ENDED: Fenerbahce SK vs AS Roma

Champions League

2 weeks ago ENDED

Venue Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu · Istanbul

Round League Stage - 1

Fenerbahce SK

1 · 1

ENDED

AS Roma

Possession

41%–59%

Cards

🟥 0 🟨 6

Shots

On target

Corners

Recap Read full match recap

3 expert tips on this match

AltBetsAI (1.75x) · silentbets (1.66x) +1 more

Tips for this match 3

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AltBetsAI

+0u

TIP

Over 2.5

Analysis

Fenerbahce 70% Over 2.5 rate at home (7 of 10 games per get_team_form); Roma 80% Over 2.5 rate away (8 of 10 games).

Fenerbahce avg 2.6 goals scored at home + Roma avg 2.3 goals scored away = 4.9 combined attacking output.

Our simulation: 88.42% probability of Over 2.5 goals, with expected total 5.12 goals (3.58 + 1.54 xG).

Bookmaker odds imply 57.14% Over 2.5 probability (1/1.75), creating 31.28 pp edge.

Top scorelines in simulation: 3-1 (7.11%), 4-1 (6.36%), 2-1 (5.95%), 3-2 (5.49%) — all exceed 2.5 goals.

Additional confluence: No predictions available

RISK FACTORS
- Roma's recent away form includes shutout vs Brighton (0-3 loss, 2026-08-08) and low-scoring draws, suggesting defensive solidity possible.
- Fenerbahce's most recent home game (vs Besiktas) was 1-2 loss with only 3 total goals, showing Under 2.5 is achievable.

Odds

1.75

Units

3.0

Outcome

LOST

Returns

-3.00

silentbets

+4.38u

TIP

Under Over: Over 2.5

Analysis

Both teams extremly goal scoring

Odds

1.66

Units

3.0

Outcome

LOST

Returns

-3.00

Goose

+0u

TIP

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Analysis

With fenerbahce having home advantage and a solid lineup there will be no doubt that they will score today as of roma they have had past champions leageu experience more then fenerbahce and with a solid lineup with the likes of dybala up front it will definitely be a no brainer.

Odds

1.54

Units

1.0

Outcome

WIN

Returns

+0.54u

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Match timeline

↩️ Throw In

94'

Throw in for AS Roma.

🛡️ Tackle

93'

Tackle by Oguz Aydin for Fenerbahce SK.

⚠️ Foul

93'

Foul by Archie Brown for Fenerbahce SK.

↩️ Throw In

92'

Throw in for AS Roma.

🚩 Corner

92'

Corner for AS Roma.

🛡️ Tackle

91'

Tackle by Milan Skriniar for Fenerbahce SK.

🚩 Corner

90'

Corner for AS Roma.

⚠️ Foul

88'

Foul by Paulo Dybala for AS Roma.

🛡️ Tackle

88'

Tackle by Oguz Aydin for Fenerbahce SK.

🚩 Offside

87'

Archie Brown is caught offside for Fenerbahce SK.

🥅 Shot

86'

Nathan Ake takes a shot for Fenerbahce SK.

🥅 Shot Off The Woodwork

86'

Nathan Ake hits the woodwork for Fenerbahce SK.

⚠️ Foul

86'

Foul by Bryan Cristante for AS Roma.

🟨 Yellow Card

Yellow Card

86'

Yellow card for Bryan Cristante of AS Roma.

⚠️ Foul

84'

Foul by Ismail Yuksek for Fenerbahce SK.

🟨 Yellow Card

Yellow Card

84'

Yellow card for Ismail Yüksek of Fenerbahçe.

🛡️ Tackle

84'

Tackle by Leonardo Balerdi for AS Roma.

↩️ Throw In

83'

Throw in for Fenerbahce SK.

🧤 Goal Kick

83'

Goal kick for AS Roma.

🚩 Corner

83'

Corner for Fenerbahce SK.

🧤 Goal Kick

82'

Goal kick for Fenerbahce SK.

🛡️ Tackle

81'

Tackle by Nahuel Molina for AS Roma.

🛡️ Tackle

80'

Tackle by Ismail Yuksek for Fenerbahce SK.

🛡️ Tackle

79'

Tackle by Paulo Dybala for AS Roma.

↩️ Throw In

79'

Throw in for Fenerbahce SK.

⚠️ Foul

78'

Foul by Leonardo Balerdi for AS Roma.

⚠️ Foul

77'

Foul by Evan Ndicka for AS Roma.

