⚽ Goal — @OL_English. @OL_English 1-0 Auxerre (19'). We rated DC 12 at 82% pre-match. #LyonAuxerre https://t.co/nf9yDu8cdi
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France · Ligue 1
Olympique Lyonnais
3
·
1
ENDED
Auxerre
64%–36%
🟥 0 🟨 4
29
10
14
Tips for this match
1
AltBetsAI
-2.88u
Over 2.5
Analysis
Simulator projects 81.8% Over 2.5 versus market-implied 59.5% (1.68 odds), delivering 22.3 percentage point edge.
Lyon home: 80% Over 2.5 across 8 of 10 games with 2.3 average goals scored; Auxerre away: 60% Over 2.5 in 6 of 10 games.
Expected goals total 4.43 per simulation—Lyon 2.83, Auxerre 1.60—comfortably above the 2.5 threshold.
Both teams hit 70% Both Teams To Score in recent form, confirming multi-goal matches are standard.
Additional confluence: Combo Double chance : Lyon or draw and +1.5 goals
RISK FACTORS
- Auxerre may deploy defensive discipline despite injuries; recent away form shows 1.7 average goals conceded, which is solid.
- Lyon's last home match versus Le Havre ended 1-1, falling short of 2.5 and demonstrating occasional low-scoring outcomes at home.
Read more
Lyon home: 80% Over 2.5 across 8 of 10 games with 2.3 average goals scored; Auxerre away: 60% Over 2.5 in 6 of 10 games.
Expected goals total 4.43 per simulation—Lyon 2.83, Auxerre 1.60—comfortably above the 2.5 threshold.
Both teams hit 70% Both Teams To Score in recent form, confirming multi-goal matches are standard.
Additional confluence: Combo Double chance : Lyon or draw and +1.5 goals
RISK FACTORS
- Auxerre may deploy defensive discipline despite injuries; recent away form shows 1.7 average goals conceded, which is solid.
- Lyon's last home match versus Le Havre ended 1-1, falling short of 2.5 and demonstrating occasional low-scoring outcomes at home.
1.68
2.6
WIN
+1.77u
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🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Khalis Merah for Olympique Lyonnais.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Auxerre.
🚩 Corner
Corner for Auxerre.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Olympique Lyonnais.
🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Auxerre.
🥅 Shot
Tanner Tessmann takes a shot for Olympique Lyonnais.
🥅 Shot
Loïs Openda takes a shot for Olympique Lyonnais.
🎯 Shot On Target
Loïs Openda has a shot on target for Olympique Lyonnais.
🥅 Shot
Loïs Openda takes a shot for Olympique Lyonnais.
🎯 Shot On Target
Kaïl Boudache has a shot on target for Olympique Lyonnais.
🥅 Shot
Kaïl Boudache takes a shot for Olympique Lyonnais.
🥅 Shot
Kaïl Boudache takes a shot for Olympique Lyonnais.
🥅 Shot Off The Woodwork
Kaïl Boudache hits the woodwork for Olympique Lyonnais.
🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Olympique Lyonnais.
🥅 Shot
Danny Loader Namaso takes a shot for Auxerre.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Auxerre.
🥅 Shot
Loïs Openda takes a shot for Olympique Lyonnais.
🚩 Corner
Corner for Olympique Lyonnais.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Olympique Lyonnais.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Auxerre.
⚠️ Foul
Foul by Tanner Tessmann for Olympique Lyonnais.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Kaïl Boudache for Olympique Lyonnais.
🎯 Shot On Target
Shot on target for Auxerre.
🥅 Shot
Shot for Auxerre.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Tanner Tessmann for Olympique Lyonnais.
🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Olympique Lyonnais.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Khalis Merah for Olympique Lyonnais.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Khalis Merah for Olympique Lyonnais.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Khalis Merah for Olympique Lyonnais.
🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Olympique Lyonnais.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Pierre Ekwah for Auxerre.
🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow Card
Yellow card for Tyler Morton of Lyon.
🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Olympique Lyonnais.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Zachary Athekame for Olympique Lyonnais.
🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Olympique Lyonnais.
🥅 Shot
Cameron Archer takes a shot for Auxerre.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Auxerre.
🥅 Shot
Tyler Morton takes a shot for Olympique Lyonnais.
⚠️ Foul
Foul by Cameron Archer for Auxerre.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Kévin Danois for Auxerre.
⚠️ Foul
Foul by Loïs Openda for Olympique Lyonnais.
🎯 Shot On Target
Loïs Openda has a shot on target for Olympique Lyonnais.
🥅 Shot
Loïs Openda takes a shot for Olympique Lyonnais.
⚠️ Foul
Foul by Auxerre.
🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow Card
Yellow card for Rayan Mandengue of Auxerre.
🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Auxerre.
🥅 Shot
Mads Bidstrup takes a shot for Olympique Lyonnais.
⚠️ Foul
Foul by Remy Labeau Lascary for Auxerre.
⚠️ Foul
Foul by Ernest Nuamah for Olympique Lyonnais.
⚠️ Foul
Foul by Bacher Felix for Olympique Lyonnais.
🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow Card
Yellow card for Felix Bacher of Lyon.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Mads Bidstrup for Olympique Lyonnais.
🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Auxerre.
⚠️ Foul
Foul by Danny Loader Namaso for Auxerre.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Olympique Lyonnais.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Olympique Lyonnais.
🚩 Corner
Corner for Auxerre.
🎯 Shot On Target
Danny Loader Namaso has a shot on target for Auxerre.
🥅 Shot
Danny Loader Namaso takes a shot for Auxerre.
🚩 Corner
Corner for Auxerre.
⚠️ Foul
Foul by Corentin Tolisso for Olympique Lyonnais.
🎯 Shot On Target
Ernest Nuamah has a shot on target for Olympique Lyonnais.
🥅 Shot
Ernest Nuamah takes a shot for Olympique Lyonnais.
⚽ Goal
Normal Goal
Goal for Lyon! Scored by Ernest Nuamah.
🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Auxerre.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Olympique Lyonnais.
🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Auxerre.
⚠️ Foul
Foul by Kévin Danois for Auxerre.
🎯 Shot On Target
Clément Akpa has a shot on target for Auxerre.
⚠️ Foul
Foul by Kévin Danois for Auxerre.
🥅 Shot
Remy Labeau Lascary takes a shot for Auxerre.
🚩 Offside
Loïs Openda is caught offside for Olympique Lyonnais.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Danny Loader Namaso for Auxerre.
⚠️ Foul
Foul by Ernest Nuamah for Olympique Lyonnais.
▶️ Second Half Started
The second half has started.
⏸️ Half Time
Half time. Score: 2-1.
🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Olympique Lyonnais.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Corentin Tolisso for Olympique Lyonnais.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Auxerre.
🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Auxerre.
🥅 Shot Off The Woodwork
Loïs Openda hits the woodwork for Olympique Lyonnais.
🎯 Shot On Target
Loïs Openda has a shot on target for Olympique Lyonnais.
🥅 Shot
Loïs Openda takes a shot for Olympique Lyonnais.
🚩 Corner
Corner for Olympique Lyonnais.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Bacher Felix for Olympique Lyonnais.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Olympique Lyonnais.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Olympique Lyonnais.
⚠️ Foul
Foul by Clément Akpa for Auxerre.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Mads Bidstrup for Olympique Lyonnais.
⚠️ Foul
Foul by Ernest Nuamah for Olympique Lyonnais.
⚠️ Foul
Foul by Tyler Morton for Olympique Lyonnais.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Auxerre.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Mads Bidstrup for Olympique Lyonnais.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Olympique Lyonnais.
🎯 Shot On Target
Cameron Archer has a shot on target for Auxerre.
🥅 Shot
Cameron Archer takes a shot for Auxerre.
⚽ Goal
Normal Goal
Goal for Auxerre! Scored by Cameron Archer.
