ENDED: Mirassol SP vs Flamengo RJ

Brazil · Brasileirão - Série A

4 hours ago ENDED

Venue Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia · Mirassol, São Paulo

Ref R. Klein

Round Regular Season - 23

Mirassol SP

1 · 5

ENDED

Flamengo RJ

Possession

45%–55%

Cards

🟥 0 🟨 3

Shots

On target

Corners

Recap Read full match recap

1 expert tip on this match

AltBetsAI (1.87x)

Tips for this match 1

AltBetsAI

TIP

Under 2.5

Analysis

Simulation projects Under 2.5 at 67.7% vs market-implied 53.48% (1.87 odds), yielding 14.2 percentage points edge.

Mirassol home defense concedes 0.7 goals per game on average with 30% clean sheet rate.

Flamengo away attack averages 1.4 goals scored with only 30% Over 2.5 rate in away games.

Simulation expected goals: home 1.228, away 0.771, totaling 1.999—well below 2.5 threshold.

RISK FACTORS
- Mirassol home form shows 70% BTTS and 40% Over 2.5, indicating higher-scoring tendencies when both teams score.
- Prior H2H meeting ended 3-3 draw with Over 2.5 and BTTS both hit, though sample size is just one game.
- Flamengo away form includes W4-0 vs Chapecoense (2026-07-23), demonstrating occasional explosive attacking capability.

Odds

1.87

Units

0.7

Outcome

PENDING

Returns

+0.61u

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Match timeline

⏱️ Normal Time Ended

Normal time ended. Score: 1-5.

🚩 Offside

91'

Samuel Lino is caught offside for Flamengo RJ.

🛡️ Tackle

90'

Tackle by Gustavo Evertton for Flamengo RJ.

↩️ Throw In

90'

Throw in for Flamengo RJ.

🧤 Goal Kick

89'

Goal kick for Flamengo RJ.

🥅 Shot

89'

Wellington Japa takes a shot for Mirassol SP.

⚠️ Foul

85'

Foul by Neto Moura for Mirassol SP.

🟨 Yellow Card

Yellow Card

85'

Yellow card for Neto Moura of Mirassol.

⚠️ Foul

83'

Foul by Danilo for Flamengo RJ.

🛡️ Tackle

83'

Tackle by Giorgian De Arrascaeta for Flamengo RJ.

🧤 Goal Kick

83'

Goal kick for Flamengo RJ.

🥅 Shot

81'

Wellington Japa takes a shot for Mirassol SP.

🛡️ Tackle

80'

Tackle by Samuel Lino for Flamengo RJ.

🚩 Offside

80'

Samuel Lino is caught offside for Flamengo RJ.

🥅 Shot

78'

Wellington Japa takes a shot for Mirassol SP.

↩️ Throw In

78'

Throw in for Mirassol SP.

🚩 Corner

78'

Corner for Mirassol SP.

🎯 Shot On Target

77'

João Carroll Santana Victor has a shot on target for Mirassol SP.

⚽ Goal

Normal Goal

77'

Goal for Mirassol! Scored by Joao Victor.

🥅 Shot

77'

Gustavo Silva Mosquito takes a shot for Mirassol SP.

🚩 Corner

77'

Corner for Mirassol SP.

↩️ Throw In

76'

Throw in for Mirassol SP.

🛡️ Tackle

76'

Tackle by Samuel Lino for Flamengo RJ.

🎯 Shot On Target

74'

Samuel Lino has a shot on target for Flamengo RJ.

🥅 Shot

74'

Samuel Lino takes a shot for Flamengo RJ.

⚽ Goal

Normal Goal

74'

Goal for Flamengo! Scored by Samuel Lino.

⚠️ Foul

73'

Foul by Igor Formiga for Mirassol SP.

🧤 Goal Kick

72'

Goal kick for Flamengo RJ.

🥅 Shot

71'

Carlos Eduardo takes a shot for Mirassol SP.

🛡️ Tackle

71'

Tackle by Carlos Eduardo for Mirassol SP.

🧤 Goal Kick

70'

Goal kick for Flamengo RJ.

🥅 Shot

70'

Reinaldo takes a shot for Mirassol SP.

