ENDED: Sporting CP vs Galatasaray SK

Champions League

1 month ago ENDED

Venue Estádio da Luz · Lisbon

Ref E. Eskas

Round League Stage - 1

Sporting CP

3 · 1

ENDED

Galatasaray SK

Possession

41%–59%

Cards

🟥 0 🟨 4

Shots

On target

Corners

Recap Read full match recap

2 expert tips on this match

AltBetsAI (1.84x) · ItzJade (1.58x)

Tips for this match 2

AltBetsAI

+0u

TIP

Sporting CP

Analysis

Sporting CP home win probability 85.73% per simulation: 9 wins in 10 home games (90% win rate, 2.7 ppg), 3.4 avg goals scored, 0.8 avg goals conceded.

Galatasaray away form significantly weaker: 60% win rate, 1.8 ppg, 1.7 avg goals scored, 1.6 avg goals conceded.

Expected goals gap massive: Sporting 3.78 xG vs Galatasaray 0.97 xG per simulation.

Galatasaray missing Victor Osimhen, Mario Lemina (adductor strain ~3 weeks), Wilfried Singo (muscle injury).

Market odds 1.84 imply 54.3% home win probability, 31.4 pp below simulator estimate.

Additional confluence: No predictions available

RISK FACTORS
- Galatasaray showed resilience in recent away form: 3-2 win vs Basaksehir (Sept 4) and 4-0 vs Erzurumspor (Aug 21) despite injuries.
- Champions League is higher variance than domestic league; Sporting's recent form includes friendlies (7-0 vs Strasbourg, 4-1 vs Celtic) which may inflate home xG.
- Sporting's only home loss in sample (1-2 vs Torreense, May 24) was a cup match, but shows vulnerability.

Odds

1.84

Units

3.0

Outcome

WIN

Returns

+2.52u

ItzJade

+0u

TIP

Under Over: Over 2.5

Analysis

Sporting have scored at least twice in each of their five games this season, while Galatasaray have seen 3+ goals in all four of their league matches.

Odds

1.58

Units

2.0

Outcome

WIN

Returns

+1.16u

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Match timeline

🟨 Yellow Card

95'

Yellow card for Sporting CP.

🚩 Corner

95'

Corner for Galatasaray SK.

⚠️ Foul

94'

Foul by Silas Andersen for Sporting CP.

↩️ Throw In

94'

Throw in for Sporting CP.

🛡️ Tackle

93'

Tackle by Lesley Ugochukwu for Galatasaray SK.

🛡️ Tackle

93'

Tackle by ivan Fresneda for Sporting CP.

⚠️ Foul

92'

Foul by Sergi Altimira for Sporting CP.

🛡️ Tackle

92'

Tackle by Davinson Sanchez for Galatasaray SK.

⚠️ Foul

91'

Foul by Renato Sam Nhaga for Galatasaray SK.

⚠️ Foul

91'

Foul by Renato Sam Nhaga for Galatasaray SK.

↩️ Throw In

90'

Throw in for Sporting CP.

🛡️ Tackle

88'

Tackle by Luis Guilherme for Sporting CP.

↩️ Throw In

88'

Throw in for Galatasaray SK.

⚠️ Foul

87'

Foul by ivan Fresneda for Sporting CP.

↩️ Throw In

86'

Throw in for Galatasaray SK.

⚠️ Foul

82'

Foul by Maximiliano Araújo for Sporting CP.

↩️ Throw In

82'

Throw in for Galatasaray SK.

↩️ Throw In

81'

Throw in for Sporting CP.

⚠️ Foul

80'

Foul by Deniz Gul for Galatasaray SK.

🟨 Yellow Card

Yellow Card

80'

Yellow card for Deniz Gül of Galatasaray.

↩️ Throw In

78'

Throw in for Sporting CP.

↩️ Throw In

78'

Throw in for Sporting CP.

↩️ Throw In

78'

Throw in for Sporting CP.

🛡️ Tackle

77'

Tackle by Deniz Gul for Galatasaray SK.

🛡️ Tackle

77'

Tackle by Sergi Altimira for Sporting CP.

🛡️ Tackle

77'

Tackle by Lucas Torreira for Galatasaray SK.

⚠️ Foul

76'

Foul by Deniz Gul for Galatasaray SK.

⚠️ Foul

75'

Foul by Luis Guilherme for Sporting CP.

🛡️ Tackle

74'

Tackle by Silas Andersen for Sporting CP.

🧤 Goal Kick

74'

Goal kick for Sporting CP.

🚩 Corner

73'

Corner for Galatasaray SK.

🎯 Shot On Target

71'

Sergi Altimira has a shot on target for Sporting CP.

🥅 Shot

71'

Sergi Altimira takes a shot for Sporting CP.