⚠️ Foul
Foul by Pavel Sulc for Olympique Lyonnais.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Olympique Lyonnais.
🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Auxerre.
🥅 Shot
Mads Bidstrup takes a shot for Olympique Lyonnais.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Mads Bidstrup for Olympique Lyonnais.
🚩 Corner
Corner for Auxerre.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Zachary Athekame for Olympique Lyonnais.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Olympique Lyonnais.
🚩 Corner
Corner for Olympique Lyonnais.
🎯 Shot On Target
Corentin Tolisso has a shot on target for Olympique Lyonnais.
🥅 Shot
Corentin Tolisso takes a shot for Olympique Lyonnais.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Olympique Lyonnais.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Olympique Lyonnais.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Olympique Lyonnais.
🚩 Corner
Corner for Olympique Lyonnais.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Auxerre.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Clément Akpa for Auxerre.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Olympique Lyonnais.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Tyler Morton for Olympique Lyonnais.
🥅 Shot
Ernest Nuamah takes a shot for Olympique Lyonnais.
🎯 Shot On Target
Zachary Athekame has a shot on target for Olympique Lyonnais.
🥅 Shot
Zachary Athekame takes a shot for Olympique Lyonnais.
⚽ Goal
Normal Goal
Goal for Lyon! Scored by Zachary Athekame. Assist: Loïs Openda.
Assist
Loïs Openda
🎯 Shot On Target
Bacher Felix has a shot on target for Olympique Lyonnais.
🥅 Shot
Bacher Felix takes a shot for Olympique Lyonnais.
⚽ Goal
Normal Goal
Goal for Lyon! Scored by Felix Bacher. Assist: Ernest Nuamah.
Assist
Ernest Nuamah
🚩 Corner
Corner for Olympique Lyonnais.
🚩 Corner
Corner for Olympique Lyonnais.
🎯 Shot On Target
Cameron Archer has a shot on target for Auxerre.
🥅 Shot
Cameron Archer takes a shot for Auxerre.
⚽ Goal
Normal Goal
Goal for Auxerre! Scored by Cameron Archer.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Zachary Athekame for Olympique Lyonnais.
🎯 Shot On Target
Loïs Openda has a shot on target for Olympique Lyonnais.
🥅 Shot
Loïs Openda takes a shot for Olympique Lyonnais.
⚽ Goal
Normal Goal
Goal for Lyon! Scored by Loïs Openda. Assist: Ernest Nuamah.
Assist
Ernest Nuamah
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Auxerre.
🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Auxerre.
🥅 Shot
Loïs Openda takes a shot for Olympique Lyonnais.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Ernest Nuamah for Olympique Lyonnais.
🚩 Corner
Corner for Auxerre.
🥅 Shot
Remy Labeau Lascary takes a shot for Auxerre.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Olympique Lyonnais.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Auxerre.
🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Auxerre.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Mads Bidstrup for Olympique Lyonnais.
🥅 Shot
Loïs Openda takes a shot for Olympique Lyonnais.
🥅 Shot
Ernest Nuamah takes a shot for Olympique Lyonnais.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Zachary Athekame for Olympique Lyonnais.
🚩 Corner
Corner for Olympique Lyonnais.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Clément Akpa for Auxerre.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Olympique Lyonnais.
🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Auxerre.
🥅 Shot
Loïs Openda takes a shot for Olympique Lyonnais.
🚩 Corner
Corner for Olympique Lyonnais.
🚩 Corner
Corner for Olympique Lyonnais.
⚠️ Foul
Foul by Pavel Sulc for Olympique Lyonnais.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Auxerre.
🟢 Match Started
Olympique Lyonnais vs Auxerre has started.
