Italy · Serie A
Sassuolo
Juventus
Simulation projects 70.9% Under 2.5 probability versus market-implied 50%, yielding +20.9 pp edge.
Expected goals total only 1.881 (home 0.857 + away 1.024), well below 2.5 threshold.
Sassuolo's attacking options severely depleted with Pinamonti, Lauriente, Y. Paz sidelined, limiting goal-scoring threat despite 2.3 avg home goals recently.
Additional confluence: Combo Double chance : draw or Juventus and -3.5 goals
RISK FACTORS
- Sassuolo's home record shows 80% Over 2.5 rate in last 10 home games, indicating home crowd can drive open play.
- Juventus injuries (Khephren Thuram out until 2027, Juan Cabal sidelined, 5+ others) could disrupt defensive organization if replacements underperform.
- H2H shows only 2 prior meetings with 50% Over 2.5 rate, limiting predictive power.
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🎯 Shot On Target
Vasilije Adzic has a shot on target for Sassuolo.
🥅 Shot
Vasilije Adzic takes a shot for Sassuolo.
⚽ Goal
Goal for Sassuolo! Scored by Vasilije Adzic.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Nemanja Matic for Sassuolo.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Douglas Luiz for Juventus.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Fedde Leysen for Sassuolo.
🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow card for Sassuolo.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Sassuolo.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Sassuolo.
🎯 Shot On Target
Edon Zhegrova has a shot on target for Juventus.
🥅 Shot
Edon Zhegrova takes a shot for Juventus.
⚽ Goal
Goal for Juventus! Scored by E. Zhegrova.
🎯 Shot On Target
Kieran Bowie has a shot on target for Sassuolo.
🥅 Shot
Kieran Bowie takes a shot for Sassuolo.
⚽ Goal
Goal for Sassuolo! Scored by K. Bowie. Assist: D. Bakola.
Assist
D. Bakola
🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Sassuolo.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Josh Doig for Sassuolo.
🥅 Shot
Kerim Alajbegovic takes a shot for Juventus.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Darryl Bakola for Sassuolo.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Edon Zhegrova for Juventus.
🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Sassuolo.
🥅 Shot
Nick Woltemade takes a shot for Juventus.
🎯 Shot On Target
Kerim Alajbegovic has a shot on target for Juventus.
🥅 Shot
Kerim Alajbegovic takes a shot for Juventus.
🚩 Corner
Corner for Juventus.
🎯 Shot On Target
Edon Zhegrova has a shot on target for Juventus.
🥅 Shot
Edon Zhegrova takes a shot for Juventus.
⚽ Goal
Goal for Juventus! Scored by Edon Zhegrova.
⚽ Goal
Goal for Juventus! Scored by E. Zhegrova.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Fedde Leysen for Sassuolo.
🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Sassuolo.
🥅 Shot
Nick Woltemade takes a shot for Juventus.
🥅 Shot
Edon Zhegrova takes a shot for Juventus.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Kieran Bowie for Sassuolo.
🥅 Shot
Zeki Celik takes a shot for Juventus.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Zeki Celik for Juventus.
🚩 Corner
Corner for Juventus.
⚠️ Foul
Foul by Douglas Luiz for Juventus.
🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow card for Douglas Luiz of Juventus.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Sassuolo.
⚽ Goal
Goal for Sassuolo!
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Armand Lauriente for Sassuolo.
⚠️ Foul
Foul by Nick Woltemade for Juventus.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Douglas Luiz for Juventus.
⚠️ Foul
Foul by Sebastiano Esposito for Sassuolo.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Edon Zhegrova for Juventus.
⚠️ Foul
Foul by Sebastiano Esposito for Sassuolo.
🚩 Corner
Corner for Juventus.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Teun Koopmeiners for Juventus.
🎯 Shot On Target
Sebastiano Esposito has a shot on target for Sassuolo.
🥅 Shot
Sebastiano Esposito takes a shot for Sassuolo.
⚽ Goal
Goal for Sassuolo! Scored by S. Esposito.
🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Sassuolo.
🥅 Shot
Kerim Alajbegovic takes a shot for Juventus.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Zeki Celik for Juventus.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Sassuolo.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Zeki Celik for Juventus.
