ENDED: Grêmio Novorizontino SP vs Avaí SC

Brazil · Brasileirão - Serie B

17 hours ago ENDED

Venue Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biase · New Horizons

Ref W. Sampaio

Round Regular Season - 26

Grêmio Novorizontino SP

3 · 1

ENDED

Avaí SC

Possession

52%–48%

Cards

🟥 0 🟨 3

Shots

On target

Corners

1 expert tip on this match

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Tips for this match 1

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-9.24u

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Over 2.5

Analysis

Simulator projects 73.48% Over 2.5 probability versus market-implied 50.51%, delivering 22.97 percentage point edge.

Home team hit Over 2.5 in 6 of 10 home games; away team hit Over 2.5 in 6 of 10 away games.

H2H shows 100% Over 2.5 rate across both prior meetings, including a 3-3 draw.

Simulator expects 3.83 total goals (2.70 home, 1.13 away), comfortably above the 2.5 line.

Additional confluence: Double chance : Novorizontino or draw

RISK FACTORS
- Avaí's last two away wins (2-0 vs Ponte Preta, 2-1 vs Operário) suggest defensive tightening, though the sample remains thin.
- Home team's 0.9 goals-conceded average could cap the total if defensive structure holds, despite recent 1.5 goals-per-game scoring rate.

Odds

1.98

Units

2.3

Outcome

WIN

Returns

+2.25u

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Match timeline

↩️ Throw In

93'

Throw in for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

🎯 Shot On Target

91'

Juninho Alexandre has a shot on target for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

🥅 Shot

91'

Juninho Alexandre takes a shot for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

↩️ Throw In

90'

Throw in for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

↩️ Throw In

89'

Throw in for Avaí SC.

↩️ Throw In

88'

Throw in for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

🛡️ Tackle

87'

Tackle by Marcos Freitas Patrick for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

🚩 Corner

87'

Corner for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

⚠️ Foul

86'

Foul by Léo Chú for Avaí SC.

↩️ Throw In

86'

Throw in for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

↩️ Throw In

84'

Throw in for Avaí SC.

↩️ Throw In

84'

Throw in for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

⚠️ Foul

83'

Foul by Luis Oyama for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

⚠️ Foul

82'

Foul by Ze Ricardo for Avaí SC.

🛡️ Tackle

82'

Tackle by Joao Cardoso de Souza Vitor for Avaí SC.

↩️ Throw In

81'

Throw in for Avaí SC.

🥅 Shot

81'

Matheus Bianqui takes a shot for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

⚠️ Foul

80'

Foul by Matheus Bianqui for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

↩️ Throw In

79'

Throw in for Avaí SC.

⚠️ Foul

77'

Foul by Figueiredo Jean Lucas for Avaí SC.

🚩 Offside

76'

Isaías da Silva is caught offside for Avaí SC.

↩️ Throw In

75'

Throw in for Avaí SC.

🎯 Shot On Target

75'

Figueiredo Jean Lucas has a shot on target for Avaí SC.

🥅 Shot

75'

Figueiredo Jean Lucas takes a shot for Avaí SC.

↩️ Throw In

74'

Throw in for Avaí SC.

↩️ Throw In

74'

Throw in for Avaí SC.

🛡️ Tackle

70'

Tackle by Maykon for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

↩️ Throw In

70'

Throw in for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

🛡️ Tackle

70'

Tackle by Joao Cardoso de Souza Vitor for Avaí SC.

🚩 Corner

69'

Corner for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

🚩 Corner

69'

Corner for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

↩️ Throw In

68'

Throw in for Avaí SC.

🧤 Goal Kick

67'

Goal kick for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

⚠️ Foul

67'

Foul by Luis Oyama for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

↩️ Throw In

66'

Throw in for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

🛡️ Tackle

66'

Tackle by Teixeira Douglas for Avaí SC.

⚠️ Foul

64'

Foul by Robson dos Santos for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

↩️ Throw In

63'

Throw in for Avaí SC.

↩️ Throw In

63'

Throw in for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

⚠️ Foul

62'

Foul by Reidiney for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

↩️ Throw In

62'

Throw in for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

⚠️ Foul

61'

Foul by Reidiney for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

🟨 Yellow Card

Yellow Card

61'

Yellow card for Francisco Reidiney Duarte Gomes of Novorizontino.

