ENDED: Manchester City vs AEK Atenas

Champions League

1 day ago ENDED

Venue Etihad Stadium · Manchester

Ref Willy Delajod

Round League Stage - 3

Manchester City

5 · 1

ENDED

AEK Atenas

Cards

🟥 0 🟨 1

Shots

On target

Corners

Recap Read full match recap

1 expert tip on this match

AltBetsAI (2.20x)

Tips for this match 1

AltBetsAI

+0u

TIP

Under 3.5

Analysis

Simulator projects 70.4% probability for Under 3.5 versus market-implied 45.5%, a +24.9 percentage-point edge.

Manchester City average 2.63 goals at home across 8 games with a 75% win rate; AEK average only 1.33 goals away across 9 games with a 44.4% win rate.

Simulator expected goals: City 1.81, AEK 0.94, totaling 2.75—well below the 3.5 threshold.

AEK's defensive discipline away, averaging 0.78 goals conceded, limits City's scoring potential despite home advantage.

Haaland rested per match context and Semenyo's potential unavailability reduce City's attacking output.

RISK FACTORS
- City's home BTTS rate is 62.5% and Over 2.5% is 75%, suggesting higher-scoring tendency than simulator implies.
- Phil Foden in form, scoring 4 of last 5 UCL goals in the opening 25 minutes, could accelerate City's goal tally.
- AEK's recent away form shows 4 wins in 9 games; an early AEK goal may prompt City to open up defensively.

Odds

2.20

Units

1.7

Outcome

PENDING

Returns

+2.04u

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Match timeline

🛡️ Tackle

92'

Tackle by Elliot Anderson for Manchester City.

🛡️ Tackle

92'

Tackle by Mijat Gacinovic for AEK Atenas.

🛡️ Tackle

92'

Tackle by Harold Moukoudi for AEK Atenas.

🧤 Goal Kick

92'

Goal kick for Manchester City.

🥅 Shot

92'

Milan Vitalis takes a shot for AEK Atenas.

🧤 Goal Kick

90'

Goal kick for Manchester City.

🥅 Shot

90'

Milan Vitalis takes a shot for AEK Atenas.

🚩 Corner

89'

Corner for AEK Atenas.

🥅 Shot

88'

Mijat Gacinovic takes a shot for AEK Atenas.

🧤 Goal Kick

88'

Goal kick for Manchester City.

⚠️ Foul

87'

Foul by Harold Moukoudi for AEK Atenas.

↩️ Throw In

86'

Throw in for Manchester City.

⚠️ Foul

85'

Foul by Harold Moukoudi for AEK Atenas.

↩️ Throw In

85'

Throw in for Manchester City.

🥅 Shot

84'

Rayan Cherki takes a shot for Manchester City.

⚠️ Foul

82'

Foul by Aboubakary Koita for AEK Atenas.

🥅 Shot

81'

Lovro Majer takes a shot for AEK Atenas.

🚩 Corner

81'

Corner for AEK Atenas.

🛡️ Tackle

80'

Tackle by Lovro Majer for AEK Atenas.

⚠️ Foul

79'

Foul by Lazaros Rota for AEK Atenas.

🛡️ Tackle

79'

Tackle by Aboubakary Koita for AEK Atenas.

🎯 Shot On Target

76'

Phil Foden has a shot on target for Manchester City.

🥅 Shot

76'

Phil Foden takes a shot for Manchester City.

⚽ Goal

76'

Goal for Manchester City! Scored by Phil Foden.

↩️ Throw In

76'

Throw in for Manchester City.

↩️ Throw In

76'

Throw in for AEK Atenas.

🛡️ Tackle

75'

Tackle by Lazaros Rota for AEK Atenas.

🎯 Shot On Target

74'

Zine has a shot on target for AEK Atenas.

🥅 Shot

74'

Zine takes a shot for AEK Atenas.

🚩 Corner

74'

Corner for AEK Atenas.

↩️ Throw In

74'

Throw in for AEK Atenas.

🥅 Shot

73'

Aboubakary Koita takes a shot for AEK Atenas.

🎯 Shot On Target

73'

Olexandr Zubkov has a shot on target for AEK Atenas.

