River Plate home form: 70% win rate, 2.2 points per game, 1.7 goals scored and 0.6 goals conceded across last 10 home games.
River Plate beat Bragantino 1-0 away on April 30, demonstrating head-to-head superiority in this Copa Sul-Americana group stage.
Bragantino away form: 30% win rate, 1.0 points per game, 6 losses in last 10 away matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored.
Simulator top scorelines are 2-0 (14.2%) and 1-0 (14.1%), both River Plate wins — combined 29% probability for clean sheet victory.
River Plate's home clean sheet rate is 50% versus Bragantino's 20% away clean sheet rate, reinforcing home defensive dominance.
CONTEXT
tacticalNotes:
- River Plate are a dominant home side in this Copa Sul-Americana Group H clash, posting a 70% home win rate with an elite 0.6 avg goals conceded per home game across their last 10.
- Bragantino arrive in poor away form (30% win rate, 6 losses in last 10 away, 1.0 ppg on the road) and already lost 0-1 to River Plate at home on April 30.
- The Dixon-Coles simulator assigns River Plate a 66% win probability against a market-implied 48.1%, representing a 17.9 pp edge — the clearest signal in this match.
- Low-scoring dynamics (River Plate BTTS only 30% at home, Bragantino scoring only 1.2 avg away) also support BTTS No at 58.8% simulated probability.
CONFIDENCE RATING: 8.5/10
Copa Sudamericana - Copa Sul-Americana
· 1 month ago
ENDED
River Plate
1·1
Bragantino SP
🚩 Corner
Corner for River Plate.
95`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Kendry Paez for River Plate.
94`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Pedro Ribeiro Henrique for Bragantino SP.
93`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Kendry Paez for River Plate.
93`⚽ Goal
Goal for River Plate! Scored by Lucas Martinez Quarta.
93`🎯 Shot On Target
Shot on target for River Plate.
92`🥅 Shot
Shot for River Plate.
92`🎯 Shot On Target
Fernando Quintero has a shot on target for River Plate.
92`🥅 Shot
Fernando Quintero takes a shot for River Plate.
92`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Agustín Santanna for Bragantino SP.
92`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Agustín Santanna for Bragantino SP.
92`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Ignacio Sosa for Bragantino SP.
92`🥅 Shot
Shot for River Plate.
91`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Bragantino SP.
91`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for River Plate.
91`🚩 Corner
Corner for Bragantino SP.
91`🥅 Shot
Ignacio Sosa takes a shot for Bragantino SP.
90`⚽ Goal
Goal for River Plate!
89`⚽ Goal
Goal for River Plate!
89`🥅 Shot
Fernando Quintero takes a shot for River Plate.
88`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by River Plate.
87`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Andrés Jose Hurtado for Bragantino SP.
87`🚩 Corner
Corner for Bragantino SP.
87`🎯 Shot On Target
Eduardo Sasha has a shot on target for Bragantino SP.
86`🥅 Shot
Eduardo Sasha takes a shot for Bragantino SP.
86`🥅 Shot
Juninho Capixaba takes a shot for Bragantino SP.
86`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for River Plate.
85`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Juninho Capixaba for Bragantino SP.
84`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for River Plate.
84`🚩 Offside
Maximiliano Salas is caught offside for River Plate.
83`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Bragantino SP.
82`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Paulo Díaz for River Plate.
81`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Bragantino SP.
79`🚩 Corner
Corner for Bragantino SP.
79`🥅 Shot
Pedro Ribeiro Henrique takes a shot for Bragantino SP.
78`🎯 Shot On Target
Jose Herrera has a shot on target for Bragantino SP.
78`🥅 Shot
Jose Herrera takes a shot for Bragantino SP.
78`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for River Plate.
76`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Bragantino SP.
76`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Bragantino SP.
76`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by German Pezzella for River Plate.
75`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Bragantino SP.
74`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by German Pezzella for River Plate.
74`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Bragantino SP.
74`🥅 Shot
Shot for River Plate.
74`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Bragantino SP.
73`⚠️ Foul
Foul by River Plate.
72`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Bragantino SP.
71`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Bragantino SP.
71`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Fernando Quintero for River Plate.
70`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Bragantino SP.
70`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Girotto Gabriel for Bragantino SP.
70`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Rodriguinho Huendra for Bragantino SP.
70`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Rodriguinho Huendra for Bragantino SP.
70`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by German Pezzella for River Plate.
69`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Girotto Gabriel for Bragantino SP.
69`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Rodriguinho Huendra for Bragantino SP.
69`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for River Plate.
69`🥅 Shot
Juninho Capixaba takes a shot for Bragantino SP.
67`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for River Plate.
66`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for River Plate.
66`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Bragantino SP.
66`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by German Pezzella for River Plate.
65`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Bragantino SP.
65`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for River Plate.
65`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Bragantino SP.
65`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Kevin Duvan Castano for River Plate.
63`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Ulises Giménez for River Plate.
63`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by River Plate.
62`🎯 Shot On Target
Fernando Quintero has a shot on target for River Plate.
62`🥅 Shot
Fernando Quintero takes a shot for River Plate.
62`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Girotto Gabriel for Bragantino SP.
62`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for River Plate.
61`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for River Plate.
60`🥅 Shot
Jose Herrera takes a shot for Bragantino SP.
60`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Isidro Pitta for Bragantino SP.
59`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Facundo Gonzalez for River Plate.
57`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Jose Herrera for Bragantino SP.