🛡️ Tackle

61'

Tackle by Teixeira Douglas for Avaí SC.

⚠️ Foul

60'

Foul by Reidiney for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

↩️ Throw In

60'

Throw in for Avaí SC.

↩️ Throw In

59'

Throw in for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

🥅 Shot

58'

Rômulo takes a shot for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

↩️ Throw In

57'

Throw in for Avaí SC.

🧤 Goal Kick

57'

Goal kick for Avaí SC.

🥅 Shot

57'

Nicolas Careca takes a shot for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

🚩 Corner

56'

Corner for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

↩️ Throw In

56'

Throw in for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

🛡️ Tackle

56'

Tackle by Paulo Monteiro Vitor for Avaí SC.

↩️ Throw In

55'

Throw in for Avaí SC.

🧤 Goal Kick

55'

Goal kick for Avaí SC.

🥅 Shot

55'

Luis Oyama takes a shot for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

↩️ Throw In

54'

Throw in for Avaí SC.

🛡️ Tackle

53'

Tackle by Reidiney for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

🚩 Offside

51'

Teixeira Douglas is caught offside for Avaí SC.

⚠️ Foul

50'

Foul by Reidiney for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

↩️ Throw In

50'

Throw in for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

⚠️ Foul

50'

Foul by Paulo Monteiro Vitor for Avaí SC.

↩️ Throw In

49'

Throw in for Avaí SC.

↩️ Throw In

49'

Throw in for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

↩️ Throw In

49'

Throw in for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

🥅 Shot

47'

Gabriel Cipriano takes a shot for Avaí SC.

⚠️ Foul

46'

Foul by Marcos Freitas Patrick for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

🟨 Yellow Card

Yellow Card

46'

Yellow card for Patrick Marcos de Sousa Freitas of Novorizontino.

⚠️ Foul

46'

Foul by Léo Naldi for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

▶️ Second Half Started

The second half has started.

↩️ Throw In

53'

Throw in for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

↩️ Throw In

53'

Throw in for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

⏸️ Half Time

Half time. Score: 3-1.

↩️ Throw In

53'

Throw in for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

🎯 Shot On Target

52'

Rômulo has a shot on target for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

🥅 Shot

52'

Rômulo takes a shot for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

⚽ Goal

52'

Goal for Grêmio Novorizontino SP!

↩️ Throw In

51'

Throw in for Avaí SC.

🎯 Shot On Target

50'

Gabriel Cipriano has a shot on target for Avaí SC.

🥅 Shot

50'

Gabriel Cipriano takes a shot for Avaí SC.

⚠️ Foul

49'

Foul by Robson dos Santos for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

↩️ Throw In

49'

Throw in for Avaí SC.

↩️ Throw In

49'

Throw in for Avaí SC.

⚠️ Foul

48'

Foul by Maykon for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

🛡️ Tackle

48'

Tackle by Joao Cardoso de Souza Vitor for Avaí SC.

↩️ Throw In

48'

Throw in for Avaí SC.

↩️ Throw In

48'

Throw in for Avaí SC.

⚠️ Foul

46'

Foul by Nicolas Careca for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

↩️ Throw In

46'

Throw in for Avaí SC.

↩️ Throw In

46'

Throw in for Avaí SC.

🛡️ Tackle

44'

Tackle by Joao Cardoso de Souza Vitor for Avaí SC.

↩️ Throw In

43'

Throw in for Avaí SC.

🎯 Shot On Target

39'

Robson dos Santos has a shot on target for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

🥅 Shot

39'

Robson dos Santos takes a shot for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

⚽ Goal

Missed Penalty

39'

Goal for Novorizontino! Scored by Romulo Azevedo Simão. (Missed Penalty)

🛡️ Tackle

38'

Tackle by Marcos Freitas Patrick for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

🛡️ Tackle

38'

Tackle by Paulo Monteiro Vitor for Avaí SC.

↩️ Throw In

38'

Throw in for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

↩️ Throw In

38'

Throw in for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

↩️ Throw In

38'

Throw in for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

🎯 Shot On Target

37'

Rômulo has a shot on target for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

🎯 Shot On Target

37'

Rômulo has a shot on target for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

🥅 Shot

37'

Rômulo takes a shot for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

🥅 Shot

33'

Rômulo takes a shot for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

⚠️ Foul

33'

Foul by Teixeira Douglas for Avaí SC.

