At home, Vitória averages 2.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game, with clean sheets in 50% of matches—elite defensive and attacking balance.
Dixon-Coles simulator projects Vitória 56.5% home win probability with 1.949 xG vs Flamengo’s 1.083—a decisive expected goals edge.
Market odds of 4.4 imply only 22.7% win probability for Vitória, creating a ~34pp value edge—the largest discrepancy in this market set.
Flamengo’s last meeting with Vitória (Apr 23, Copa do Brasil) was a 2-1 away win; Vitória’s home fortress presents a fundamentally different challenge.
Flamengo’s away form includes a 0-3 loss to Bragantino and a 0-0 draw vs Independiente Medellín—not invincible on the road.
Brazil - Copa do Brasil
· 1 month ago
ENDED
Vitória BA
2·0
Flamengo RJ
⏱️ Normal Time Ended
Normal time ended. Score: 2-0.
0`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Flamengo RJ.
97`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Jorginho for Flamengo RJ.
95`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Vitória BA.
94`🥅 Shot
Everton Cebolinha takes a shot for Flamengo RJ.
94`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Gustavo Evertton for Flamengo RJ.
93`🚩 Corner
Corner for Flamengo RJ.
93`🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow card for Caique Jesus Goncalves of Vitória BA.
92`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Vitória BA.
91`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Vitória BA.
91`🥅 Shot
Gustavo Evertton takes a shot for Flamengo RJ.
91`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Flamengo RJ.
90`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Vitória BA.
90`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Vitória BA.
90`🥅 Shot
Léo Pereira takes a shot for Flamengo RJ.
89`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Flamengo RJ.
89`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Flamengo RJ.
89`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Flamengo RJ.
88`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Vitória BA.
88`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Flamengo RJ.
86`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Diego Tarzia for Vitória BA.
86`🎯 Shot On Target
Pedro Guilherme has a shot on target for Flamengo RJ.
86`🥅 Shot
Pedro Guilherme takes a shot for Flamengo RJ.
86`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Gabriel Baralhas for Vitória BA.
85`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Vitória BA.
85`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Ramos Lima Ramon for Vitória BA.
84`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Vitória BA.
84`🥅 Shot
Gustavo Evertton takes a shot for Flamengo RJ.
83`🥅 Shot
Emerson Royal takes a shot for Flamengo RJ.
83`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Flamengo RJ.
81`🎯 Shot On Target
Shot on target for Vitória BA.
81`🥅 Shot
Shot for Vitória BA.
81`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Flamengo RJ.
80`🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow card for Flamengo RJ.
80`🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow card for Vitória BA.
80`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Guillermo Varela for Flamengo RJ.
79`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Vitória BA.
79`🥅 Shot
Léo Pereira takes a shot for Flamengo RJ.
78`🚩 Corner
Corner for Flamengo RJ.
78`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Vitória BA.
77`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Vitória BA.
76`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Diego Tarzia for Vitória BA.
75`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Vitória BA.
74`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Flamengo RJ.
72`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Emmanuel Martinez for Vitória BA.
71`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Flamengo RJ.
70`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Danilo for Flamengo RJ.
68`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Flamengo RJ.
68`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Flamengo RJ.
67`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Flamengo RJ.
67`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Martins Fogaça de Paulο Matheuzinho for Vitória BA.
67`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Vitória BA.
67`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Gustavo Evertton for Flamengo RJ.
66`🥅 Shot
Shot for Flamengo RJ.
65`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Vitória BA.
64`⚽ Goal
Goal for Vitória BA!
62`🚩 Corner
Corner for Vitória BA.
62`🎯 Shot On Target
Luan Candido has a shot on target for Vitória BA.
61`🥅 Shot
Luan Candido takes a shot for Vitória BA.
61`🚩 Corner
Corner for Vitória BA.
61`🎯 Shot On Target
Carlos Renê has a shot on target for Vitória BA.
60`🥅 Shot
Carlos Renê takes a shot for Vitória BA.
60`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Flamengo RJ.
59`🚩 Corner
Corner for Flamengo RJ.
59`🚩 Corner
Corner for Flamengo RJ.
57`🎯 Shot On Target
Bruno Henrique has a shot on target for Flamengo RJ.
56`🥅 Shot
Bruno Henrique takes a shot for Flamengo RJ.
56`🥅 Shot
Luiz Araújo takes a shot for Flamengo RJ.
55`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Lobo Alex Sandro for Flamengo RJ.
55`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Vitória BA.
54`🥅 Shot
Samuel Lino takes a shot for Flamengo RJ.
53`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Jorginho for Flamengo RJ.
53`🥅 Shot
Bruno Henrique takes a shot for Flamengo RJ.
52`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Vitória BA.
52`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Vitória BA.
50`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Vitória BA.
50`🎯 Shot On Target
Jorge Carrascal has a shot on target for Flamengo RJ.
49`🥅 Shot
Jorge Carrascal takes a shot for Flamengo RJ.
49`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Carlos Renê for Vitória BA.
49`🥅 Shot
Neves Ze Vitor takes a shot for Vitória BA.
48`🟨 Yellow Card
Yellow card for Flamengo RJ.
47`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Flamengo RJ.