🥅 Shot

71'

Geny Catamo takes a shot for Sporting CP.

⚠️ Foul

70'

Foul by Deniz Gul for Galatasaray SK.

🥅 Shot

68'

Luis Guilherme takes a shot for Sporting CP.

🛡️ Tackle

68'

Tackle by Roland Sallai for Galatasaray SK.

⚠️ Foul

66'

Foul by Maximiliano Araújo for Sporting CP.

🎯 Shot On Target

63'

Rodrigo Zalazar has a shot on target for Sporting CP.

🥅 Shot

63'

Rodrigo Zalazar takes a shot for Sporting CP.

⚽ Goal

Normal Goal

63'

Goal for Sporting CP! Scored by Rodrigo Zalazar.

⚠️ Foul

62'

Foul by Roland Sallai for Galatasaray SK.

🧤 Goal Kick

61'

Goal kick for Sporting CP.

🥅 Shot

60'

Baris Yilmaz takes a shot for Galatasaray SK.

🛡️ Tackle

60'

Tackle by Aleksey Batrakov for Galatasaray SK.

🧤 Goal Kick

60'

Goal kick for Galatasaray SK.

🥅 Shot

60'

Luis Javier Suárez takes a shot for Sporting CP.

🛡️ Tackle

59'

Tackle by Eduardo Quaresma for Sporting CP.

🛡️ Tackle

58'

Tackle by Luis Javier Suárez for Sporting CP.

🎯 Shot On Target

57'

Luis Javier Suárez has a shot on target for Sporting CP.

🥅 Shot

57'

Luis Javier Suárez takes a shot for Sporting CP.

⚽ Goal

57'

Goal for Sporting CP! Scored by Luis Javier Suárez.

🏃 Penalty Kick

Penalty

56'

Luis Suárez took a penalty shot for Sporting CP.

⚠️ Foul

54'

Foul by Uğurcan Çakır for Galatasaray SK.

↩️ Throw In

54'

Throw in for Sporting CP.

🧤 Goal Kick

53'

Goal kick for Galatasaray SK.

⚠️ Foul

52'

Foul by Eren Elmali for Galatasaray SK.

⚠️ Foul

52'

Foul by Eren Elmali for Galatasaray SK.

🟨 Yellow Card

Yellow Card

52'

Yellow card for Eren Elmalı of Galatasaray.

🛡️ Tackle

51'

Tackle by Gonçalo Inácio for Sporting CP.

🛡️ Tackle

49'

Tackle by Aleksey Batrakov for Galatasaray SK.

🛡️ Tackle

49'

Tackle by Baris Yilmaz for Galatasaray SK.

🚩 Corner

48'

Corner for Sporting CP.

▶️ Second Half Started

The second half has started.

⏸️ Half Time

Half time. Score: 1-1.

🥅 Shot

48'

Baris Yilmaz takes a shot for Galatasaray SK.

🎯 Shot On Target

47'

Luis Javier Suárez has a shot on target for Sporting CP.

🥅 Shot

47'

Luis Javier Suárez takes a shot for Sporting CP.

⚠️ Foul

44'

Foul by Rodrigo Zalazar for Sporting CP.

🟨 Yellow Card

Yellow Card

44'

Yellow card for Luis Suárez of Sporting CP.

⚠️ Foul

43'

Foul by Luis Javier Suárez for Sporting CP.

↩️ Throw In

43'

Throw in for Galatasaray SK.

🛡️ Tackle

41'

Tackle by Eren Elmali for Galatasaray SK.

↩️ Throw In

40'

Throw in for Sporting CP.

🛡️ Tackle

39'

Tackle by Leroy Sane for Galatasaray SK.

🛡️ Tackle

39'

Tackle by Sergi Altimira for Sporting CP.

🛡️ Tackle

38'

Tackle by Sergi Altimira for Sporting CP.

🛡️ Tackle

38'

Tackle by Leroy Sane for Galatasaray SK.

🛡️ Tackle

38'

Tackle by Eduardo Quaresma for Sporting CP.

🧤 Goal Kick

37'

Goal kick for Sporting CP.

🥅 Shot

37'

Leroy Sane takes a shot for Galatasaray SK.

🛡️ Tackle

35'

Tackle by Gonçalo Inácio for Sporting CP.

↩️ Throw In

34'

Throw in for Galatasaray SK.

↩️ Throw In

34'

Throw in for Sporting CP.

🛡️ Tackle

33'

Tackle by Lucas Torreira for Galatasaray SK.

🛡️ Tackle

33'

Tackle by Gonçalo Inácio for Sporting CP.

↩️ Throw In

33'

Throw in for Galatasaray SK.

↩️ Throw In

32'

Throw in for Sporting CP.

↩️ Throw In

31'

Throw in for Sporting CP.

↩️ Throw In

31'

Throw in for Sporting CP.

