ENDED: Chapecoense SC vs Mirassol SP

Brazil · Brasileirão - Série A

9 hours ago ENDED

Venue Arena Condá · Chapeco

Ref L. Torezin

Round Regular Season - 34

Chapecoense SC

1 · 2

ENDED

Mirassol SP

Possession

45%–55%

Cards

🟥 0 🟨 4

Shots

On target

Corners

Recap Read full match recap

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Over 2.5

Analysis

Simulation projects 83.89% Over 2.5 versus market-implied 54.6%, a +29.3 percentage point edge at 1.83 odds.

Chapecoense home form shows 80% Over 2.5 rate with 2.3 average goals scored per game.

Expected goals total 4.63 (2.97 home + 1.66 away), well clear of the 2.5 threshold.

Mirassol away form sits at 30% Over 2.5 but faces elite home attack; concedes 1.8 per game away despite scoring just 1.0.

RISK FACTORS
- Mirassol's away defensive weakness (1.8 conceded per game) contrasts with Chapecoense's home inconsistency (4 losses in 10 games); variance risk persists.
- Weather or tactical adjustments could suppress goals, though Brasileirão averages 2.7 per game historically.

Odds

1.83

Units

2.9

Outcome

PENDING

Returns

+2.41u

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Match timeline

🧤 Goal Kick

96'

Goal kick for Mirassol SP.

🥅 Shot

96'

Rodrigues Heitor takes a shot for Chapecoense SC.

↩️ Throw In

95'

Throw in for Mirassol SP.

🧤 Goal Kick

94'

Goal kick for Mirassol SP.

🥅 Shot

94'

Franco Rossi takes a shot for Chapecoense SC.

🚩 Corner

94'

Corner for Chapecoense SC.

🧤 Goal Kick

93'

Goal kick for Mirassol SP.

↩️ Throw In

92'

Throw in for Chapecoense SC.

↩️ Throw In

92'

Throw in for Mirassol SP.

↩️ Throw In

91'

Throw in for Chapecoense SC.

🧤 Goal Kick

90'

Goal kick for Chapecoense SC.

🥅 Shot

90'

Jose Fernandinho takes a shot for Mirassol SP.

🧤 Goal Kick

90'

Goal kick for Mirassol SP.

⚠️ Foul

89'

Foul by José Aldo for Mirassol SP.

🧤 Goal Kick

89'

Goal kick for Chapecoense SC.

🥅 Shot

88'

Chico Kim takes a shot for Mirassol SP.

⚠️ Foul

88'

Foul by Eduardo Doma Domachowski for Chapecoense SC.

⚠️ Foul

88'

Foul by Kevin Ramírez for Chapecoense SC.

🎯 Shot On Target

87'

Eduardo Doma Domachowski has a shot on target for Chapecoense SC.

🥅 Shot

87'

Eduardo Doma Domachowski takes a shot for Chapecoense SC.

🚩 Corner

87'

Corner for Chapecoense SC.

⚠️ Foul

86'

Foul by André Luís for Mirassol SP.

🛡️ Tackle

86'

Tackle by Rodrigues Heitor for Chapecoense SC.

🟨 Yellow Card

Yellow Card

82'

Yellow card for Eduardo Doma of Chapecoense-sc.

⚠️ Foul

82'

Foul by Eduardo Doma Domachowski for Chapecoense SC.

🛡️ Tackle

82'

Tackle by Bruno Pacheco for Chapecoense SC.

🛡️ Tackle

81'

Tackle by Gomez Kauan for Chapecoense SC.

↩️ Throw In

80'

Throw in for Chapecoense SC.

↩️ Throw In

79'

Throw in for Chapecoense SC.

🛡️ Tackle

78'

Tackle by Ferreira Carlos Eduardo for Mirassol SP.

↩️ Throw In

78'

Throw in for Mirassol SP.

🛡️ Tackle

77'

Tackle by Neto Moura for Mirassol SP.

🛡️ Tackle

77'

Tackle by Reijers Camilo for Chapecoense SC.

🛡️ Tackle

77'

Tackle by Rodrigues Heitor for Chapecoense SC.

🛡️ Tackle

76'

Tackle by Gomez Kauan for Chapecoense SC.

↩️ Throw In

76'

Throw in for Mirassol SP.

🥅 Shot

76'

José Aldo takes a shot for Mirassol SP.

⚠️ Foul

75'

Foul by André Luís for Mirassol SP.

🧤 Goal Kick

74'

Goal kick for Mirassol SP.

🥅 Shot

74'

Marcinho Antonio takes a shot for Chapecoense SC.

🚩 Corner

74'

Corner for Chapecoense SC.

🎯 Shot On Target

73'

Miguel Carvalho has a shot on target for Chapecoense SC.

🥅 Shot

73'

Miguel Carvalho takes a shot for Chapecoense SC.