⚠️ Foul

76'

Foul by Leonardo Balerdi for AS Roma.

🎯 Shot On Target

76'

Paulo Dybala has a shot on target for AS Roma.

🥅 Shot

76'

Paulo Dybala takes a shot for AS Roma.

⚠️ Foul

75'

Foul by Archie Brown for Fenerbahce SK.

⚠️ Foul

75'

Foul by Archie Brown for Fenerbahce SK.

⚠️ Foul

73'

Foul by Levent Mercan for Fenerbahce SK.

⚠️ Foul

73'

Foul by Levent Mercan for Fenerbahce SK.

⚠️ Foul

71'

Foul by Niccolo Pisilli for AS Roma.

🛡️ Tackle

71'

Tackle by Nathan Ake for Fenerbahce SK.

🛡️ Tackle

71'

Tackle by Niccolo Pisilli for AS Roma.

🧤 Goal Kick

71'

Goal kick for Fenerbahce SK.

🟨 Yellow Card

Yellow Card

71'

Yellow card for Mert Müldür of Fenerbahçe.

🥅 Shot

70'

Donyell Malen takes a shot for AS Roma.

🟨 Yellow Card

Yellow Card

69'

Yellow card for Kerem Aktürkoğlu of Fenerbahçe.

⚠️ Foul

68'

Foul by Kerem Akturkoglu for Fenerbahce SK.

🧤 Goal Kick

68'

Goal kick for Fenerbahce SK.

🥅 Shot

67'

Donyell Malen takes a shot for AS Roma.

🎯 Shot On Target

66'

Kerem Akturkoglu has a shot on target for Fenerbahce SK.

🥅 Shot

66'

Kerem Akturkoglu takes a shot for Fenerbahce SK.

🛡️ Tackle

65'

Tackle by Ismail Yuksek for Fenerbahce SK.

↩️ Throw In

65'

Throw in for AS Roma.

🛡️ Tackle

65'

Tackle by Archie Brown for Fenerbahce SK.

↩️ Throw In

64'

Throw in for Fenerbahce SK.

⚠️ Foul

63'

Foul by Milan Skriniar for Fenerbahce SK.

🧤 Goal Kick

63'

Goal kick for AS Roma.

🥅 Shot

63'

Mason Greenwood takes a shot for Fenerbahce SK.

🧤 Goal Kick

63'

Goal kick for Fenerbahce SK.

↩️ Throw In

61'

Throw in for AS Roma.

🛡️ Tackle

61'

Tackle by Nathan Ake for Fenerbahce SK.

🧤 Goal Kick

60'

Goal kick for Fenerbahce SK.

⚠️ Foul

58'

Foul by Archie Brown for Fenerbahce SK.

↩️ Throw In

58'

Throw in for AS Roma.

🛡️ Tackle

56'

Tackle by Ismail Yuksek for Fenerbahce SK.

🛡️ Tackle

56'

Tackle by Ismail Yuksek for Fenerbahce SK.

🧤 Goal Kick

55'

Goal kick for Fenerbahce SK.

↩️ Throw In

55'

Throw in for AS Roma.

↩️ Throw In

54'

Throw in for AS Roma.

🧤 Goal Kick

53'

Goal kick for AS Roma.

🥅 Shot

52'

Bartug Elmaz takes a shot for Fenerbahce SK.

🎯 Shot On Target

52'

Vedat Muriqi has a shot on target for Fenerbahce SK.

🥅 Shot

52'

Vedat Muriqi takes a shot for Fenerbahce SK.

🛡️ Tackle

52'

Tackle by Mert Muldur for Fenerbahce SK.

🟨 Yellow Card

Yellow Card

51'

Yellow card for Archie Brown of Fenerbahçe.

⚠️ Foul

51'

Foul by Archie Brown for Fenerbahce SK.

🧤 Goal Kick

51'

Goal kick for Fenerbahce SK.

↩️ Throw In

50'

Throw in for AS Roma.

🎯 Shot On Target

48'

Archie Brown has a shot on target for Fenerbahce SK.

🥅 Shot

48'

Archie Brown takes a shot for Fenerbahce SK.

⚽ Goal

Normal Goal

48'

Goal for Fenerbahçe! Scored by Archie Brown.

⚠️ Foul

47'

Foul by Devyne Rensch for AS Roma.

↩️ Throw In

47'

Throw in for Fenerbahce SK.

🟨 Yellow Card

Yellow Card

47'

Yellow card for Devyne Rensch of AS Roma.

▶️ Second Half Started

The second half has started.

