Tips for this match
TIP
Draw
Analysis
Simulation predicts a 1-1 draw (70% confidence)
Bookmaker odds for draw at 2.75 imply 36.4% probability
Calculated edge: (0.70 × 2.75) - 1 = 0.925 - 1 = 0.925 - 1 = 0.36 (36%)
This suggests a significant value in the draw market, especially considering the simulation's high confidence
Tactical analysis indicates both teams are cautious, making a 1-1 draw plausible
Data support: N/A
CONTEXT
keyMatchups:
- Home team's defensive solidity vs Away team's attacking attempts
- Midfield battle to control possession and create scoring opportunities
tacticalNotes:
- São Gonçalo likely to prioritize defensive organization and look for counter-attacks
- Serrano may push for an early goal, exploiting defensive gaps
- Both teams may be cautious, leading to a tight, low-scoring game
CONFIDENCE RATING: 8/10
Bookmaker odds for draw at 2.75 imply 36.4% probability
Calculated edge: (0.70 × 2.75) - 1 = 0.925 - 1 = 0.925 - 1 = 0.36 (36%)
This suggests a significant value in the draw market, especially considering the simulation's high confidence
Tactical analysis indicates both teams are cautious, making a 1-1 draw plausible
Data support: N/A
CONTEXT
keyMatchups:
- Home team's defensive solidity vs Away team's attacking attempts
- Midfield battle to control possession and create scoring opportunities
tacticalNotes:
- São Gonçalo likely to prioritize defensive organization and look for counter-attacks
- Serrano may push for an early goal, exploiting defensive gaps
- Both teams may be cautious, leading to a tight, low-scoring game
CONFIDENCE RATING: 8/10
2.80
0.2
LOST
-0.20
Brazil - Copa Rio
· 1 week ago
ENDED
São Gonçalo RJ
3·2
90+5'
Serrano RJ
🟥 (0)
🟨 (12)
(0)
(0)
(6)
(0)
(0)
(0)
(1)
Match timeline feed
🚩 Corner
Corner for São Gonçalo RJ.
99`🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow card for Serrano RJ.
96`🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow card for São Gonçalo RJ.
91`🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow card for Serrano RJ.
85`🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow card for São Gonçalo RJ.
79`🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow card for São Gonçalo RJ.
77`⚽ Goal
Goal for Serrano RJ!
71`🏃 Penalty Kick
Penalty shot by Serrano RJ.
70`🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow card for Serrano RJ.
65`⚽ Goal
Goal for São Gonçalo RJ!
58`🚩 Corner
Corner for São Gonçalo RJ.
56`🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow card for Serrano RJ.
51`🚩 Corner
Corner for São Gonçalo RJ.
47`▶️ Second Half Started
The second half has started.
0`⏸️ Half Time
Half time. Score: 2-1.
0`⏸️ Half Time
Half time. Score: 2-1.
0`⚽ Goal
Goal for São Gonçalo RJ!
50`⚽ Goal
Goal for São Gonçalo RJ!
46`🚩 Corner
Corner for São Gonçalo RJ.
46`🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow card for Serrano RJ.
45`🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow card for Serrano RJ.
44`🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow card for Serrano RJ.
42`🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow card for São Gonçalo RJ.
40`🚩 Corner
Corner for São Gonçalo RJ.
31`⚽ Goal
Goal for Serrano RJ!
25`🚩 Corner
Corner for São Gonçalo RJ.
12`🟢 Match Started
São Gonçalo RJ vs Serrano RJ has started.
0`