⚠️ Foul
Foul by Nick Woltemade for Juventus.
⚠️ Foul
Foul by Edon Zhegrova for Juventus.
🎯 Shot On Target
Kerim Alajbegovic has a shot on target for Juventus.
🥅 Shot
Kerim Alajbegovic takes a shot for Juventus.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Domenico Berardi for Sassuolo.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Domenico Berardi for Sassuolo.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Juventus.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Randal Kolo Muani for Juventus.
⚠️ Foul
Foul by Lloyd Kelly for Juventus.
🥅 Shot
Nicolas Gonzalez takes a shot for Juventus.
🚩 Corner
Corner for Juventus.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Sassuolo.
⚠️ Foul
Foul by Douglas Luiz for Juventus.
⚠️ Foul
Foul by Bremer for Juventus.
⚠️ Foul
Foul by Bremer for Juventus.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Sassuolo.
🚩 Corner
Corner for Sassuolo.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Sassuolo.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Juventus.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Simone Cinquegrano for Sassuolo.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Sassuolo.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Fedde Leysen for Sassuolo.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Nemanja Matic for Sassuolo.
⚠️ Foul
Foul by Teun Koopmeiners for Juventus.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Sassuolo.
⚠️ Foul
Foul by Douglas Luiz for Juventus.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Nemanja Matic for Sassuolo.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Nicolas Gonzalez for Juventus.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Nemanja Matic for Sassuolo.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Luca Lipani for Sassuolo.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Juventus.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Jay Idzes for Sassuolo.
⚠️ Foul
Foul by Luca Lipani for Sassuolo.
⚠️ Foul
Foul by Luca Lipani for Sassuolo.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Pierre Kalulu for Juventus.
🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow card for L. Lipani of Sassuolo.
🚩 Corner
Corner for Sassuolo.
🎯 Shot On Target
Domenico Berardi has a shot on target for Sassuolo.
🥅 Shot
Domenico Berardi takes a shot for Sassuolo.
🚩 Corner
Corner for Sassuolo.
🎯 Shot On Target
Kerim Alajbegovic has a shot on target for Juventus.
🥅 Shot
Kerim Alajbegovic takes a shot for Juventus.
🚩 Corner
Corner for Juventus.
▶️ Second Half Started
The second half has started.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Luca Lipani for Sassuolo.
🎯 Shot On Target
Francisco Conceicao has a shot on target for Juventus.
🥅 Shot
Francisco Conceicao takes a shot for Juventus.
🚩 Corner
Corner for Juventus.
🚩 Corner
Corner for Juventus.
🎯 Shot On Target
Domenico Berardi has a shot on target for Sassuolo.
🥅 Shot
Domenico Berardi takes a shot for Sassuolo.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Sassuolo.
⚠️ Foul
Foul by Jay Idzes for Sassuolo.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Sassuolo.
🚩 Corner
Corner for Sassuolo.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Sassuolo.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Simone Cinquegrano for Sassuolo.
🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Sassuolo.
🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Juventus.
🥅 Shot
Sebastiano Esposito takes a shot for Sassuolo.
🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Juventus.
🥅 Shot
Josh Doig takes a shot for Sassuolo.
⚠️ Foul
Foul by Bremer for Juventus.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Juventus.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Domenico Berardi for Sassuolo.
🚩 Offside
Zeki Celik is caught offside for Juventus.
🎯 Shot On Target
Teun Koopmeiners has a shot on target for Juventus.
🥅 Shot
Teun Koopmeiners takes a shot for Juventus.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Francisco Conceicao for Juventus.
🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Sassuolo.
🚩 Corner
Corner for Juventus.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Juventus.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Sassuolo.
⚠️ Foul
Foul by Simone Cinquegrano for Sassuolo.
🚩 Offside
Armand Lauriente is caught offside for Sassuolo.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Juventus.
🎯 Shot On Target
Domenico Berardi has a shot on target for Sassuolo.
🥅 Shot
Domenico Berardi takes a shot for Sassuolo.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Juventus.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Juventus.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Nicolas Gonzalez for Juventus.