↩️ Throw In

73'

Throw in for Chapecoense SC.

🛡️ Tackle

73'

Tackle by Igor Formiga for Mirassol SP.

↩️ Throw In

73'

Throw in for Chapecoense SC.

↩️ Throw In

72'

Throw in for Chapecoense SC.

⚠️ Foul

71'

Foul by Franco Rossi for Chapecoense SC.

↩️ Throw In

71'

Throw in for Chapecoense SC.

↩️ Throw In

71'

Throw in for Chapecoense SC.

🧤 Goal Kick

71'

Goal kick for Mirassol SP.

🥅 Shot

70'

Marcinho Antonio takes a shot for Chapecoense SC.

🛡️ Tackle

70'

Tackle by Miguel Carvalho for Chapecoense SC.

⚠️ Foul

69'

Foul by José Aldo for Mirassol SP.

🧤 Goal Kick

69'

Goal kick for Mirassol SP.

⚠️ Foul

67'

Foul by José Aldo for Mirassol SP.

↩️ Throw In

67'

Throw in for Chapecoense SC.

⚠️ Foul

66'

Foul by André Luís for Mirassol SP.

🥅 Shot

65'

David Antunes takes a shot for Chapecoense SC.

🧤 Goal Kick

65'

Goal kick for Mirassol SP.

⚠️ Foul

64'

Foul by José Aldo for Mirassol SP.

🧤 Goal Kick

62'

Goal kick for Chapecoense SC.

🚩 Corner

61'

Corner for Mirassol SP.

🛡️ Tackle

61'

Tackle by Lucas Oliveira for Mirassol SP.

🥅 Shot

60'

Bruno Pacheco takes a shot for Chapecoense SC.

↩️ Throw In

59'

Throw in for Chapecoense SC.

⚠️ Foul

59'

Foul by Kallyson Cardozo Shaylon for Mirassol SP.

🎯 Shot On Target

57'

Kallyson Cardozo Shaylon has a shot on target for Mirassol SP.

🥅 Shot

57'

Kallyson Cardozo Shaylon takes a shot for Mirassol SP.

⚽ Goal

Own Goal

57'

Goal for Mirassol! Scored by Anderson. (Own Goal)

↩️ Throw In

57'

Throw in for Chapecoense SC.

↩️ Throw In

56'

Throw in for Mirassol SP.

🛡️ Tackle

56'

Tackle by Rodrigues Heitor for Chapecoense SC.

🧤 Goal Kick

56'

Goal kick for Mirassol SP.

🧤 Goal Kick

55'

Goal kick for Chapecoense SC.

🥅 Shot

55'

André Luís takes a shot for Mirassol SP.

🚩 Corner

55'

Corner for Mirassol SP.

🎯 Shot On Target

54'

Ferreira Carlos Eduardo has a shot on target for Mirassol SP.

🥅 Shot

54'

Ferreira Carlos Eduardo takes a shot for Mirassol SP.

🚩 Corner

54'

Corner for Mirassol SP.

🧤 Goal Kick

54'

Goal kick for Chapecoense SC.

🛡️ Tackle

53'

Tackle by Reijers Camilo for Chapecoense SC.

🧤 Goal Kick

53'

Goal kick for Mirassol SP.

🥅 Shot

53'

Túlio Eduardo takes a shot for Chapecoense SC.

🧤 Goal Kick

52'

Goal kick for Chapecoense SC.

🥅 Shot

52'

Alesson takes a shot for Mirassol SP.

⚠️ Foul

51'

Foul by Kallyson Cardozo Shaylon for Mirassol SP.

🛡️ Tackle

51'

Tackle by Igor Formiga for Mirassol SP.

↩️ Throw In

50'

Throw in for Chapecoense SC.

🥅 Shot

49'

Kallyson Cardozo Shaylon takes a shot for Mirassol SP.

⚠️ Foul

49'

Foul by André Luís for Mirassol SP.

⚠️ Foul

48'

Foul by Rodrigues Heitor for Chapecoense SC.

🧤 Goal Kick

47'

Goal kick for Chapecoense SC.

⚠️ Foul

47'

Foul by da Costa Yago Felipe for Chapecoense SC.

⏸️ Half Time

Half time. Score: 1-1.

⚠️ Foul

54'

Foul by Marcinho Antonio for Chapecoense SC.

🛡️ Tackle

54'

Tackle by Alves Borges Denilson for Mirassol SP.

↩️ Throw In

54'

Throw in for Chapecoense SC.

↩️ Throw In

54'

Throw in for Chapecoense SC.

↩️ Throw In

54'

Throw in for Chapecoense SC.

🛡️ Tackle

54'

Tackle by da Costa Yago Felipe for Chapecoense SC.

↩️ Throw In

54'

Throw in for Mirassol SP.