Olympique Lyonnais
Team stats
Auxerre
Possession %
Total shots
Shots on target
Shots off target
Blocked shots
Shots inside box
Shots outside box
Corners
Fouls
Offsides
Yellow cards
Red cards
Saves
Passes
Accurate passes
Pass accuracy %
xG
Goals prevented
Tackles
Throw-ins
Penalties
Lyon
Paulo Fonseca
1
1
Greif
16
16
Abner
19
19
Niakhaté
20
20
Bacher
13
13
Athekame
23
23
Morton
2
2
Bidstrup
10
10
Šulc
8
8
Tolisso
7
7
Nuamah
17
17
Openda
Auxerre
W. Still
23
23
Diop
92
92
Akpa
15
15
Makosso
35
35
Legros
27
27
Sy
5
5
Danois
46
46
Piedfort
8
8
Ahamada
3
3
Lascary
9
9
Archer
10
10
Namaso
Home
Lyon
Coach Paulo Fonseca
Starting XI
-
1
D. Greif
G
-
13
Z. Athekame
D
-
20
F. Bacher
D
-
19
M. Niakhaté
D
-
16
Abner
D
-
2
M. Bidstrup
M
-
23
T. Morton
M
-
7
E. Nuamah
M
-
8
C. Tolisso
M
-
10
P. Šulc
M
-
17
L. Openda
F
Substitutes
-
3
N. Tagliafico
-
6
T. Tessmann
-
26
K. Boudache
-
40
R. Descamps
-
45
R. Himbert
-
21
R. Kluivert
-
22
Clinton Mata
-
18
K. Merah
-
99
N. Nartey
Away
Auxerre
Coach W. Still
Starting XI
-
23
M. Diop
G
-
27
L. Sy
D
-
35
E. Legros
D
-
15
C. Makosso
D
-
92
C. Akpa
D
-
8
N. Ahamada
M
-
46
A. Piedfort
M
-
5
K. Danois
M
-
10
D. Namaso
F
-
9
C. Archer
F
-
3
R. Labeau Lascary
F
Substitutes
-
36
T. Devernois
-
20
S. Diomandé
-
34
L. Dioubate
-
17
P. Ekwah
-
21
R. Faivre
-
32
R. Mandengue
-
1
P. Nardi
-
77
Aristide Zossou
-
7
J. Casimir
Lyon
| Player | Min | G | A | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Abner
|
– | – | – | – |
|
D. Greif
|
– | – | – | – |
|
T. Tessmann
|
– | – | – | – |
|
N. Tagliafico
|
– | – | – | – |
|
N. Nartey
|
– | – | – | – |
|
K. Merah
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Clinton Mata
|
– | – | – | – |
|
R. Kluivert
|
– | – | – | – |
|
R. Himbert
|
– | – | – | – |
|
R. Descamps
|
– | – | – | – |
|
K. Boudache
|
– | – | – | – |
|
P. Šulc
|
– | – | 1 | – |
|
L. Openda
|
– | – | 1 | – |
|
E. Nuamah
|
– | 1 | 1 | – |
|
M. Niakhaté
|
– | – | – | – |
|
T. Morton
🟨
|
– | – | – | – |
|
M. Bidstrup
|
– | – | – | – |
|
F. Bacher
🟨
|
– | 1 | – | – |
|
Z. Athekame
|
– | 1 | – | – |
|
C. Tolisso
|
– | – | – | – |
Auxerre
| Player | Min | G | A | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
L. Sy
|
– | – | – | – |
|
J. Casimir
|
– | – | – | – |
|
T. Devernois
|
– | – | – | – |
|
S. Diomandé
|
– | – | – | – |
|
L. Dioubate
|
– | – | – | – |
|
P. Ekwah
|
– | – | – | – |
|
R. Faivre
|
– | – | – | – |
|
R. Mandengue
🟨
|
– | – | – | – |
|
P. Nardi
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Aristide Zossou
|
– | – | – | – |
|
A. Piedfort
🟨
|
– | – | – | – |
|
D. Namaso
|
– | – | – | – |
|
C. Makosso
|
– | – | – | – |
|
E. Legros
|
– | – | – | – |
|
R. Labeau Lascary
|
– | – | – | – |
|
K. Danois
|
– | – | – | – |
|
C. Archer
|
– | 1 | – | – |
|
C. Akpa
|
– | – | – | – |
|
N. Ahamada
|
– | – | – | – |
|
M. Diop
|
– | – | – | – |
Standings
Ligue 1