⚠️ Foul
Foul by Randal Kolo Muani for Juventus.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Sassuolo.
🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Bremer for Juventus.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Sassuolo.
🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Juventus.
🥅 Shot
Kerim Alajbegovic takes a shot for Juventus.
⚠️ Foul
Foul by Jhon Lucumi for Juventus.
🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow card for J. Lucumi of Juventus.
🚩 Corner
Corner for Juventus.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Sassuolo.
🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Juventus.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Sassuolo.
⚠️ Foul
Foul by Kerim Alajbegovic for Juventus.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Juventus.
↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Sassuolo.
🚩 Corner
Corner for Juventus.
⚠️ Foul
Foul by Jay Idzes for Sassuolo.
🥅 Shot
Nicolas Gonzalez takes a shot for Juventus.
🥅 Shot Off The Woodwork
Nicolas Gonzalez hits the woodwork for Juventus.
🟢 Match Started
Sassuolo vs Juventus has started.
49
49
Murić
3
3
Doig
16
16
Leysen
21
21
Idzes
46
46
Cinquegrano
35
35
Lipani
18
18
Matić
42
42
Thorstvedt
45
45
Laurienté
94
94
Esposito
10
10
Berardi
25
25
Vicario
2
2
Çelik
26
26
Lucumí
3
3
Bremer
15
15
Kalulu
8
8
Koopmeiners
12
12
Luiz
17
17
Alajbegović
31
31
González
7
7
Conceição
9
9
Muani
Sassuolo
Coach Alberto Aquilani
-
49
Arijanet Murić
G
-
46
Simone Cinquegrano
D
-
21
Jay Idzes
D
-
16
Fedde Leysen
D
-
3
Josh Doig
D
-
42
Kristian Thorstvedt
M
-
18
Nemanja Matić
M
-
35
Luca Lipani
M
-
10
Domenico Berardi
F
-
94
Sebastiano Esposito
F
-
45
Armand Laurienté
F
-
80
Stefano Turati
-
22
Lorenzo Nyarko
-
20
Ignace Van der Brempt
-
26
Cas Odenthal
-
15
Duje Ćaleta-Car
-
17
Vasilije Adžić
-
8
Andrea Ghion
-
33
Rafael Obrador
-
25
Benjamín Domínguez
-
55
Ibrahim Sulemana
-
50
Darryl Bakola
-
9
Kieron Bowie
-
19
Laurs Skjellerup
-
77
Nicholas Pierini
Juventus
Coach Luciano Spalletti
-
25
Guglielmo Vicario
G
-
15
Pierre Kalulu
D
-
3
Gleison Bremer
D
-
26
Jhon Lucumí
D
-
2
Zeki Çelik
D
-
12
Douglas Luiz
M
-
8
Teun Koopmeiners
M
-
7
Francisco Conceição
M
-
31
Nicolás González
M
-
17
Kerim Alajbegović
M
-
9
Randal Kolo Muani
F
-
23
Carlo Pinsoglio
-
1
Kamil Grabara
-
4
Federico Gatti
-
6
Lloyd Kelly
-
24
Daniele Rugani
-
41
Augusto Owusu
-
46
Filippo Pagnucco
-
98
Pape Matar Sarr
-
27
Nick Woltemade
-
99
Justin Oboavwoduo
-
11
Edon Zhegrova
Sassuolo
| Player | Min | G | A | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Arijanet Murić
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Simone Cinquegrano
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Jay Idzes
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Fedde Leysen
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Josh Doig
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Nemanja Matić
|
– | – | 1 | – |
|
Luca Lipani
🟨
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Domenico Berardi
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Kristian Thorstvedt
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Armand Laurienté
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Sebastiano Esposito
|
– | 1 | – | – |
|
Darryl Bakola
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Benjamín Domínguez
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Vasilije Adžić
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Kieron Bowie
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Duje Ćaleta-Car
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Stefano Turati
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Lorenzo Nyarko
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Ignace Van der Brempt
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Cas Odenthal
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Andrea Ghion
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Rafael Obrador
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Ibrahim Sulemana
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Laurs Skjellerup
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Nicholas Pierini
|
– | – | – | – |
Juventus
| Player | Min | G | A | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Guglielmo Vicario