🎯 Shot On Target

33'

Robson dos Santos has a shot on target for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

🥅 Shot

33'

Robson dos Santos takes a shot for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

🟨 Yellow Card

Yellow Card

33'

Yellow card for Douglas da Silva Teixeira of Avai.

🏃 Penalty Kick

33'

Penalty shot by Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

🛡️ Tackle

29'

Tackle by Joao Cardoso de Souza Vitor for Avaí SC.

🧤 Goal Kick

28'

Goal kick for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

↩️ Throw In

27'

Throw in for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

🎯 Shot On Target

24'

Aires Santos Allyson has a shot on target for Avaí SC.

🥅 Shot

24'

Aires Santos Allyson takes a shot for Avaí SC.

⚽ Goal

Normal Goal

24'

Goal for Avai! Scored by Allyson Aires Dos Santos.

🥅 Shot

24'

Paulo Monteiro Vitor takes a shot for Avaí SC.

🚩 Corner

24'

Corner for Avaí SC.

⚠️ Foul

22'

Foul by Araujo Silva Luiz Henrique for Avaí SC.

↩️ Throw In

22'

Throw in for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

🧤 Goal Kick

21'

Goal kick for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

🎯 Shot On Target

19'

Aires Santos Allyson has a shot on target for Avaí SC.

🥅 Shot

19'

Aires Santos Allyson takes a shot for Avaí SC.

🚩 Corner

19'

Corner for Avaí SC.

🎯 Shot On Target

18'

Figueiredo Jean Lucas has a shot on target for Avaí SC.

🥅 Shot

18'

Figueiredo Jean Lucas takes a shot for Avaí SC.

↩️ Throw In

18'

Throw in for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

🛡️ Tackle

17'

Tackle by Reynaldo Moraes for Avaí SC.

⚠️ Foul

16'

Foul by Gabriel Cipriano for Avaí SC.

↩️ Throw In

16'

Throw in for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

🥅 Shot

16'

Nicolas Careca takes a shot for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

↩️ Throw In

16'

Throw in for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

🚩 Corner

15'

Corner for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

🎯 Shot On Target

14'

Robson dos Santos has a shot on target for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

🥅 Shot

14'

Robson dos Santos takes a shot for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

🚩 Corner

14'

Corner for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

⚠️ Foul

13'

Foul by Joao Cardoso de Souza Vitor for Avaí SC.

🛡️ Tackle

13'

Tackle by Aires Santos Allyson for Avaí SC.

↩️ Throw In

13'

Throw in for Avaí SC.

🧤 Goal Kick

12'

Goal kick for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

↩️ Throw In

12'

Throw in for Avaí SC.

🎯 Shot On Target

Ferreira dos Santos Madson has a shot on target for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

🥅 Shot

Ferreira dos Santos Madson takes a shot for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

⚽ Goal

Normal Goal

Goal for Novorizontino! Scored by Romulo Azevedo Simão.

🚩 Corner

Corner for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

⚠️ Foul

Foul by Figueiredo Jean Lucas for Avaí SC.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Avaí SC.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Avaí SC.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Avaí SC.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Avaí SC.

🧤 Goal Kick

Goal kick for Avaí SC.

🥅 Shot

Robson dos Santos takes a shot for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

🛡️ Tackle

Tackle by Figueiredo Jean Lucas for Avaí SC.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Avaí SC.

🚩 Offside

Gabriel Cipriano is caught offside for Avaí SC.

🛡️ Tackle

Tackle by Wenderson Oliveira do Nascimento for Avaí SC.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Grêmio Novorizontino SP.

🟢 Match Started

Grêmio Novorizontino SP vs Avaí SC has started.