⏸️ Half Time

Half time. Score: 0-1.

⚠️ Foul

44'

Foul by Mario Hermoso for AS Roma.

🧤 Goal Kick

43'

Goal kick for Fenerbahce SK.

🥅 Shot

43'

Donyell Malen takes a shot for AS Roma.

↩️ Throw In

42'

Throw in for AS Roma.

🛡️ Tackle

41'

Tackle by Bartug Elmaz for Fenerbahce SK.

🎯 Shot On Target

39'

Bryan Cristante has a shot on target for AS Roma.

🥅 Shot

39'

Bryan Cristante takes a shot for AS Roma.

⚽ Goal

Normal Goal

39'

Goal for AS Roma! Scored by Bryan Cristante. Assist: Donyell Malen.

Assist Donyell Malen

⚠️ Foul

38'

Foul by Gianluca Mancini for AS Roma.

🛡️ Tackle

36'

Tackle by Paulo Dybala for AS Roma.

🧤 Goal Kick

35'

Goal kick for AS Roma.

🚩 Corner

34'

Corner for AS Roma.

⚠️ Foul

33'

Foul by Vedat Muriqi for Fenerbahce SK.

⚠️ Foul

32'

Foul by Bartug Elmaz for Fenerbahce SK.

↩️ Throw In

32'

Throw in for AS Roma.

↩️ Throw In

32'

Throw in for Fenerbahce SK.

🧤 Goal Kick

31'

Goal kick for Fenerbahce SK.

🚩 Corner

31'

Corner for AS Roma.

🛡️ Tackle

30'

Tackle by Mert Muldur for Fenerbahce SK.

⚠️ Foul

29'

Foul by Evan Ndicka for AS Roma.

🛡️ Tackle

29'

Tackle by Ismail Yuksek for Fenerbahce SK.

🛡️ Tackle

29'

Tackle by Gianluca Mancini for AS Roma.

🛡️ Tackle

28'

Tackle by Evan Ndicka for AS Roma.

🛡️ Tackle

25'

Tackle by Matias Soule for AS Roma.

⚠️ Foul

25'

Foul by Manu Koné for AS Roma.

🧤 Goal Kick

24'

Goal kick for AS Roma.

🥅 Shot

24'

Mason Greenwood takes a shot for Fenerbahce SK.

↩️ Throw In

23'

Throw in for Fenerbahce SK.

⚠️ Foul

22'

Foul by Mario Hermoso for AS Roma.

🛡️ Tackle

22'

Tackle by Gianluca Mancini for AS Roma.

🧤 Goal Kick

21'

Goal kick for Fenerbahce SK.

⚠️ Foul

21'

Foul by Evan Ndicka for AS Roma.

🎯 Shot On Target

21'

Paulo Dybala has a shot on target for AS Roma.

🥅 Shot

21'

Paulo Dybala takes a shot for AS Roma.

🛡️ Tackle

21'

Tackle by Manu Koné for AS Roma.

⚠️ Foul

20'

Foul by Mert Muldur for Fenerbahce SK.

↩️ Throw In

20'

Throw in for AS Roma.

↩️ Throw In

19'

Throw in for Fenerbahce SK.

🛡️ Tackle

18'

Tackle by Mert Muldur for Fenerbahce SK.

↩️ Throw In

18'

Throw in for AS Roma.

🛡️ Tackle

18'

Tackle by Mert Muldur for Fenerbahce SK.

🛡️ Tackle

18'

Tackle by Milan Skriniar for Fenerbahce SK.

⚠️ Foul

17'

Foul by Mario Hermoso for AS Roma.

↩️ Throw In

17'

Throw in for Fenerbahce SK.

⚠️ Foul

16'

Foul by Evan Ndicka for AS Roma.

🥅 Shot

15'

Mason Greenwood takes a shot for Fenerbahce SK.

⚠️ Foul

14'

Foul by Wesley for AS Roma.

⚠️ Foul

13'

Foul by Evan Ndicka for AS Roma.

↩️ Throw In

12'

Throw in for Fenerbahce SK.

🎯 Shot On Target

12'

Kerem Akturkoglu has a shot on target for Fenerbahce SK.

🥅 Shot

12'

Kerem Akturkoglu takes a shot for Fenerbahce SK.

🎯 Shot On Target

11'

Bartug Elmaz has a shot on target for Fenerbahce SK.

🥅 Shot

11'

Bartug Elmaz takes a shot for Fenerbahce SK.