🧤 Goal Kick

69'

Goal kick for Flamengo RJ.

🎯 Shot On Target

66'

Pedro Guilherme has a shot on target for Flamengo RJ.

🥅 Shot

66'

Pedro Guilherme takes a shot for Flamengo RJ.

⚽ Goal

Normal Goal

66'

Goal for Flamengo! Scored by Pedro.

↩️ Throw In

66'

Throw in for Mirassol SP.

🛡️ Tackle

66'

Tackle by Neto Moura for Mirassol SP.

↩️ Throw In

65'

Throw in for Flamengo RJ.

🛡️ Tackle

65'

Tackle by Pedro Guilherme for Flamengo RJ.

↩️ Throw In

65'

Throw in for Flamengo RJ.

🛡️ Tackle

64'

Tackle by Lucas Paquetá for Flamengo RJ.

🛡️ Tackle

64'

Tackle by Danilo for Flamengo RJ.

↩️ Throw In

64'

Throw in for Mirassol SP.

↩️ Throw In

63'

Throw in for Flamengo RJ.

↩️ Throw In

63'

Throw in for Flamengo RJ.

↩️ Throw In

63'

Throw in for Mirassol SP.

🛡️ Tackle

62'

Tackle by Wellington Japa for Mirassol SP.

🛡️ Tackle

62'

Tackle by Wellington Japa for Mirassol SP.

🛡️ Tackle

61'

Tackle by Lucas Paquetá for Flamengo RJ.

🚩 Corner

61'

Corner for Mirassol SP.

🥅 Shot

60'

Carlos Eduardo takes a shot for Mirassol SP.

↩️ Throw In

60'

Throw in for Mirassol SP.

🚩 Corner

60'

Corner for Mirassol SP.

🛡️ Tackle

60'

Tackle by Lucas Paquetá for Flamengo RJ.

🧤 Goal Kick

60'

Goal kick for Flamengo RJ.

🥅 Shot

59'

Bruno de Oliveira Santos takes a shot for Mirassol SP.

🎯 Shot On Target

58'

Carlos Eduardo has a shot on target for Mirassol SP.

🥅 Shot

58'

Carlos Eduardo takes a shot for Mirassol SP.

🛡️ Tackle

58'

Tackle by Reinaldo for Mirassol SP.

🛡️ Tackle

58'

Tackle by Alesson for Mirassol SP.

🎯 Shot On Target

56'

Pedro Guilherme has a shot on target for Flamengo RJ.

🥅 Shot

56'

Pedro Guilherme takes a shot for Flamengo RJ.

⚽ Goal

Normal Goal

56'

Goal for Flamengo! Scored by Pedro.

🛡️ Tackle

55'

Tackle by Gonzalo Plata for Flamengo RJ.

🎯 Shot On Target

53'

Luiz Araújo has a shot on target for Flamengo RJ.

🥅 Shot

53'

Luiz Araújo takes a shot for Flamengo RJ.

⚽ Goal

Normal Goal

53'

Goal for Flamengo!

🟨 Yellow Card

Yellow Card

51'

Yellow card for G. Cazonatti of Mirassol.

🚩 Offside

50'

João Carroll Santana Victor is caught offside for Mirassol SP.

↩️ Throw In

49'

Throw in for Mirassol SP.

⚠️ Foul

49'

Foul by Luiz Araújo for Flamengo RJ.

🥅 Shot

48'

Luiz Araújo takes a shot for Flamengo RJ.

↩️ Throw In

48'

Throw in for Flamengo RJ.

🧤 Goal Kick

48'

Goal kick for Mirassol SP.

🥅 Shot

48'

Lucas Paquetá takes a shot for Flamengo RJ.

↩️ Throw In

47'

Throw in for Flamengo RJ.

🛡️ Tackle

47'

Tackle by Estefani Willian Machado for Mirassol SP.

↩️ Throw In

47'

Throw in for Mirassol SP.

🛡️ Tackle

46'

Tackle by Ayrton Lucas for Flamengo RJ.

↩️ Throw In

46'

Throw in for Mirassol SP.

⏸️ Half Time

Half time. Score: 0-1.

