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Ecuador · Serie A
1 day ago ENDED
VenueEstadio 9 de Mayo · Machala RoundRegular Season - 22
Orense SC
2 · 3
ENDED
Independiente del Valle
57%–43%
🟥 0 🟨 7
29
11
15
Recap Read full match recap
1 expert tip on this match
AltBetsAI (1.63x)
Tips for this match 1
AltBetsAI
AltBetsAI
TIP
Independiente del Valle
Analysis
Simulation predicts 1-2 away win with 78% confidence

Bookmaker odds for Away Win at 1.63 imply 61.3% probability

Estimated win probability from simulation (78%) vs implied odds (61.3%) shows a +16.7% edge

Independiente del Valle's strong offensive and defensive form supports away victory

Tactical analysis indicates away team’s dominance in possession and goal threat

Data support: Simulated score 1-2; Expected away goals 2.1 vs home defense 4/10

Additional confluence: Winner : Independiente del Valle

RISK FACTORS
- Potential for home team to disrupt away rhythm with set-pieces
1.63
2.7
WIN
+1.70u

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Match timeline
🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow Card
92'

Yellow card for A. Herrera of Orense SC.

🚩 Corner
91'

Corner for Orense SC.

🚩 Corner
91'

Corner for Orense SC.

🚩 Corner
84'

Corner for Orense SC.

🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow Card
81'

Yellow card for J. Viacava of Independiente del Valle.

🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow Card
74'

Yellow card for P. Velasco of Orense SC.

🚩 Corner
66'

Corner for Orense SC.

📡 Live Update
65'

65 • Orense SC

⚽ Goal
Normal Goal
63'

Goal for Independiente del Valle! Scored by M. Perello.

⚽ Goal
Normal Goal
61'

Goal for Independiente del Valle! Scored by H. Quintana.

🚩 Corner
56'

Corner for Independiente del Valle.

🚩 Corner
55'

Corner for Orense SC.

⚽ Goal
Normal Goal
53'

Goal for Orense SC! Scored by M. Parrales.

🚩 Corner
51'

Corner for Orense SC.

🚩 Corner
51'

Corner for Independiente del Valle.

🚩 Corner
47'

Corner for Orense SC.

🚩 Corner
46'

Corner for Orense SC.

▶️ Second Half Started
0'

The second half has started.

⏸️ Half Time
0'

Half time. Score: 2-3.

🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow Card
47'

Yellow card for D. Guagua of Independiente del Valle.

🚩 Corner
44'

Corner for Orense SC.

🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow Card
43'

Yellow card for R. Jaramilo of Orense SC.

🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow Card
43'

Yellow card for R. Briones of Independiente del Valle.

🚩 Corner
36'

Corner for Orense SC.

⚽ Goal
30'

Goal for Orense SC!

🚩 Corner
18'

Corner for Independiente del Valle.

🚩 Corner
15'

Corner for Orense SC.

🚩 Corner
13'

Corner for Independiente del Valle.

🟢 Match Started
0'

Orense SC vs Independiente del Valle has started.

Orense SC Team stats Independiente del Valle
Possession %
57 43
Total shots
18 11
Shots on target
5 6
Shots off target
9 2
Blocked shots
4 3
Shots inside box
11 7
Shots outside box
7 4
Corners
11 4
Fouls
13 11
Offsides
0 0
Yellow cards
4 3
Red cards
0 0
Saves
3 3
Passes
404 301
Accurate passes
330 222
Pass accuracy %
82 74
xG
0 0
Goals prevented
0 0
Tackles
0 0
Throw-ins
0 0
Penalties
0 0
📋
Lineups not available yet

Confirmed lineups usually appear about an hour before kickoff.

Orense SC
Player Min G A Rating
Jordy Ortiz
Pedro Velasco 🟨
Alan Lorenzo
Steven Quiñónez
Beder Caicedo
Sergio Vásquez
1
Gonzalo Martin Rostagno
Renny Jaramillo 🟨
Agustin Herrera
Miguel Parrales 🟨
1
Michael Bermúdez
1
Erick Plúas
1
Ángel Mena
Erick Zambrano
Christian Ortíz
Rolando Silva
Stéfano Callegari
Bryan Quinonez
Gabriel Achilier
Eddie Hernandez
Sleyder Mairongo
Luis Garces
David Quintero
Independiente del Valle
Player Min G A Rating
Aldair Quintana
Jhon Espinoza
Richard Schunke
Juan Viacava 🟨
1
Gustavo Cortez
Jhegson Méndez
Matías Perello
1
Darwin Guagua 🟨
1
Ronald Briones 🟨
Emerson Pata
Juan Angulo
1
Mateo Carabajal
Arón Rodríguez
Hugo Quintana
1
Junior Sornoza
Edwin Quintero
Eduardo Bores
Layan Loor
Daykol Romero
Andy Velasco
Jordy Alcivar
Djorkaeff Reasco
Yandri Vasquez
Standings Liga Pro
# Team P GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle WWWWW 21 32 52
2 Universidad Catolica WWWLL 21 14 35
3 Aucas LWLWW 21 2 35
4 Barcelona SC LWDDW 21 7 34
5 Macara WLWWW 21 3 32
6 LDU de Quito DLLDL 21 3 29
7 Leones del Norte DWDWW 21 1 28
8 Deportivo Cuenca LLDLL 21 -7 28
9 Guayaquil City FC DWDWL 21 -4 27
10 Orense SC WLLDL 21 -4 26
11 Tecnico Universitario WLLLL 22 -4 26
12 Mushuc Runa SC DWLLW 21 -4 25
Head to head
  • 2026-04-04 Independiente del Valle 2–0 Orense SC Liga Pro
  • 2025-11-23 Independiente del Valle 0–0 Orense SC Liga Pro
  • 2025-10-17 Orense SC 1–2 Independiente del Valle Liga Pro
  • 2025-08-17 Independiente del Valle 2–1 Orense SC Liga Pro
  • 2025-04-27 Orense SC 1–2 Independiente del Valle Liga Pro
  • 2024-12-01 Orense SC 0–0 Independiente del Valle Liga Pro
  • 2024-06-02 Independiente del Valle 1–0 Orense SC Liga Pro
  • 2023-11-25 Independiente del Valle 2–2 Orense SC Liga Pro
  • 2023-06-11 Orense SC 0–2 Independiente del Valle Liga Pro
  • 2022-08-06 Orense SC 1–2 Independiente del Valle Liga Pro

No injury or absence data for this fixture.

Snapshots

26 Jul 2026, 22:40 UTC · changes vs opening odds

AltBetsAI
AltBetsAI
TIP
Independiente del Valle
Analysis
Simulation predicts 1-2 away win with 78% confidence

Bookmaker odds for Away Win at 1.63 imply 61.3% probability

Estimated win probability from simulation (78%) vs implied odds (61.3%) shows a +16.7% edge

Independiente del Valle's strong offensive and defensive form supports away victory

Tactical analysis indicates away team’s dominance in possession and goal threat

Data support: Simulated score 1-2; Expected away goals 2.1 vs home defense 4/10

Additional confluence: Winner : Independiente del Valle

RISK FACTORS
- Potential for home team to disrupt away rhythm with set-pieces
1.63
2.7
WIN
+1.70u

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