⚠️ Foul

10'

Foul by Gianluca Mancini for AS Roma.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for AS Roma.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Fenerbahce SK.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Fenerbahce SK.

⚠️ Foul

Foul by Gianluca Mancini for AS Roma.

🧤 Goal Kick

Goal kick for Fenerbahce SK.

⚠️ Foul

Foul by Vedat Muriqi for Fenerbahce SK.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Fenerbahce SK.

🧤 Goal Kick

Goal kick for Fenerbahce SK.

🛡️ Tackle

Tackle by Devyne Rensch for AS Roma.

⚠️ Foul

Foul by Vedat Muriqi for Fenerbahce SK.

🟢 Match Started

Fenerbahce SK vs AS Roma has started.

Fenerbahçe

İ. Kartal

4-3-3

31 31 Ederson

3 3 Brown

15 15 Aké

37 37 Škriniar

18 18 Müldür

28 28 Elmaz

91 91 Kanté

5 5 Yüksek

7 7 Aktürkoğlu

19 19 Muriqi

11 11 Greenwood

AS Roma

G. Gasperini

3-4-2-1

99 99 Svilar

22 22 Hermoso

5 5 Ndicka

23 23 Mancini

43 43 Wesley

17 17 Koné

4 4 Cristante

2 2 Rensch

18 18 Soulé

21 21 Dybala

14 14 Malen

Home

Fenerbahçe

4-3-3

Coach İ. Kartal

Starting XI

31 Ederson G
18 M. Müldür D
37 M. Škriniar D
15 N. Aké D
3 A. Brown D
5 İ. Yüksek M
91 N. Kanté M
28 B. Elmaz M
11 M. Greenwood F
19 V. Muriqi F
7 K. Aktürkoğlu F

Substitutes

27 Nélson Semedo
14 Y. Demir
34 M. Günok
17 İ. Kahveci
9 R. Lukaku
22 L. Mercan
77 O. MimoviÄ
45 N. Dorgeles
21 K. Peprah Oppong
13 T. Çetin
70 O. Aydın

Away

AS Roma

3-4-2-1

Coach G. Gasperini

Starting XI

99 M. Svilar G
23 G. Mancini D
5 E. Ndicka D
22 Hermoso D
2 D. Rensch M
4 B. Cristante M
17 M. Koné M
43 Wesley M
21 P. Dybala M
18 M. Soulé M
14 D. Malen F

Substitutes

26 L. Balerdi
9 S. Castro
70 G. De Marzi
15 M. de Roon
87 D. Ghilardi
95 P. Gollini
3 K. Koulierakis
77 E. Lulli
20 N. Molina
61 N. Pisilli
86 Rodrigo Mora

Fenerbahçe

Player	Min	G	A	Rating
O. Aydın	–	–	–	–
T. Çetin	–	–	–	–
K. Peprah Oppong	–	–	–	–
N. Dorgeles	–	–	–	–
O. MimoviÄ	–	–	–	–
L. Mercan	–	–	–	–
R. Lukaku	–	–	–	–
İ. Kahveci	–	–	–	–
M. Günok	–	–	–	–
Y. Demir	–	–	–	–
Nélson Semedo	–	–	–	–
Ederson	–	–	–	–
M. Müldür 🟨	–	–	–	–
M. Škriniar	–	–	–	–
N. Aké	–	–	–	–
A. Brown 🟨	–	1	–	–
İ. Yüksek 🟨	–	–	–	–
N. Kanté	–	–	–	–
B. Elmaz	–	–	–	–
M. Greenwood	–	–	1	–
V. Muriqi	–	–	–	–
K. Aktürkoğlu 🟨	–	–	–	–

AS Roma

Player	Min	G	A	Rating
L. Balerdi	–	–	–	–
B. Cristante 🟨	–	1	–	–
P. Dybala	–	–	–	–
Hermoso	–	–	–	–
M. Koné	–	–	–	–
D. Malen	–	–	1	–
G. Mancini	–	–	–	–
E. Ndicka	–	–	–	–
D. Rensch 🟨	–	–	–	–
M. Soulé	–	–	–	–
Wesley	–	–	–	–
M. Svilar	–	–	–	–
S. Castro	–	–	–	–
G. De Marzi	–	–	–	–
M. de Roon	–	–	–	–
D. Ghilardi	–	–	–	–
P. Gollini	–	–	–	–
K. Koulierakis	–	–	–	–
E. Lulli	–	–	–	–
N. Molina	–	–	–	–
N. Pisilli	–	–	–	–
Rodrigo Mora	–	–	–	–