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Pierre Kalulu
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Gleison Bremer
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Jhon Lucumí
🟨
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Zeki Çelik
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Douglas Luiz
🟨
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Teun Koopmeiners
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Francisco Conceição
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Nicolás González
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Kerim Alajbegović
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Randal Kolo Muani
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Lloyd Kelly
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Nick Woltemade
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Edon Zhegrova
|
– | 1 | – | – |
|
Pape Matar Sarr
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Carlo Pinsoglio
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Kamil Grabara
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Federico Gatti
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Daniele Rugani
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Augusto Owusu
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Filippo Pagnucco
|
– | – | – | – |
|
Justin Oboavwoduo
|
– | – | – | – |
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | AC Milan DDWW | 4 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Como WWD | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Juventus DWW | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Frosinone DWWL | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Atalanta LLWW | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Sassuolo DWL | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Udinese LWD | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Napoli LLW | 3 | 0 | 3 |
- 2026-03-21 Juventus 1–1 Sassuolo Serie A
- 2026-01-06 Sassuolo 0–3 Juventus Serie A
- 2024-01-16 Juventus 3–0 Sassuolo Serie A
- 2023-09-23 Sassuolo 4–2 Juventus Serie A
- 2023-04-16 Sassuolo 1–0 Juventus Serie A
- 2022-08-15 Juventus 3–0 Sassuolo Serie A
- 2022-04-25 Sassuolo 1–2 Juventus Serie A
- 2022-02-10 Juventus 2–1 Sassuolo Coppa Italia
- 2021-10-27 Juventus 1–2 Sassuolo Serie A
- 2021-05-12 Sassuolo 1–3 Juventus Serie A
- D. Boloca — Muscle Injury
- F. Cande — Knee Injury
- I. Kone — Broken Leg
- Y. Paz — Knee Injury
- E. Pieragnolo — Knee Injury
- C. Volpato — Thigh Injury
- S. Walukiewicz — Muscle Injury
- D. Bakola — Muscle Injury
- D. Boloca — Muscle Injury
- F. Cande — Knee Injury
- I. Kone — Broken Leg
- Y. Paz — Knee Injury
- E. Pieragnolo — Knee Injury
- C. Volpato — Thigh Injury
- S. Walukiewicz — Muscle Injury
- D. Bakola — Muscle Injury
- J. Boga — Muscle Injury
- J. Cabal — Thigh Injury
- J. Ekhator — Muscle Injury
- M. Locatelli — Knee Injury
- A. Milik — Inactive
- K. Thuram — Knee Injury
- K. Yildiz — Foot Injury
- A. Cambiaso — Ankle Injury
- W. McKennie — Muscle Injury
- J. Boga — Muscle Injury
- J. Cabal — Thigh Injury
- J. Ekhator — Muscle Injury
- M. Locatelli — Knee Injury
- A. Milik — Inactive
- K. Thuram — Knee Injury
- K. Yildiz — Foot Injury
- A. Cambiaso — Ankle Injury
- W. McKennie — Muscle Injury
13 Sep 2026, 20:32 UTC · changes vs opening odds
Listening for posts…
Mentions of Sassuolo and Juventus will appear here in real time.
Simulation projects 70.9% Under 2.5 probability versus market-implied 50%, yielding +20.9 pp edge.
Expected goals total only 1.881 (home 0.857 + away 1.024), well below 2.5 threshold.
Sassuolo's attacking options severely depleted with Pinamonti, Lauriente, Y. Paz sidelined, limiting goal-scoring threat despite 2.3 avg home goals recently.
Additional confluence: Combo Double chance : draw or Juventus and -3.5 goals
RISK FACTORS
- Sassuolo's home record shows 80% Over 2.5 rate in last 10 home games, indicating home crowd can drive open play.
- Juventus injuries (Khephren Thuram out until 2027, Juan Cabal sidelined, 5+ others) could disrupt defensive organization if replacements underperform.
- H2H shows only 2 prior meetings with 50% Over 2.5 rate, limiting predictive power.
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