World · International Friendlies
Canada
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Chile
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AltBetsAI
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Canadá
Analysis
Simulation projects Canada to win 71.8% but market odds (1.72) imply only 58.1%, yielding a 13.7pp edge.
Canada's home form: 1.33 avg goals scored, 0.78 avg goals conceded across 9 games, showing attacking punch and defensive solidity.
Chile's away form is fragile: 2.33 avg goals conceded in 3 away games, with losses to Portugal (2-1) and New Zealand (4-1).
Canada's 22% home win rate masks quality; they drew 6 of 9 home games but beat Qatar 6-0 and Uzbekistan 2-0 recently.
No prior H2H history eliminates bias; Chile's away defensive weakness is the decisive edge.
RISK FACTORS
- Canada missing Alphonso Davies (captain), Ali Ahmed, Moïse Bombito, Alistair Johnston, which could disrupt attacking cohesion and defensive shape.
- Chile's Ben Brereton Diaz carries 10 goals in window and is a proven finisher who could punish Canada's injury-thinned defense.
- Friendly match context may suppress motivation and intensity, diluting Canada's home advantage multiplier.
Read more
Canada's home form: 1.33 avg goals scored, 0.78 avg goals conceded across 9 games, showing attacking punch and defensive solidity.
Chile's away form is fragile: 2.33 avg goals conceded in 3 away games, with losses to Portugal (2-1) and New Zealand (4-1).
Canada's 22% home win rate masks quality; they drew 6 of 9 home games but beat Qatar 6-0 and Uzbekistan 2-0 recently.
No prior H2H history eliminates bias; Chile's away defensive weakness is the decisive edge.
RISK FACTORS
- Canada missing Alphonso Davies (captain), Ali Ahmed, Moïse Bombito, Alistair Johnston, which could disrupt attacking cohesion and defensive shape.
- Chile's Ben Brereton Diaz carries 10 goals in window and is a proven finisher who could punish Canada's injury-thinned defense.
- Friendly match context may suppress motivation and intensity, diluting Canada's home advantage multiplier.
Where to bet
1.72
1.4
PENDING
+1.01u
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Canada
Team stats
Chile
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Snapshots
26 Sep 2026, 23:06 UTC · changes vs opening odds
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AltBetsAI
+0u
Canadá
Analysis
Simulation projects Canada to win 71.8% but market odds (1.72) imply only 58.1%, yielding a 13.7pp edge.
Canada's home form: 1.33 avg goals scored, 0.78 avg goals conceded across 9 games, showing attacking punch and defensive solidity.
Chile's away form is fragile: 2.33 avg goals conceded in 3 away games, with losses to Portugal (2-1) and New Zealand (4-1).
Canada's 22% home win rate masks quality; they drew 6 of 9 home games but beat Qatar 6-0 and Uzbekistan 2-0 recently.
No prior H2H history eliminates bias; Chile's away defensive weakness is the decisive edge.
RISK FACTORS
- Canada missing Alphonso Davies (captain), Ali Ahmed, Moïse Bombito, Alistair Johnston, which could disrupt attacking cohesion and defensive shape.
- Chile's Ben Brereton Diaz carries 10 goals in window and is a proven finisher who could punish Canada's injury-thinned defense.
- Friendly match context may suppress motivation and intensity, diluting Canada's home advantage multiplier.
Read more
Canada's home form: 1.33 avg goals scored, 0.78 avg goals conceded across 9 games, showing attacking punch and defensive solidity.
Chile's away form is fragile: 2.33 avg goals conceded in 3 away games, with losses to Portugal (2-1) and New Zealand (4-1).
Canada's 22% home win rate masks quality; they drew 6 of 9 home games but beat Qatar 6-0 and Uzbekistan 2-0 recently.
No prior H2H history eliminates bias; Chile's away defensive weakness is the decisive edge.
RISK FACTORS
- Canada missing Alphonso Davies (captain), Ali Ahmed, Moïse Bombito, Alistair Johnston, which could disrupt attacking cohesion and defensive shape.
- Chile's Ben Brereton Diaz carries 10 goals in window and is a proven finisher who could punish Canada's injury-thinned defense.
- Friendly match context may suppress motivation and intensity, diluting Canada's home advantage multiplier.
Where to bet
1.72
1.4
PENDING
+1.01u
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