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Monaco WW | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Paris FC WD | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Lyon DW | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Rennes WD | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Estac Troyes WD | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Lens LW | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Marseille LW | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Angers WL | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Strasbourg WL | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 11 | Stade Brestois 29 DD | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Paris Saint Germain DD | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Le Mans LD | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Lorient LD | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Le Havre DL | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Toulouse LDL | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 17 | Nice LD | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | Auxerre LL | 2 | -5 | 0 |
Head to head
- 2026-04-25 Lyon 3–2 Auxerre Ligue 1
- 2025-11-23 Auxerre 0–0 Lyon Ligue 1
- 2025-04-13 Auxerre 1–3 Lyon Ligue 1
- 2024-10-27 Lyon 2–2 Auxerre Ligue 1
- 2023-02-17 Auxerre 2–1 Lyon Ligue 1
- 2022-08-31 Lyon 2–1 Auxerre Ligue 1
- 2012-04-07 Lyon 2–1 Auxerre Ligue 1
- 2011-11-27 Auxerre 0–3 Lyon Ligue 1
- 2011-05-11 Auxerre 4–0 Lyon Ligue 1
- 2010-12-22 Lyon 1–1 Auxerre Ligue 1
Team news
Olympique Lyonnais
- J. Duranville — Muscle Injury
- J. Duranville — Muscle Injury
Auxerre
- A. Diousse — Knee Injury
- S. Fofana — Groin Injury
- B. Okoh — Knee Injury
- M. Senaya — Injury
- F. Sierralta — Injury
- A. Tuanzebe — Lacking Match Fitness
- F. Oppegard — Illness
- A. Diousse — Knee Injury
- S. Fofana — Groin Injury
- B. Okoh — Knee Injury
- M. Senaya — Injury
- F. Sierralta — Injury
- A. Tuanzebe — Lacking Match Fitness
- F. Oppegard — Illness
Snapshots
4 Sep 2026, 18:52 UTC · changes vs opening odds
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Public posts matching this fixture
10 posts
🚩 Live: Lyon 1-0 Auxerre ⚽️ Goal: Openda (18') 24/7 scores on Matchcorner. live
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🚨 TODAY'S CARD IS LIVE. 🚨 Full analysis is in the comments below. 👇 (Posted on discord last night, its free to join. Link in Bio) 🐋 5U WHALE PLAY 🇮🇹 Como 1907 ML (-120) ⭐ 4U BEST BET PARLAY (-120) ✅ Al Hilal SFC ML ✅ Genoa vs Como Under 3.5 ✅ Lyon vs Auxerre Over https://t.co/WBq88vVt0g
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⬇️ Tonight's matches only 🇫🇷 My LIGUE 1 picks LYON – AUXERRE Lyon ⭐️ Over 1.5 goals ⭐️ Striker to try: Openda or Tolisso Exact score to try: 2-0 or 2-1 PARIS SG – AS MONACO Paris SG ⭐️⭐️ Over 2.5 goals ⭐️ Striker to try: Doué or Kvarat Exact score to try: 2-1 or 3-1
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Someone just loaded up $37,000 on Olympique Lyonnais - Auxerre. @OL_English #Ligue1 https://t.co/S1DbCgVNQ1
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Quoted post
🔥 SOCCER SGP CHEAT SHEET ⚽️🔥 🇩🇪 Stuttgart vs FC Köln — 2:30 PM ET • Stuttgart — ML • Both Teams to Score — YES 🇮🇹 Genoa vs Como — 2:45 PM ET • Como — ML • Over 1.5 Goals 🏴 Ipswich Town vs Liverpool — 3:00 PM ET • Liverpool — ML • Over 2.5 Goals 🇫🇷 Lyon vs Auxerre https://t.co/fvMLRuLOvM https://t.co/MLHnsBRjgd
