Bookmaker odds for X2 at 2.0 imply 50% probability, while simulation suggests slightly higher likelihood (~55%)
X2 offers a safer alternative to straight draw at high odds (>3.0), aligning with tactical analysis of both teams' vulnerabilities
Excellent data quality supports confidence in this value bet
Data support: N/A
CONTEXT
keyMatchups:
- Cruz Azul's attack vs Pumas UNAM's defense
- Home team’s ability to dominate possession against Pumas' counter-attacks
tacticalNotes:
- Cruz Azul likely to push for control and create scoring opportunities
- Pumas UNAM may look to sit deep and exploit counter-attacks, especially on set pieces
CONFIDENCE RATING: 8.5/10
Mexico - Liga MX
· 1 month ago
ENDED
Cruz Azul
0·0
Pumas UNAM
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Cruz Azul.
91`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Pumas UNAM.
91`🥅 Shot
Andrés Montaño takes a shot for Cruz Azul.
90`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Pumas UNAM.
90`🥅 Shot
Luka Romero takes a shot for Cruz Azul.
89`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Cruz Azul.
89`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Santiago Trigos for Pumas UNAM.
89`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Santiago Trigos for Pumas UNAM.
89`🥅 Shot
Robert Morales takes a shot for Pumas UNAM.
88`🥅 Shot Off The Woodwork
Robert Morales hits the woodwork for Pumas UNAM.
88`🥅 Shot
Luka Romero takes a shot for Cruz Azul.
87`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Luka Romero for Cruz Azul.
86`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Pedro Vite for Pumas UNAM.
86`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Pumas UNAM.
86`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Agustín Palavecino for Cruz Azul.
85`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Cruz Azul.
84`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Pumas UNAM.
84`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Amaury García for Cruz Azul.
83`🎯 Shot On Target
Agustín Palavecino has a shot on target for Cruz Azul.
82`🥅 Shot
Agustín Palavecino takes a shot for Cruz Azul.
82`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Cruz Azul.
81`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Luka Romero for Cruz Azul.
81`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Rubén Duarte for Pumas UNAM.
81`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Cruz Azul.
80`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Jose Paradela for Cruz Azul.
79`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Pumas UNAM.
78`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Willer Ditta for Cruz Azul.
77`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Agustín Palavecino for Cruz Azul.
77`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Pedro Vite for Pumas UNAM.
76`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Cruz Azul.
76`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Jordán Carrillo for Pumas UNAM.
76`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Cruz Azul.
75`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Cruz Azul.
75`🥅 Shot
Jeremy Márquez takes a shot for Cruz Azul.
74`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Cruz Azul.
74`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Cruz Azul.
73`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Pumas UNAM.
72`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Pumas UNAM.
72`🚩 Corner
Corner for Cruz Azul.
72`🚩 Corner
Corner for Cruz Azul.
72`🚩 Corner
Corner for Cruz Azul.
71`🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow card for Pedro Vite of Pumas UNAM.
70`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Pedro Vite for Pumas UNAM.
69`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Amaury García for Cruz Azul.
69`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Pumas UNAM.
69`🚩 Corner
Corner for Cruz Azul.
69`🚩 Corner
Corner for Cruz Azul.
69`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Pumas UNAM.
67`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Pumas UNAM.
67`🥅 Shot
Willer Ditta takes a shot for Cruz Azul.
66`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Cruz Azul.
65`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Álvaro Angulo for Pumas UNAM.
65`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Cruz Azul.
63`🚩 Corner
Corner for Pumas UNAM.
62`🎯 Shot On Target
Uriel Antuna has a shot on target for Pumas UNAM.
61`🥅 Shot
Uriel Antuna takes a shot for Pumas UNAM.
61`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Pumas UNAM.
60`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Cruz Azul.
58`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Pumas UNAM.
58`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Pumas UNAM.
57`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Carlos Rotondi for Cruz Azul.
57`🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow card for Álvaro Angulo of Pumas UNAM.
56`🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow card for Pumas UNAM.
56`🚩 Corner
Corner for Cruz Azul.
56`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Álvaro Angulo for Pumas UNAM.
55`🚩 Corner
Corner for Cruz Azul.
56`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Pumas UNAM.
53`🥅 Shot
Jose Paradela takes a shot for Cruz Azul.
52`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Agustín Palavecino for Cruz Azul.
52`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Willer Ditta for Cruz Azul.
52`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Cruz Azul.
52`🥅 Shot
Rodrigo Lopez takes a shot for Pumas UNAM.
50`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Carlos Rotondi for Cruz Azul.
50`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Cruz Azul.