🥅 Shot

73'

Olexandr Zubkov takes a shot for AEK Atenas.

↩️ Throw In

72'

Throw in for AEK Atenas.

⚠️ Foul

69'

Foul by Elliot Anderson for Manchester City.

🧤 Goal Kick

69'

Goal kick for Manchester City.

🥅 Shot

68'

Olexandr Zubkov takes a shot for AEK Atenas.

🛡️ Tackle

68'

Tackle by Andrade Allan for Manchester City.

🛡️ Tackle

68'

Tackle by Lovro Majer for AEK Atenas.

🚩 Corner

67'

Corner for Manchester City.

🎯 Shot On Target

65'

Phil Foden has a shot on target for Manchester City.

🥅 Shot

65'

Phil Foden takes a shot for Manchester City.

⚽ Goal

65'

Goal for Manchester City!

🚩 Corner

63'

Corner for Manchester City.

⚠️ Foul

62'

Foul by Joao Mario for AEK Atenas.

🟨 Yellow Card

59'

Yellow card for Josko Gvardiol of Manchester City.

⚠️ Foul

59'

Foul by Josko Gvardiol for Manchester City.

⚠️ Foul

58'

Foul by Ruben Dias for Manchester City.

🎯 Shot On Target

57'

Rayan Cherki has a shot on target for Manchester City.

🥅 Shot

57'

Rayan Cherki takes a shot for Manchester City.

⚽ Goal

57'

Goal for Manchester City! Scored by Rayan Cherki.

🛡️ Tackle

55'

Tackle by Andrade Allan for Manchester City.

↩️ Throw In

55'

Throw in for AEK Atenas.

🧤 Goal Kick

54'

Goal kick for AEK Atenas.

🥅 Shot

54'

Rayan Cherki takes a shot for Manchester City.

🥅 Shot

54'

Phil Foden takes a shot for Manchester City.

🎯 Shot On Target

52'

Stavros Pilios has a shot on target for AEK Atenas.

🥅 Shot

52'

Stavros Pilios takes a shot for AEK Atenas.

⚽ Goal

52'

Goal for AEK Atenas! Scored by Stavros Pilios.

⚠️ Foul

51'

Foul by Josko Gvardiol for Manchester City.

🧤 Goal Kick

50'

Goal kick for Manchester City.

🛡️ Tackle

49'

Tackle by Filipe Relvas for AEK Atenas.

🚩 Corner

48'

Corner for Manchester City.

🥅 Shot

48'

Enzo Fernandez takes a shot for Manchester City.

⚠️ Foul

47'

Foul by Joao Mario for AEK Atenas.

🛡️ Tackle

47'

Tackle by Ruben Dias for Manchester City.

↩️ Throw In

46'

Throw in for AEK Atenas.

▶️ Second Half Started

The second half has started.

⏸️ Half Time

Half time. Score: 2-0.

🚩 Offside

46'

Lazaros Rota is caught offside for AEK Atenas.

⚠️ Foul

45'

Foul by Lovro Majer for AEK Atenas.

⚠️ Foul

45'

Foul by Andrade Allan for Manchester City.

↩️ Throw In

44'

Throw in for Manchester City.

↩️ Throw In

44'

Throw in for AEK Atenas.

🧤 Goal Kick

44'

Goal kick for AEK Atenas.

⚠️ Foul

43'

Foul by Joao Mario for AEK Atenas.

🚩 Corner

41'

Corner for Manchester City.

🛡️ Tackle

41'

Tackle by Harold Moukoudi for AEK Atenas.

🛡️ Tackle

41'

Tackle by Harold Moukoudi for AEK Atenas.

⚠️ Foul

40'

Foul by Joao Mario for AEK Atenas.

↩️ Throw In

39'

Throw in for Manchester City.

🛡️ Tackle

39'

Tackle by Stavros Pilios for AEK Atenas.

🎯 Shot On Target

38'

Andrade Allan has a shot on target for Manchester City.

🥅 Shot

38'

Andrade Allan takes a shot for Manchester City.

🎯 Shot On Target

38'

Rayan Cherki has a shot on target for Manchester City.

🥅 Shot

38'

Rayan Cherki takes a shot for Manchester City.