🎯 Shot On Target

48'

Estefani Willian Machado has a shot on target for Mirassol SP.

🥅 Shot

48'

Estefani Willian Machado takes a shot for Mirassol SP.

⚠️ Foul

48'

Foul by Alves Borges Denilson for Mirassol SP.

🟨 Yellow Card

Yellow Card

48'

Yellow card for Denilson of Mirassol.

🚩 Corner

48'

Corner for Mirassol SP.

↩️ Throw In

47'

Throw in for Mirassol SP.

↩️ Throw In

46'

Throw in for Mirassol SP.

🥅 Shot

46'

Lucas Paquetá takes a shot for Flamengo RJ.

🛡️ Tackle

46'

Tackle by Igor Formiga for Mirassol SP.

↩️ Throw In

44'

Throw in for Mirassol SP.

🛡️ Tackle

44'

Tackle by Léo Pereira for Flamengo RJ.

⚠️ Foul

43'

Foul by Lucas Paquetá for Flamengo RJ.

⚠️ Foul

42'

Foul by Bruno de Oliveira Santos for Mirassol SP.

↩️ Throw In

41'

Throw in for Flamengo RJ.

↩️ Throw In

40'

Throw in for Flamengo RJ.

↩️ Throw In

40'

Throw in for Mirassol SP.

🎯 Shot On Target

39'

Bruno de Oliveira Santos has a shot on target for Mirassol SP.

🥅 Shot

39'

Bruno de Oliveira Santos takes a shot for Mirassol SP.

⚠️ Foul

38'

Foul by Jose Fernandinho for Mirassol SP.

⚠️ Foul

38'

Foul by Jose Fernandinho for Mirassol SP.

🛡️ Tackle

38'

Tackle by Luiz Araújo for Flamengo RJ.

🛡️ Tackle

37'

Tackle by Ayrton Lucas for Flamengo RJ.

🎯 Shot On Target

37'

Pedro Guilherme has a shot on target for Flamengo RJ.

🥅 Shot

37'

Pedro Guilherme takes a shot for Flamengo RJ.

🧤 Goal Kick

36'

Goal kick for Mirassol SP.

🛡️ Tackle

36'

Tackle by Jose Fernandinho for Mirassol SP.

🚩 Corner

36'

Corner for Flamengo RJ.

🛡️ Tackle

35'

Tackle by Jorge Carrascal for Flamengo RJ.

⚠️ Foul

35'

Foul by Estefani Willian Machado for Mirassol SP.

🧤 Goal Kick

34'

Goal kick for Mirassol SP.

🎯 Shot On Target

31'

Jorge Carrascal has a shot on target for Flamengo RJ.

🥅 Shot

31'

Jorge Carrascal takes a shot for Flamengo RJ.

⚠️ Foul

30'

Foul by Igor Formiga for Mirassol SP.

🚩 Offside

29'

Alesson is caught offside for Mirassol SP.

🚩 Offside

29'

Alesson is caught offside for Mirassol SP.

↩️ Throw In

28'

Throw in for Flamengo RJ.

↩️ Throw In

28'

Throw in for Mirassol SP.

🛡️ Tackle

28'

Tackle by Gonzalo Plata for Flamengo RJ.

🚩 Offside

27'

Jose Fernandinho is caught offside for Mirassol SP.

⚠️ Foul

27'

Foul by Luiz Araújo for Flamengo RJ.

↩️ Throw In

27'

Throw in for Mirassol SP.

🛡️ Tackle

26'

Tackle by Lucas Paquetá for Flamengo RJ.

🧤 Goal Kick

25'

Goal kick for Flamengo RJ.

🥅 Shot

25'

Luiz Wallisson takes a shot for Mirassol SP.

🎯 Shot On Target

22'

Jorge Carrascal has a shot on target for Flamengo RJ.

🥅 Shot

22'

Jorge Carrascal takes a shot for Flamengo RJ.

⚽ Goal

Normal Goal

22'

Goal for Flamengo! Scored by J. Carrascal. Assist: G. Plata.

Assist G. Plata

⚠️ Foul

22'

Foul by Alves Borges Denilson for Mirassol SP.

