retamar M
79 B. Sepúlveda F

Substitutes

33 J. Gauto
15 M. Amarfil
5 I. Gómez
38 Celías Adán Ingenthron
99 G. Lencina
21 A. Lotti
11 N. López
6 E. Raggio
3 T. Silva
22 N. Sumavil
16 G. Togni
10 F. Zapiola

Away

Fluminense

4-2-3-1

Coach Marcão

Starting XI

1 Fábio G
23 Guga D
3 Thiago Silva D
29 J. Millán D
6 Renê D
35 Hércules M
8 Martinelli M
17 A. Canobbio M
10 PH Ganso M
30 Y. Soteldo M
7 Hulk F

Substitutes

13 Guilherme Arana
19 R. Castillo
46 Julio Fidelis
94 Otávio
21 Igor Rabello
44 Jemmes
11 J. Savarino
90 K. Serna
28 Riquelme
2 Samuel Xavier
27 Marcelo
32 L. Acosta

Platense

Player	Min	G	A	Rating
M. Amarfil	–	–	–	–
F. Zapiola	–	–	–	–
G. Togni	–	–	–	–
N. Sumavil	–	–	–	–
T. Silva	–	–	–	–
E. Raggio	–	–	–	–
N. López	–	–	–	–
A. Lotti	–	–	–	–
G. Lencina	–	–	–	–
Celías Adán Ingenthron	–	–	–	–
I. Gómez	–	–	–	–
J. Gauto	–	–	–	–
J. Cozzani	–	–	–	–
J. Saborido	–	–	–	–
I. Vázquez 🟨	–	–	–	–
M. Mendia	–	–	–	–
A. Lagos 🟨	–	–	–	–
P. Ferreira	–	–	–	–
M. Barrios	–	–	–	–
G. Mainero	–	1	1	–
B. Merlini	–	–	–	–
N. Retamar	–	–	–	–
B. Sepúlveda	–	1	–	–

Fluminense

Player	Min	G	A	Rating
L. Acosta	–	–	–	–
Guilherme Arana	–	–	–	–
R. Castillo	–	–	–	–
Julio Fidelis	–	–	–	–
Otávio	–	–	–	–
Igor Rabello	–	–	–	–
Jemmes	–	–	–	–
J. Savarino	–	–	–	–
K. Serna	–	–	–	–
Riquelme	–	–	–	–
Samuel Xavier	–	–	–	–
Marcelo	–	–	–	–
Fábio	–	–	–	–
Guga	–	–	–	–
Thiago Silva	–	–	–	–
J. Millán 🟨	–	–	–	–
Renê	–	–	–	–
Hércules	–	–	–	–
Martinelli	–	–	–	–
A. Canobbio	–	1	–	–
PH Ganso 🟨	–	–	–	–
Y. Soteldo	–	–	–	–
Hulk	–	–	1	–