Novorizontino

Enderson Moreira

4-2-3-1

93 93 Jordi

66 66 Maykon

4 4 Patrick

26 26 Bahia

2 2 Madson

18 18 Naldi

6 6 Oyama

10 10 Romulo

30 30 Careca

11 11 Robson

41 Reidiney

Avai

Allan Aal

4-2-3-1

94 94 Bruno

36 36 DG

40 40 Reynaldo

3 3 Allyson

22 22 Vitor

8 8 Henrique

10 10 Lucas

25 Paulo

95 95 Wenderson

11 11 Vizeu

23 23 Cipriano

Home

Novorizontino

4-2-3-1

Coach Enderson Moreira

Starting XI

93 Jordi G
2 Madson D
26 Gabriel Bahia D
4 Patrick D
66 Maykon D
6 Luis Oyama M
18 Léo Naldi M
41 Reidiney F
10 Romulo M
30 Nicolas Careca F
11 Robson F

Substitutes

16 Vinícius
9 Carlão
3 carlinhos
31 César
19 Diego Galo
14 Eduardo Brock
22 A. Alvariño
50 Juninho
28 Marlon
17 Matheus Bianqui
7 Ronald Barcellos
15 Tavinho

Away

Avai

4-2-3-1

Coach Allan Aal

Starting XI

94 Bruno G
22 Joao Vitor D
3 Allyson D
40 Reynaldo D
36 DG D
25 Vitor Paulo M
8 Luiz Henrique M
23 Gabriel Cipriano F
95 Wenderson M
10 Jean Lucas M
11 Felipe Vizeu F

Substitutes

30 Kaua Gabriel Pereira Dos Santos
20 Isaias
26 Alemao Vinicius
15 Guilherme Vargas
77 Zé Ricardo
1 Igor Bohn
18 Hyan
35 Pedrão
4 Simples Gabriel
21 Otávio Passos
7 Léo Chú

Avai

Player	Min	G	A	Rating
Léo Chú	–	–	–	–
Otávio Passos	–	–	–	–
Kauã Gabriel Pereira Dos Santos	–	–	–	–
IsaÃas Pereira	–	–	–	–
Simples Gabriel	–	–	–	–
Vinicius Miguel Immig	–	–	–	–
Pedrão	–	–	–	–
Hyan	–	–	–	–
Igor Bohn	–	–	–	–
Zé Ricardo	–	–	–	–
Guilherme Vargas	–	–	–	–
Bruno	–	–	–	–
Joao Vitor	–	–	–	–
Allyson	–	1	–	–
Reynaldo	–	–	–	–
DG 🟨	–	–	–	–
Paulo Vitor	–	–	–	–
Luiz Henrique	–	–	–	–
Gabriel Cipriano	–	–	–	–
Wenderson	–	–	–	–
Jean Lucas	–	–	1	–
Felipe Vizeu	–	–	–	–

Novorizontino

Player	Min	G	A	Rating
Vinícius	–	–	–	–
Carlão	–	–	–	–
Madson	–	1	–	–
Gabriel Bahia	–	–	–	–
Patrick 🟨	–	–	–	–
Maykon	–	–	–	–
Luis Oyama	–	–	–	–
Léo Naldi	–	–	–	–
Romulo	–	1	–	–
Nicolas Careca	–	–	–	–
Robson	–	1	1	–
Jordi	–	–	1	–
César	–	–	–	–
Eduardo Brock	–	–	–	–
A. Alvariño	–	–	–	–
Juninho	–	–	–	–
Marlon	–	–	–	–
Matheus Bianqui	–	–	–	–
Ronald Barcellos	–	–	–	–
Tavinho	–	–	–	–
Diego Galo	–	–	–	–
Carlinhos	–	–	–	–
Reidiney 🟨	–	–	1	–

Standings Serie B

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
2	Juventude DWWDW	25	13	46
3	Vila Nova LWDWW	26	7	44
4	Novorizontino WWWDL	25	19	43
5	CRB WWLWD	26	4	42
6	Fortaleza EC DWDDD	25	6	41
7	Atletico Goianiense WWDLD	25	5	39
8	Sport Recife LWLWW	25	9	38
9	Nautico Recife WWDWD	26	3	37
10	Operario-PR DDLLL	25	-1	37
11	Athletic Club WLLLW	26	4	37
12	Goias WDLLW	25	-5	36
13	Cuiaba LWDWW	26	2	36
14	São Bernardo LDDLW	25	5	32
15	Botafogo SP LLLDW	26	0	31
16	Avai LWWWL	25	-4	29
17	Ceara LWLLW	25	-7	28
18	Londrina DLDLL	25	-7	22