50`🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow card for Amaury García of Cruz Azul.
49`🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow card for Amaury García of Cruz Azul.
49`🥅 Shot
Jose Paradela takes a shot for Cruz Azul.
48`🥅 Shot
Carlos Rodríguez takes a shot for Cruz Azul.
48`🥅 Shot Off The Woodwork
Carlos Rodríguez hits the woodwork for Cruz Azul.
48`🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow card for Cruz Azul.
49`🥅 Shot
Rubén Duarte takes a shot for Pumas UNAM.
47`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Cruz Azul.
47`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Amaury García for Cruz Azul.
46`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Cruz Azul.
45`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Juninho Vieira for Pumas UNAM.
45`⏸️ Half Time
Half time. Score: 0-0.
0`⏸️ Half Time
Half time. Score: 0-0.
0`⏸️ Half Time
Half time. Score: 0-0.
0`⏸️ Half Time
Half time. Score: 0-0.
0`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Agustín Palavecino for Cruz Azul.
47`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Pumas UNAM.
47`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Pumas UNAM.
46`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Pumas UNAM.
45`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Pumas UNAM.
44`🥅 Shot
Agustín Palavecino takes a shot for Cruz Azul.
43`🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow card for Jeremy Márquez of Cruz Azul.
42`🚩 Corner
Corner for Cruz Azul.
42`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Jeremy Márquez for Cruz Azul.
41`🚩 Corner
Corner for Cruz Azul.
42`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Cruz Azul.
40`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Amaury García for Cruz Azul.
38`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Pumas UNAM.
38`🥅 Shot
Gonzalo Piovi takes a shot for Cruz Azul.
38`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Carlos Rodríguez for Cruz Azul.
37`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Uriel Antuna for Pumas UNAM.
36`🚩 Offside
Carlos Rodríguez is caught offside for Cruz Azul.
35`🎯 Shot On Target
Jose Paradela has a shot on target for Cruz Azul.
35`🥅 Shot
Jose Paradela takes a shot for Cruz Azul.
35`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Cruz Azul.
34`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Pumas UNAM.
34`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Agustín Palavecino for Cruz Azul.
34`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Rodrigo Lopez for Pumas UNAM.
34`🏃 Penalty Kick
Penalty shot by Cruz Azul.
25`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Jose Paradela for Cruz Azul.
17`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Rodrigo Lopez for Pumas UNAM.
16`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Uriel Antuna for Pumas UNAM.
16`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Rodrigo Lopez for Pumas UNAM.
16`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Uriel Antuna for Pumas UNAM.
16`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Christian Ebere for Cruz Azul.
16`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Rubén Duarte for Pumas UNAM.
15`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Carlos Rotondi for Cruz Azul.
15`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Pumas UNAM.
13`🥅 Shot
Agustín Palavecino takes a shot for Cruz Azul.
13`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Gonzalo Piovi for Cruz Azul.
13`🥅 Shot
Jose Paradela takes a shot for Cruz Azul.
12`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Pumas UNAM.
12`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Jose Paradela for Cruz Azul.
12`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Omar Campos for Cruz Azul.
12`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Pumas UNAM.
12`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Pumas UNAM.
11`🚩 Corner
Corner for Cruz Azul.
10`🎯 Shot On Target
Jose Paradela has a shot on target for Cruz Azul.
9`🥅 Shot
Jose Paradela takes a shot for Cruz Azul.
9`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Cruz Azul.
8`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Jeremy Márquez for Cruz Azul.
7`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Omar Campos for Cruz Azul.
7`🚩 Corner
Corner for Cruz Azul.
7`🥅 Shot
Willer Ditta takes a shot for Cruz Azul.
6`🥅 Shot
Willer Ditta takes a shot for Cruz Azul.
5`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Jordán Carrillo for Pumas UNAM.
5`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Cruz Azul.
5`🚩 Corner
Corner for Cruz Azul.
5`🎯 Shot On Target
Christian Ebere has a shot on target for Cruz Azul.
4`🚩 Corner
Corner for Cruz Azul.
5`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Silva Nathan for Pumas UNAM.
4`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Carlos Rodríguez for Cruz Azul.
4`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Pumas UNAM.
4`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Pumas UNAM.
3`🥅 Shot
Agustín Palavecino takes a shot for Cruz Azul.
3`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Amaury García for Cruz Azul.
2`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Pumas UNAM.
2`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Pumas UNAM.
1`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Pumas UNAM.
1`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Uriel Antuna for Pumas UNAM.
0`🟢 Match Started
Cruz Azul vs Pumas UNAM has started.
0`