⚠️ Foul

53'

Foul by Alves Borges Denilson for Mirassol SP.

🟨 Yellow Card

53'

Yellow card for Mirassol SP.

⚠️ Foul

51'

Foul by da Costa Yago Felipe for Chapecoense SC.

🛡️ Tackle

51'

Tackle by Eduardo Doma Domachowski for Chapecoense SC.

🛡️ Tackle

50'

Tackle by Rodrigues Heitor for Chapecoense SC.

🎯 Shot On Target

49'

Reinaldo has a shot on target for Mirassol SP.

🥅 Shot

49'

Reinaldo takes a shot for Mirassol SP.

⚽ Goal

49'

Goal for Mirassol SP! Scored by Reinaldo.

🛡️ Tackle

46'

Tackle by Rodrigues Heitor for Chapecoense SC.

⚠️ Foul

45'

Foul by Reijers Camilo for Chapecoense SC.

🏃 Penalty Kick

Penalty

45'

Reinaldo took a penalty shot for Mirassol.

⚠️ Foul

44'

Foul by Kallyson Cardozo Shaylon for Mirassol SP.

🧤 Goal Kick

43'

Goal kick for Chapecoense SC.

🥅 Shot

43'

Alesson takes a shot for Mirassol SP.

🎯 Shot On Target

43'

Yannick Bolasie has a shot on target for Chapecoense SC.

🥅 Shot

43'

Yannick Bolasie takes a shot for Chapecoense SC.

↩️ Throw In

42'

Throw in for Mirassol SP.

🛡️ Tackle

42'

Tackle by Kallyson Cardozo Shaylon for Mirassol SP.

🛡️ Tackle

40'

Tackle by Alves Borges Denilson for Mirassol SP.

⚠️ Foul

38'

Foul by Reijers Camilo for Chapecoense SC.

↩️ Throw In

38'

Throw in for Chapecoense SC.

↩️ Throw In

37'

Throw in for Mirassol SP.

↩️ Throw In

35'

Throw in for Mirassol SP.

🛡️ Tackle

35'

Tackle by Reijers Camilo for Chapecoense SC.

🛡️ Tackle

35'

Tackle by Reijers Camilo for Chapecoense SC.

🛡️ Tackle

34'

Tackle by Marcinho Antonio for Chapecoense SC.

⚠️ Foul

33'

Foul by Marcinho Antonio for Chapecoense SC.

🛡️ Tackle

32'

Tackle by Neto Moura for Mirassol SP.

🛡️ Tackle

31'

Tackle by Lucas Oliveira for Mirassol SP.

↩️ Throw In

31'

Throw in for Chapecoense SC.

↩️ Throw In

31'

Throw in for Chapecoense SC.

🛡️ Tackle

31'

Tackle by Neto Moura for Mirassol SP.

🛡️ Tackle

31'

Tackle by Reijers Camilo for Chapecoense SC.

↩️ Throw In

30'

Throw in for Mirassol SP.

⚠️ Foul

30'

Foul by Yannick Bolasie for Chapecoense SC.

↩️ Throw In

29'

Throw in for Mirassol SP.

⚠️ Foul

27'

Foul by Eduardo Doma Domachowski for Chapecoense SC.

🛡️ Tackle

27'

Tackle by Reijers Camilo for Chapecoense SC.

↩️ Throw In

26'

Throw in for Chapecoense SC.

⚠️ Foul

25'

Foul by João Carroll Santana Victor for Mirassol SP.

⚠️ Foul

25'

Foul by Rodrigues Heitor for Chapecoense SC.

↩️ Throw In

24'

Throw in for Mirassol SP.

⚠️ Foul

23'

Foul by da Costa Yago Felipe for Chapecoense SC.

⚠️ Foul

22'

Foul by Reijers Camilo for Chapecoense SC.

🟨 Yellow Card

Yellow Card

22'

Yellow card for Camilo Reijers of Chapecoense-sc.

↩️ Throw In

21'

Throw in for Mirassol SP.

↩️ Throw In

20'

Throw in for Chapecoense SC.

🥅 Shot

20'

Reinaldo takes a shot for Mirassol SP.

🥅 Shot Off The Woodwork

20'

Reinaldo hits the woodwork for Mirassol SP.

🥅 Shot Off The Woodwork

20'

Paixao Anderson hits the woodwork for Chapecoense SC.

🏃 Penalty Kick

19'

Penalty shot by Mirassol SP.

🏃 Penalty Kick

Missed Penalty

19'

Reinaldo took a penalty shot for Mirassol.

🥅 Shot

18'

André Luís takes a shot for Mirassol SP.

🚩 Corner

18'

Corner for Mirassol SP.

🥅 Shot

17'

Alves Borges Denilson takes a shot for Mirassol SP.