46`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Vitória BA.
46`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Vitória BA.
45`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Samuel Lino for Flamengo RJ.
45`▶️ Second Half Started
The second half has started.
0`⏸️ Half Time
Half time. Score: 1-0.
0`⏸️ Half Time
Half time. Score: 1-0.
0`⏸️ Half Time
Half time. Score: 1-0.
0`🎯 Shot On Target
Jorginho has a shot on target for Flamengo RJ.
47`🥅 Shot
Jorginho takes a shot for Flamengo RJ.
47`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Vitória BA.
46`🥅 Shot
Bruno Henrique takes a shot for Flamengo RJ.
45`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Arruda Erick for Vitória BA.
45`🎯 Shot On Target
Luiz Araújo has a shot on target for Flamengo RJ.
44`🥅 Shot
Luiz Araújo takes a shot for Flamengo RJ.
44`🎯 Shot On Target
Bruno Henrique has a shot on target for Flamengo RJ.
43`🥅 Shot
Bruno Henrique takes a shot for Flamengo RJ.
43`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Emmanuel Martinez for Vitória BA.
42`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Vitória BA.
42`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Samuel Lino for Flamengo RJ.
42`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Vitória BA.
42`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Léo Pereira for Flamengo RJ.
41`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Neves Ze Vitor for Vitória BA.
40`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Vitória BA.
40`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Emerson Royal for Flamengo RJ.
39`🚩 Corner
Corner for Flamengo RJ.
39`🚩 Corner
Corner for Flamengo RJ.
39`🚩 Corner
Corner for Flamengo RJ.
38`🚩 Corner
Corner for Flamengo RJ.
37`🎯 Shot On Target
Luiz Araújo has a shot on target for Flamengo RJ.
36`🥅 Shot
Luiz Araújo takes a shot for Flamengo RJ.
36`🥅 Shot
Samuel Lino takes a shot for Flamengo RJ.
36`🚩 Corner
Corner for Flamengo RJ.
36`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Samuel Lino for Flamengo RJ.
35`🚩 Corner
Corner for Flamengo RJ.
36`🚩 Corner
Corner for Flamengo RJ.
35`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Nathan Gabriel de Souza Mendes for Vitória BA.
34`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Gabriel Baralhas for Vitória BA.
34`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Vitória BA.
33`🚩 Corner
Corner for Flamengo RJ.
33`🚩 Corner
Corner for Flamengo RJ.
32`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Gabriel Baralhas for Vitória BA.
30`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Neves Ze Vitor for Vitória BA.
28`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Vitória BA.
28`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Luiz Araújo for Flamengo RJ.
28`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Flamengo RJ.
26`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Gabriel Baralhas for Vitória BA.
25`🥅 Shot
Gustavo Evertton takes a shot for Flamengo RJ.
23`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Flamengo RJ.
22`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Vitória BA.
21`🥅 Shot
Samuel Lino takes a shot for Flamengo RJ.
21`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Ramos Lima Ramon for Vitória BA.
20`🎯 Shot On Target
Martins Fogaça de Paulο Matheuzinho has a shot on target for Vitória BA.
19`🥅 Shot
Martins Fogaça de Paulο Matheuzinho takes a shot for Vitória BA.
19`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Jorginho for Flamengo RJ.
19`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Vitória BA.
18`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Flamengo RJ.
17`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Flamengo RJ.
17`🚩 Corner
Corner for Flamengo RJ.
17`🥅 Shot
Gustavo Evertton takes a shot for Flamengo RJ.
16`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Gabriel Baralhas for Vitória BA.
16`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Flamengo RJ.
15`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Flamengo RJ.
15`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Vitória BA.
14`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Flamengo RJ.
13`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Flamengo RJ.
13`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Vitória BA.
12`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Vitória BA.
12`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Vitória BA.
11`🧤 Goal Kick
Goal kick for Vitória BA.
11`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Neves Ze Vitor for Vitória BA.
10`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Gabriel Baralhas for Vitória BA.
10`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Flamengo RJ.
10`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Arruda Erick for Vitória BA.
9`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Ramos Lima Ramon for Vitória BA.
8`⚽ Goal
Goal for Vitória BA!
7`🎯 Shot On Target
Arruda Erick has a shot on target for Vitória BA.
6`🥅 Shot
Arruda Erick takes a shot for Vitória BA.
6`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Samuel Lino for Flamengo RJ.
6`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Vitória BA.
6`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Emerson Royal for Flamengo RJ.
4`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Nathan Gabriel de Souza Mendes for Vitória BA.
4`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Arruda Erick for Vitória BA.
4`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Ramos Lima Ramon for Vitória BA.
4`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Flamengo RJ.
3`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Lobo Alex Sandro for Flamengo RJ.
3`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Samuel Lino for Flamengo RJ.
2`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Flamengo RJ.
2`⚠️ Foul
Foul by Arruda Erick for Vitória BA.
0`↩️ Throw In
Throw in for Vitória BA.
0`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Samuel Lino for Flamengo RJ.
0`🛡️ Tackle
Tackle by Arruda Erick for Vitória BA.
0`🟢 Match Started
Vitória BA vs Flamengo RJ has started.
0`