⚠️ Foul

22'

Foul by Estefani Willian Machado for Mirassol SP.

↩️ Throw In

21'

Throw in for Mirassol SP.

🚩 Corner

20'

Corner for Flamengo RJ.

🥅 Shot

16'

Ayrton Lucas takes a shot for Flamengo RJ.

🚩 Corner

16'

Corner for Flamengo RJ.

🛡️ Tackle

15'

Tackle by Ayrton Lucas for Flamengo RJ.

🛡️ Tackle

15'

Tackle by Gustavo Cazonatti for Mirassol SP.

🛡️ Tackle

15'

Tackle by Jorge Carrascal for Flamengo RJ.

🧤 Goal Kick

15'

Goal kick for Flamengo RJ.

🥅 Shot

14'

Jose Fernandinho takes a shot for Mirassol SP.

🛡️ Tackle

13'

Tackle by Reinaldo for Mirassol SP.

🛡️ Tackle

13'

Tackle by Gonzalo Plata for Flamengo RJ.

⚠️ Foul

13'

Foul by Alves Borges Denilson for Mirassol SP.

↩️ Throw In

13'

Throw in for Mirassol SP.

↩️ Throw In

12'

Throw in for Mirassol SP.

🛡️ Tackle

12'

Tackle by Gonzalo Plata for Flamengo RJ.

↩️ Throw In

12'

Throw in for Mirassol SP.

🛡️ Tackle

12'

Tackle by Léo Pereira for Flamengo RJ.

🛡️ Tackle

12'

Tackle by Lucas Paquetá for Flamengo RJ.

↩️ Throw In

12'

Throw in for Mirassol SP.

↩️ Throw In

11'

Throw in for Mirassol SP.

↩️ Throw In

10'

Throw in for Flamengo RJ.

↩️ Throw In

10'

Throw in for Flamengo RJ.

🥅 Shot

Pedro Guilherme takes a shot for Flamengo RJ.

🛡️ Tackle

Tackle by Gonzalo Plata for Flamengo RJ.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Flamengo RJ.

🥅 Shot

Shot for Mirassol SP.

🛡️ Tackle

Tackle by Erick Pulgar for Flamengo RJ.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Mirassol SP.

🛡️ Tackle

Tackle by Ayrton Lucas for Flamengo RJ.

🛡️ Tackle

Tackle by Luiz Wallisson for Mirassol SP.

🎯 Shot On Target

Bruno de Oliveira Santos has a shot on target for Mirassol SP.

🥅 Shot

Bruno de Oliveira Santos takes a shot for Mirassol SP.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Mirassol SP.

⚠️ Foul

Foul by Alves Borges Denilson for Mirassol SP.

🧤 Goal Kick

Goal kick for Flamengo RJ.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Mirassol SP.

🛡️ Tackle

Tackle by Luiz Araújo for Flamengo RJ.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Mirassol SP.

🚩 Corner

Corner for Mirassol SP.

🧤 Goal Kick

Goal kick for Mirassol SP.

🥅 Shot

Gonzalo Plata takes a shot for Flamengo RJ.

🎯 Shot On Target

Jorge Carrascal has a shot on target for Flamengo RJ.

🥅 Shot

Jorge Carrascal takes a shot for Flamengo RJ.

⚠️ Foul

Foul by Jose Fernandinho for Mirassol SP.

🟢 Match Started

Mirassol SP vs Flamengo RJ has started.

Mirassol

Guanaes Rafael

4-2-3-1

22 22 Walter

6 6 Reinaldo

3 3 Machado

34 34 Victor

32 32 Formiga

80 80 Luiz

55 55 Cazonatti

17 17 Fernandinho

8 8 Denilson

30 30 Santos

95 95 Carioca

Flamengo

Leonardo Jardim

4-2-3-1

1 1 Rossi

6 6 Lucas

4 4 Pereira

13 13 Danilo

2 2 Varela

20 20 Paquetá

5 5 Pulgar

19 19 Plata

15 15 Carrascal

7 7 Araújo

9 9 Guilherme

Home

Mirassol

4-2-3-1

Coach Guanaes Rafael

Starting XI

22 Walter G
32 Igor Formiga D
34 João Victor D
3 Willian Machado D
6 Reinaldo D
55 Gustavo Cazonatti M
80 Wallisson Luiz M
30 Bruno Santos M
8 Denilson M
17 Fernandinho M
95 Edson Carioca F