🚩 Corner

17'

Corner for Mirassol SP.

🛡️ Tackle

17'

Tackle by Alves Borges Denilson for Mirassol SP.

🛡️ Tackle

16'

Tackle by Reijers Camilo for Chapecoense SC.

🛡️ Tackle

16'

Tackle by Rodrigues Heitor for Chapecoense SC.

↩️ Throw In

15'

Throw in for Mirassol SP.

🛡️ Tackle

15'

Tackle by Marcinho Antonio for Chapecoense SC.

⚠️ Foul

15'

Foul by Bruno Pacheco for Chapecoense SC.

🟨 Yellow Card

Yellow Card

15'

Yellow card for Bruno Pacheco of Chapecoense-sc.

⚠️ Foul

14'

Foul by Gomez Kauan for Chapecoense SC.

⚽ Goal

Normal Goal

13'

Goal for Chapecoense-sc! Scored by Kauan. Assist: Giovanni Augusto.

Assist Giovanni Augusto

🎯 Shot On Target

12'

Gomez Kauan has a shot on target for Chapecoense SC.

🥅 Shot

12'

Gomez Kauan takes a shot for Chapecoense SC.

🚩 Corner

12'

Corner for Chapecoense SC.

🛡️ Tackle

11'

Tackle by Gomez Kauan for Chapecoense SC.

↩️ Throw In

11'

Throw in for Chapecoense SC.

↩️ Throw In

11'

Throw in for Chapecoense SC.

↩️ Throw In

10'

Throw in for Chapecoense SC.

↩️ Throw In

10'

Throw in for Chapecoense SC.

↩️ Throw In

10'

Throw in for Chapecoense SC.

🛡️ Tackle

Tackle by Bruno Pacheco for Chapecoense SC.

🛡️ Tackle

Tackle by Bruno Pacheco for Chapecoense SC.

🧤 Goal Kick

Goal kick for Mirassol SP.

🥅 Shot

da Costa Yago Felipe takes a shot for Chapecoense SC.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Mirassol SP.

🛡️ Tackle

Tackle by Reinaldo for Mirassol SP.

🛡️ Tackle

Tackle by Reijers Camilo for Chapecoense SC.

🧤 Goal Kick

Goal kick for Mirassol SP.

⚠️ Foul

Foul by Igor Formiga for Mirassol SP.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Mirassol SP.

🎯 Shot On Target

João Carroll Santana Victor has a shot on target for Mirassol SP.

🥅 Shot

João Carroll Santana Victor takes a shot for Mirassol SP.

🚩 Corner

Corner for Mirassol SP.

🛡️ Tackle

Tackle by Reinaldo for Mirassol SP.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Chapecoense SC.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Chapecoense SC.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Mirassol SP.

🟢 Match Started

Chapecoense SC vs Mirassol SP has started.

Chapecoense-sc

Player	Min	G	A	Rating
Anderson	–	–	–	–
Heitor	–	–	–	–
Kauan	–	1	–	–
Eduardo Doma 🟨	–	–	–	–
Bruno Pacheco 🟨	–	–	–	–
Camilo 🟨	–	–	–	–
Yago Felipe	–	–	–	–
Marcinho	–	–	–	–
Giovanni Augusto	–	–	1	–
Yannick Bolasie	–	–	–	–
Tulio Eduardo	–	–	–	–
David Antunes	–	–	–	–
Kevin Ramírez	–	–	–	–
Franco Rossi	–	–	–	–
Miguel Carvalho	–	–	–	–
Dylan Borrero	–	–	–	–
Matheus	–	–	–	–
Dudu	–	–	–	–
Victor Caetano	–	–	–	–
Fernando	–	–	–	–
Rafael Thyere	–	–	–	–
Bruno Matias	–	–	–	–
Max	–	–	–	–

Mirassol

Player	Min	G	A	Rating
Walter	–	–	–	–
Igor Formiga	–	–	–	–
João Victor	–	–	–	–
Lucas Oliveira	–	–	–	–
Reinaldo	–	1	–	–
Denilson 🟨	–	–	–	–
Neto Moura	–	–	–	–
Shaylon	–	–	–	–
Eduardo	–	–	–	–
Alesson	–	–	–	–
André Luis	–	–	–	–
José Aldo	–	–	–	–
Carlos Eduardo	–	–	–	–
Chico	–	–	–	–
Fernandinho	–	–	–	–
Thomazella	–	–	–	–
Gabriel Knesowitsch	–	–	–	–
Daniel Borges	–	–	–	–
Willian Machado	–	–	–	–
Japa	–	–	–	–
Wallisson Luiz	–	–	–	–
Gustavo Silva	–	–	–	–
Zé Roberto	–	–	–	–

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Over 2.5

Analysis

Odds

1.83

Units

2.9

Outcome

PENDING

Returns

+2.41u

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