🔥 SOCCER SGP CHEAT SHEET ⚽️🔥 🇩🇪 Stuttgart vs FC Köln — 2:30 PM ET • Stuttgart — ML • Both Teams to Score — YES 🇮🇹 Genoa vs Como — 2:45 PM ET • Como — ML • Over 1.5 Goals 🏴 Ipswich Town vs Liverpool — 3:00 PM ET • Liverpool — ML • Over 2.5 Goals 🇫🇷 Lyon vs Auxerre https://t.co/jMPY3iPQld
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Today's top stats for points per game, corners and cards ⚽️ Lyon vs Auxerre are averaging 12.25 corners per game, while Shamrock Rovers vs Shelbourne in the League of Ireland and Ipswich vs Liverpool in the Premier League average 5 or more cards per game (with a small sample https://t.co/Ut82hnQPCd
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Quoted post
🔥 SOCCER SGP CHEAT SHEET ⚽️🔥 🇩🇪 Stuttgart vs FC Köln — 2:30 PM ET • Stuttgart — ML • Both Teams to Score — YES 🇮🇹 Genoa vs Como — 2:45 PM ET • Como — ML • Over 1.5 Goals 🏴 Ipswich Town vs Liverpool — 3:00 PM ET • Liverpool — ML • Over 2.5 Goals 🇫🇷 Lyon vs Auxerre https://t.co/jMPY3iPQld
🏈 Ben Burns 6-0 5% Run Eastern Michigan ML (5%) 🏈 Big Al Game of the Month Miami Florida -24
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Today’s Soccer Picks ⚽️ Play of the Day Lyon vs Auxerre BTTS (2U) 👑 Bonus +253 Parlay 🎰 Lyon vs Auxerre BTTS Real Betis vs Real Madrid O3.5 Leagues French Ligue 1 🇫🇷 Spain La Liga 🇪🇸 13-5 Soccer Run! Smacked our POTW yesterday!✅ https://t.co/ATbJPmWbtm
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⚽️ Lyon vs Auxerre 🇫🇷 Ligue 1 📊1.43 odds 🅱️w1 ✔️over 2.5( 1.656 odds)
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AltBetsAI
-2.88u
Over 2.5
Analysis
Simulator projects 81.8% Over 2.5 versus market-implied 59.5% (1.68 odds), delivering 22.3 percentage point edge.
Lyon home: 80% Over 2.5 across 8 of 10 games with 2.3 average goals scored; Auxerre away: 60% Over 2.5 in 6 of 10 games.
Expected goals total 4.43 per simulation—Lyon 2.83, Auxerre 1.60—comfortably above the 2.5 threshold.
Both teams hit 70% Both Teams To Score in recent form, confirming multi-goal matches are standard.
Additional confluence: Combo Double chance : Lyon or draw and +1.5 goals
RISK FACTORS
- Auxerre may deploy defensive discipline despite injuries; recent away form shows 1.7 average goals conceded, which is solid.
- Lyon's last home match versus Le Havre ended 1-1, falling short of 2.5 and demonstrating occasional low-scoring outcomes at home.
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Lyon home: 80% Over 2.5 across 8 of 10 games with 2.3 average goals scored; Auxerre away: 60% Over 2.5 in 6 of 10 games.
Expected goals total 4.43 per simulation—Lyon 2.83, Auxerre 1.60—comfortably above the 2.5 threshold.
Both teams hit 70% Both Teams To Score in recent form, confirming multi-goal matches are standard.
Additional confluence: Combo Double chance : Lyon or draw and +1.5 goals
RISK FACTORS
- Auxerre may deploy defensive discipline despite injuries; recent away form shows 1.7 average goals conceded, which is solid.
- Lyon's last home match versus Le Havre ended 1-1, falling short of 2.5 and demonstrating occasional low-scoring outcomes at home.
1.68
2.6
WIN
+1.77u
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