Tips for this match
TIP
Banga Gargzdai
Analysis
Simulation predicts 0-1 away win with 78% confidence
Bookmaker odds for Away Win at 5.05 imply only 19.8% probability
Estimated true probability (78%) vs implied odds (19.8%) shows significant undervaluation
Away team has a solid defensive record and the home team struggles to score
Data quality is excellent, supporting high confidence in this value bet
Data support: N/A
CONTEXT
keyMatchups:
- Home attack vs Away defense
- Home midfield control vs Away counter-attacks
tacticalNotes:
- Home team likely to dominate possession but struggle to break down a disciplined away defense
- Away team may focus on compact defending and look for counter-attacks or set-piece opportunities
CONFIDENCE RATING: 8/10
Bookmaker odds for Away Win at 5.05 imply only 19.8% probability
Estimated true probability (78%) vs implied odds (19.8%) shows significant undervaluation
Away team has a solid defensive record and the home team struggles to score
Data quality is excellent, supporting high confidence in this value bet
Data support: N/A
CONTEXT
keyMatchups:
- Home attack vs Away defense
- Home midfield control vs Away counter-attacks
tacticalNotes:
- Home team likely to dominate possession but struggle to break down a disciplined away defense
- Away team may focus on compact defending and look for counter-attacks or set-piece opportunities
CONFIDENCE RATING: 8/10
5.05
0.1
WIN
+0.41 units
Lithuania - A Lyga
· 2 weeks ago
ENDED
FK Kauno Zalgiris
0·1
90+5'
Banga Gargzdai
🟥 (1)
🟨 (7)
(0)
(0)
(12)
(0)
(0)
(0)
(0)
Match timeline feed
🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow card for Banga Gargzdai.
95`🚩 Corner
Corner for FK Kauno Zalgiris.
92`🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow card for Banga Gargzdai.
88`🚩 Corner
Corner for FK Kauno Zalgiris.
86`🚩 Corner
Corner for FK Kauno Zalgiris.
84`🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow card for FK Kauno Zalgiris.
75`🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow card for FK Kauno Zalgiris.
74`🚩 Corner
Corner for Banga Gargzdai.
72`🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow card for FK Kauno Zalgiris.
60`⚽ Goal
Goal for Banga Gargzdai!
57`🚩 Corner
Corner for Banga Gargzdai.
49`🚩 Corner
Corner for Banga Gargzdai.
46`▶️ Second Half Started
The second half has started.
0`⏸️ Half Time
Half time. Score: 0-0.
0`🚩 Corner
Corner for Banga Gargzdai.
48`🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow card for Banga Gargzdai.
37`🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow card for FK Kauno Zalgiris.
35`🚩 Corner
Corner for FK Kauno Zalgiris.
30`🚩 Corner
Corner for Banga Gargzdai.
27`🚩 Corner
Corner for Banga Gargzdai.
23`🟥 Red Card
Red card for FK Kauno Zalgiris.
17`🚩 Corner
Corner for FK Kauno Zalgiris.
11`🚩 Corner
Corner for FK Kauno Zalgiris.
7`🟢 Match Started
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Banga Gargzdai has started.
0`