🎯 Shot On Target

30'

Roland Sallai has a shot on target for Galatasaray SK.

🥅 Shot

30'

Roland Sallai takes a shot for Galatasaray SK.

🚩 Offside

29'

Geny Catamo is caught offside for Sporting CP.

⚠️ Foul

28'

Foul by Baris Yilmaz for Galatasaray SK.

🎯 Shot On Target

27'

Geny Catamo has a shot on target for Sporting CP.

🥅 Shot

27'

Geny Catamo takes a shot for Sporting CP.

⚽ Goal

Normal Goal

27'

Goal for Sporting CP! Scored by Geny Catamo.

↩️ Throw In

26'

Throw in for Sporting CP.

⚠️ Foul

25'

Foul by Luis Javier Suárez for Sporting CP.

⚠️ Foul

22'

Foul by Sergi Altimira for Sporting CP.

🟨 Yellow Card

Yellow Card

22'

Yellow card for Sergi Altimira of Sporting CP.

🛡️ Tackle

21'

Tackle by Eduardo Quaresma for Sporting CP.

⚠️ Foul

20'

Foul by Georgios Vagiannidis for Sporting CP.

↩️ Throw In

20'

Throw in for Galatasaray SK.

⚽ Goal

19'

Goal for Sporting CP!

⚠️ Foul

18'

Foul by Aleksey Batrakov for Galatasaray SK.

↩️ Throw In

18'

Throw in for Sporting CP.

🥅 Shot

17'

Leroy Sane takes a shot for Galatasaray SK.

↩️ Throw In

16'

Throw in for Galatasaray SK.

🚩 Corner

16'

Corner for Galatasaray SK.

↩️ Throw In

14'

Throw in for Sporting CP.

🛡️ Tackle

14'

Tackle by Yunus Akgün for Galatasaray SK.

↩️ Throw In

13'

Throw in for Galatasaray SK.

⚠️ Foul

13'

Foul by Baris Yilmaz for Galatasaray SK.

⚠️ Foul

11'

Foul by Luis Javier Suárez for Sporting CP.

🛡️ Tackle

10'

Tackle by Sergi Altimira for Sporting CP.

↩️ Throw In

10'

Throw in for Galatasaray SK.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Galatasaray SK.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Sporting CP.

🎯 Shot On Target

Gabriel Sara has a shot on target for Galatasaray SK.

🥅 Shot

Gabriel Sara takes a shot for Galatasaray SK.

⚽ Goal

Own Goal

Goal for Galatasaray! Scored by Gonçalo Inácio. (Own Goal)

🎯 Shot On Target

Davinson Sanchez has a shot on target for Galatasaray SK.

⚽ Goal

Normal Goal

Goal for Galatasaray! Scored by Lucas Torreira.

🎯 Shot On Target

Lucas Torreira has a shot on target for Galatasaray SK.

🥅 Shot

Lucas Torreira takes a shot for Galatasaray SK.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Galatasaray SK.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Galatasaray SK.

↩️ Throw In

Throw in for Sporting CP.

🧤 Goal Kick

Goal kick for Sporting CP.

🥅 Shot

Roland Sallai takes a shot for Galatasaray SK.

🚩 Corner

Corner for Galatasaray SK.

⚠️ Foul

Foul by Gonçalo Inácio for Sporting CP.

🟢 Match Started

Sporting CP vs Galatasaray SK has started.

Sporting CP

Rui Borges

4-2-3-1

1 1 Silva

20 20 Araújo

25 25 Inácio

72 72 Quaresma

13 13 Vagiannidis

77 77 Doumbia

5 5 Altimira

31 31 Guilherme

17 17 Zalazar

10 10 Catamo

97 97 Suárez

Galatasaray

O. Buruk

4-2-3-1

1 1 Çakır

4 4 Jakobs

17 17 Elmalı

6 6 Sánchez

7 7 Sallai

8 8 Sara

34 34 Torreira

53 53 Yılmaz

11 11 Akgün

10 10 Sané

83 83 Batrakov

Home

Sporting CP

4-2-3-1

Coach Rui Borges

Starting XI

1 Rui Silva G
13 G. Vagiannidis D
72 Eduardo Quaresma D
25 Gonçalo Inácio D
20 M. Araújo D
5 Sergi Altimira M
77 I. Doumbia M
10 Geny Catamo M
17 R. Zalazar M
31 Luis Guilherme M
97 L. Suárez F

Substitutes

6 Z. Debast
28 J. Derry
50 Rodrigo Dias
4 S. Andersen
73 Eduardo Felicíssimo
22 Iván Fresneda
58 Flávio Gonçalves
7 F. Ioannidis
19 N. Irankunda
30 Kaique
9 Rafael Ferreira Nel
21 Pedro Lima