Substitutes

23 Alex Muralha
44 Gabriel Knesowitsch
18 Elias
2 Lucas Oliveira
12 Victor Luis
25 Neto Moura
5 Japa
33 Eduardo
19 Gustavo Silva
10 Chico
77 Alesson
9 André Luis

Away

Flamengo

4-2-3-1

Coach Leonardo Jardim

Starting XI

1 Agustín Rossi G
2 Guillermo Varela D
13 Danilo D
4 Léo Pereira D
6 Ayrton Lucas D
5 Erick Pulgar M
20 Lucas Paquetá M
7 Luiz Araújo M
15 Jorge Carrascal M
19 Gonzalo Plata M
9 Pedro Guilherme F

Substitutes

49 Dyogo Alves
42 Andrew
77 Johnny Goes
22 Emerson Royal
3 Léo Ortiz
99 Lorran
52 Evertton Araujo
8 Saúl Ñíguez
21 Jorginho
10 Giorgian de Arrascaeta
16 Samuel Lino
64 Wallace Yan

Mirassol

Player	Min	G	A	Rating
Walter	–	–	–	–
Igor Formiga	–	–	–	–
João Victor	–	1	–	–
Willian Machado	–	–	–	–
Reinaldo	–	–	1	–
Denilson 🟨	–	–	–	–
Wallisson Luiz	–	–	–	–
Gustavo Cazonatti 🟨	–	–	–	–
Edson Carioca	–	–	–	–
Bruno Santos	–	–	–	–
Fernandinho	–	–	–	–
Alesson	–	–	–	–
Eduardo	–	–	–	–
Neto Moura	–	–	–	–
Japa	–	–	–	–
Gustavo Silva	–	–	–	–
Alex Muralha	–	–	–	–
Gabriel Knesowitsch	–	–	–	–
Elias	–	–	–	–
Lucas Oliveira	–	–	–	–
Victor Luis	–	–	–	–
Chico	–	–	–	–
André Luis	–	–	–	–

Flamengo

Player	Min	G	A	Rating
Agustín Rossi	–	–	–	–
Guillermo Varela	–	–	–	–
Danilo	–	–	–	–
Léo Pereira	–	–	–	–
Ayrton Lucas	–	–	1	–
Erick Pulgar	–	–	–	–
Lucas Paquetá	–	–	–	–
Luiz Araújo	–	1	–	–
Jorge Carrascal	–	1	2	–
Gonzalo Plata	–	–	1	–
Pedro Guilherme	–	2	–	–
Evertton Araujo	–	–	–	–
Jorginho	–	–	–	–
Samuel Lino	–	1	–	–
Johnny Goes	–	–	–	–
Giorgian de Arrascaeta	–	–	1	–
Dyogo Alves	–	–	–	–
Andrew	–	–	–	–
Emerson Royal	–	–	–	–
Léo Ortiz	–	–	–	–
Lorran	–	–	–	–
Saúl Ñíguez	–	–	–	–
Wallace Yan	–	–	–	–

Standings Serie A

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Palmeiras LDWLW	23	21	48
2	Flamengo WDDWW	21	21	42
3	Atletico Paranaense DWDWW	23	11	41
4	Fluminense WDDDD	23	6	38
5	Bahia DDDDD	23	4	34
6	Cruzeiro WWLWD	22	-1	33
7	RB Bragantino DLDDW	22	4	32
8	Corinthians WDDWW	22	4	32
9	Coritiba DWLDL	23	-2	31
10	Botafogo DWDWL	21	2	30
11	Atletico-MG DWDWL	21	0	29
12	Sao Paulo DLDLL	22	1	27
13	Vitoria LLLDW	22	-11	26
14	Gremio WDLLW	21	-3	25
15	Mirassol LWDWL	21	-6	23
16	Internacional DDLLL	22	-4	23
17	Santos LDLWL	21	-6	22