🚩 Corner

38'

Corner for Manchester City.

↩️ Throw In

36'

Throw in for Manchester City.

🎯 Shot On Target

34'

Phil Foden has a shot on target for Manchester City.

🥅 Shot

34'

Phil Foden takes a shot for Manchester City.

⚽ Goal

34'

Goal for Manchester City! Scored by Phil Foden.

🛡️ Tackle

33'

Tackle by Kervin Arriaga for AEK Atenas.

🛡️ Tackle

32'

Tackle by Kervin Arriaga for AEK Atenas.

↩️ Throw In

31'

Throw in for Manchester City.

🛡️ Tackle

31'

Tackle by Phil Foden for Manchester City.

🛡️ Tackle

31'

Tackle by Joao Mario for AEK Atenas.

🥅 Shot

30'

Elliot Anderson takes a shot for Manchester City.

🥅 Shot

30'

Ruben Dias takes a shot for Manchester City.

🥅 Shot

30'

Rayan Cherki takes a shot for Manchester City.

🚩 Corner

30'

Corner for Manchester City.

🛡️ Tackle

29'

Tackle by Joao Mario for AEK Atenas.

🛡️ Tackle

29'

Tackle by Razvan Marin for AEK Atenas.

🛡️ Tackle

29'

Tackle by Razvan Marin for AEK Atenas.

🛡️ Tackle

28'

Tackle by Kervin Arriaga for AEK Atenas.

↩️ Throw In

26'

Throw in for Manchester City.

↩️ Throw In

25'

Throw in for AEK Atenas.

🛡️ Tackle

25'

Tackle by Floyd Samba for Manchester City.

🛡️ Tackle

25'

Tackle by Lazaros Rota for AEK Atenas.

↩️ Throw In

25'

Throw in for AEK Atenas.

🛡️ Tackle

24'

Tackle by Ruben Dias for Manchester City.

🧤 Goal Kick

23'

Goal kick for AEK Atenas.

🥅 Shot

23'

Andrade Allan takes a shot for Manchester City.

🥅 Shot Off The Woodwork

23'

Andrade Allan hits the woodwork for Manchester City.

🥅 Shot

20'

Elliot Anderson takes a shot for Manchester City.

🚩 Corner

20'

Corner for Manchester City.

🛡️ Tackle

19'

Tackle by Lazaros Rota for AEK Atenas.

🛡️ Tackle

19'

Tackle by Lovro Majer for AEK Atenas.

⚠️ Foul

18'

Foul by Ruben Dias for Manchester City.

↩️ Throw In

15'

Throw in for Manchester City.

↩️ Throw In

14'

Throw in for AEK Atenas.

↩️ Throw In

14'

Throw in for Manchester City.

🎯 Shot On Target

12'

Elliot Anderson has a shot on target for Manchester City.

🥅 Shot

12'

Elliot Anderson takes a shot for Manchester City.

🥅 Shot

12'

Enzo Fernandez takes a shot for Manchester City.

🥅 Shot Off The Woodwork

12'

Enzo Fernandez hits the woodwork for Manchester City.

⚽ Goal

12'

Goal for Manchester City!

⚠️ Foul

11'

Foul by Harold Moukoudi for AEK Atenas.

🛡️ Tackle

Tackle by Phil Foden for Manchester City.

🚩 Corner

Corner for Manchester City.

🛡️ Tackle

Tackle by Josko Gvardiol for Manchester City.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Manchester City.

🧤 Goal Kick

Goal kick for Manchester City.

🥅 Shot

Kervin Arriaga takes a shot for AEK Atenas.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for AEK Atenas.

🛡️ Tackle

Tackle by Kervin Arriaga for AEK Atenas.

🛡️ Tackle

Tackle by Razvan Marin for AEK Atenas.

🥅 Shot

Razvan Marin takes a shot for AEK Atenas.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for AEK Atenas.

🛡️ Tackle

Tackle by Enzo Fernandez for Manchester City.

🟢 Match Started

Manchester City vs AEK Atenas has started.

AltBetsAI

+0u

TIP

Under 3.5

Analysis

Odds

2.20

Units

1.7

Outcome

PENDING

Returns

+2.04u

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