Away

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1

Coach O. Buruk

Starting XI

1 U. Çakır G
7 R. Sallai D
6 D. Sánchez D
17 E. Elmalı D
4 I. Jakobs D
34 L. Torreira M
8 Gabriel Sara M
10 L. Sané M
11 Y. Akgün M
53 B. Yılmaz M
83 A. Batrakov F

Substitutes

42 A. Bardakcı
24 J. Yılmaz
3 E. Bitshiabu
21 D. Gül
20 İ. Gündoğan
27 Rafael Leão
73 Berat Luş
74 Renato Nhaga
18 L. Ugochukwu
70 E. Büyük

Sporting CP

Player	Min	G	A	Rating
Sergi Altimira 🟨	–	–	–	–
Pedro Lima	–	–	–	–
Rafael Ferreira Nel	–	–	–	–
Kaique	–	–	–	–
N. Irankunda	–	–	–	–
F. Ioannidis	–	–	–	–
Flávio Gonçalves	–	–	–	–
Iván Fresneda	–	–	–	–
Eduardo Felicíssimo	–	–	–	–
Rodrigo Dias	–	–	–	–
J. Derry	–	–	–	–
Z. Debast	–	–	–	–
S. Andersen	–	–	–	–
Rui Silva	–	–	–	–
M. Araújo	–	–	–	–
Geny Catamo	–	1	–	–
I. Doumbia	–	–	–	–
Gonçalo Inácio	–	–	–	–
Luis Guilherme	–	–	–	–
Eduardo Quaresma	–	–	–	–
L. Suárez 🟨	–	1	–	–
G. Vagiannidis	–	–	–	–
R. Zalazar	–	1	–	–

Galatasaray

Player	Min	G	A	Rating
A. Bardakcı	–	–	–	–
J. Yılmaz	–	–	–	–
E. Bitshiabu	–	–	–	–
D. Gül 🟨	–	–	–	–
İ. Gündoğan	–	–	–	–
Rafael Leão	–	–	–	–
Berat Luş	–	–	–	–
Renato Nhaga	–	–	–	–
L. Ugochukwu	–	–	–	–
A. Batrakov	–	–	–	–
U. Çakır	–	–	–	–
Y. Akgün	–	–	–	–
B. Yılmaz	–	–	–	–
L. Torreira	–	–	–	–
L. Sané	–	–	–	–
D. Sánchez	–	–	–	–
R. Sallai	–	–	–	–
I. Jakobs	–	–	–	–
Gabriel Sara	–	–	–	–
E. Elmalı 🟨	–	–	–	–
E. Büyük	–	–	–	–

Standings UEFA Champions League

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
13	Fenerbahçe WDWWD	0	0	0
14	Feyenoord	0	0	0
15	Galatasaray	0	0	0
16	RB Leipzig	0	0	0
17	Lens	0	0	0
18	Liverpool	0	0	0
19	Manchester United	0	0	0
20	Napoli	0	0	0
21	Paris Saint Germain	0	0	0
22	PSV Eindhoven	0	0	0
23	AS Roma	0	0	0
24	Slovan Bratislava WDWWD	0	0	0
25	Sabah FA WLWLW	0	0	0
26	Shakhtar Donetsk	0	0	0
27	Slavia Praha	0	0	0
28	Sporting CP	0	0	0
29	VfB Stuttgart	0	0	0
30	Viking WD	0	0	0

Team news

Sporting CP

I. Ba — Knock
N. Santos — Muscle Injury
J. Simoes — Foot Injury
I. Ba — Knock
N. Santos — Muscle Injury
J. Simoes — Foot Injury

Galatasaray SK

E. Aydin — Off the roster
K. Ayhan — Off the roster
A. Guner — Off the roster
G. Guvenc — Muscle Injury
K. Karatas — Off the roster
M. Lemina — Muscle Injury
S. Nas — Off the roster
V. Osimhen — Injury
W. Singo — Thigh Injury
A. Unyay — Off the roster
A. Yilmaz — Off the roster
E. Aydin — Off the roster
K. Ayhan — Off the roster
A. Guner — Off the roster
G. Guvenc — Muscle Injury
K. Karatas — Off the roster
M. Lemina — Muscle Injury
S. Nas — Off the roster
V. Osimhen — Injury
W. Singo — Thigh Injury
A. Unyay — Off the roster
A. Yilmaz — Off the roster

AltBetsAI

+0u

TIP

Sporting CP

Analysis

Odds

1.84

Units

3.0

Outcome

WIN

Returns

+2.52u

ItzJade

+0u

TIP

Under Over: Over 2.5

Analysis

Sporting have scored at least twice in each of their five games this season, while Galatasaray have seen 3+ goals in all four of their league matches.

Odds

1.58

Units

2.0

Outcome

WIN

Returns

+1.16u

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