57`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for River Plate.
57`🥅 Shot
Shot for River Plate.
56`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Bragantino SP.
56`🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow card for River Plate.
56`🚩 Corner
Corner for River Plate.
56`🚩 Corner
Corner for River Plate.
56`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Girotto Gabriel for Bragantino SP.
54`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Girotto Gabriel for Bragantino SP.
54`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Kevin Duvan Castano for River Plate.
54`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for River Plate.
54`🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow card for Juninho Capixaba of Bragantino SP.
52`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Jose Herrera for Bragantino SP.
51`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Juninho Capixaba for Bragantino SP.
50`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for River Plate.
50`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Bragantino SP.
50`📡 Live Update
49 • Bragantino SP
49`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Pedro Ribeiro Henrique for Bragantino SP.
49`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Juninho Capixaba for Bragantino SP.
49`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Bragantino SP.
49`🚩 Corner
Corner for Bragantino SP.
49`🚩 Corner
Corner for Bragantino SP.
49`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for River Plate.
48`🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow card for Ulises Giménez of River Plate.
48`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Ulises Giménez for River Plate.
46`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Henry Mosquera for Bragantino SP.
46`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Bragantino SP.
46`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for River Plate.
46`🥅 Shot
Jose Herrera takes a shot for Bragantino SP.
45`▶️ Second Half Started
The second half has started.
0`⏸️ Half Time
Half time. Score: 0-1.
0`⏸️ Half Time
Half time. Score: 0-1.
0`⏸️ Half Time
Half time. Score: 0-1.
0`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Henry Mosquera for Bragantino SP.
48`🚩 Corner
Corner for River Plate.
48`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Kevin Duvan Castano for River Plate.
46`🥅 Shot
Kevin Duvan Castano takes a shot for River Plate.
46`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Maximiliano Meza for River Plate.
45`🥅 Shot
Isidro Pitta takes a shot for Bragantino SP.
44`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for River Plate.
44`🥅 Shot
Agustín Santanna takes a shot for Bragantino SP.
44`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Maximiliano Meza for River Plate.
43`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Bragantino SP.
42`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Paulo Díaz for River Plate.
42`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Lucas Henrique Barbosa for Bragantino SP.
40`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for River Plate.
40`🥅 Shot
Girotto Gabriel takes a shot for Bragantino SP.
39`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Bragantino SP.
39`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Agustín Santanna for Bragantino SP.
38`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Bragantino SP.
38`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Bragantino SP.
37`⚽ Goal
Goal for Bragantino SP! Scored by Alix Vinicius.
37`⚽ Goal
Goal for Bragantino SP! Scored by Alix Vinicius.
37`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Juninho Capixaba for Bragantino SP.
36`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Jose Herrera for Bragantino SP.
36`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Bragantino SP.
36`🎯 Shot On Target
Alix Vinicius has a shot on target for Bragantino SP.
34`🥅 Shot
Alix Vinicius takes a shot for Bragantino SP.
34`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Kevin Duvan Castano for River Plate.
33`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Bragantino SP.
33`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Bragantino SP.
32`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Juninho Capixaba for Bragantino SP.
32`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Isidro Pitta for Bragantino SP.
31`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Kevin Duvan Castano for River Plate.
31`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Girotto Gabriel for Bragantino SP.
31`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Maximiliano Meza for River Plate.
31`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Bragantino SP.
31`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Henry Mosquera for Bragantino SP.
30`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Bragantino SP.
29`🥅 Shot
Ian Subiabre takes a shot for River Plate.
29`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for River Plate.
28`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Bragantino SP.
25`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Maximiliano Meza for River Plate.
25`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for River Plate.
24`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for River Plate.
24`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Bragantino SP.
21`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Bragantino SP.
21`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for River Plate.
20`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Jose Herrera for Bragantino SP.
19`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Alix Vinicius for Bragantino SP.
18`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Girotto Gabriel for Bragantino SP.
18`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for River Plate.
18`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for River Plate.
18`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for River Plate.
17`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Ulises Giménez for River Plate.
16`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Juninho Capixaba for Bragantino SP.
16`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Fernando Quintero for River Plate.
14`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Henry Mosquera for Bragantino SP.
14`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Bragantino SP.
14`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Maximiliano Salas for River Plate.
13`🚩 Offside
Maximiliano Meza is caught offside for River Plate.
12`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Bragantino SP.
12`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Bragantino SP.
12`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Bragantino SP.
11`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for River Plate.
11`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for River Plate.
10`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Bragantino SP.
10`🚩 Corner
Corner for Bragantino SP.
10`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Bragantino SP.
9`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Bragantino SP.
9`🥅 Shot
Fernando Quintero takes a shot for River Plate.
8`🥅 Shot
Girotto Gabriel takes a shot for Bragantino SP.
8`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Paulo Díaz for River Plate.
7`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Bragantino SP.
7`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by German Pezzella for River Plate.
7`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Bragantino SP.
7`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Maximiliano Meza for River Plate.
6`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Alix Vinicius for Bragantino SP.
4`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Alix Vinicius for Bragantino SP.
4`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Maximiliano Meza for River Plate.
3`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for River Plate.
2`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for River Plate.
1`🥅 Shot
Agustín Santanna takes a shot for Bragantino SP.
1`⚠️ Foul
Foul by German Pezzella for River Plate.
0`🟢 Match Started
River Plate vs Bragantino SP has started.
0`
